Wednesday, September20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Engelhard, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 7:05PM Wednesday September 20, 2017 12:12 PM EDT (16:12 UTC) Moonrise 6:06AMMoonset 6:37PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 951 Am Edt Wed Sep 20 2017
Rest of today..W winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Engelhard, NC
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location: 35.65, -76.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 201322
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
922 am edt Wed sep 20 2017

Synopsis
Tropical storm jose will continue moving northeast of the area
today. A trough of low pressure will develop inland this
afternoon and move across the area tonight and Thursday. High
pressure will extend into the area from the northwest Friday
through the weekend. Hurricane maria is expected to track
between the bahamas and bermuda early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 920 am Wednesday... No signif change to current zones. Band
of scu over NE tier is eroding and expect bulk of the region
will see mclr skiers into early aftn. Approaching weak short
wave and sfc trf will lead to increasing clouds inland late but
think any shra will hold off. With plenty of Sun shld see above
normal highs mainly in mid upr 80s... Little cooler NE cst.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 300 am Wednesday... Short wave trough energy and pwat
increasing to over 1.5 inches support at least 20% pop over sw
sections tonight, with tstms mentioned during evening. Guidance
also supports increased cloud cover for mainly SW half of area,
which will combine with light SW winds to keep min temps in
upper 60s inland to lower 70s coast.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 3 am wed... High pressure will extend across the region
from the north through the period, while we continue to monitor
hurricane maria. Some uncertainty continues regarding the track
of hurricane maria late this weekend and next week, though
models have been keeping the system well offshore of the
southeast coast. Eastern nc residents and interested parties
should continue to monitor the latest official forecasts from
nhc.

A surface trof will move south across the forecast area on
Thursday. Best moisture will be across the southwest counties
and have bumped up pops to chance. Dry weather then expected
Thursday night through Sunday night. Have included slight chance
to chance pops beginning Monday and continuing through Tuesday
night based on the current track of maria. However, this will
change when if the forecast track changes. Thursday will be the
warmest day in the long term, with highs in the mid upper 80s
inland. Highs will be in the lower mid 80s for the remainder.

Overnight lows will be in the mid upper 60s inland, with upper
60s lower 70s outer banks. The coolest night will be Sunday
night, with lows on the coastal plain in the lower 60s, and
mid 60s to lower 70s remainder.

Aviation 13z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through 06z Thursday ...

as of 7 am Wednesday...VFR expected during period with just an
isolated TSTM possible for southern sections this evening. Calm
winds overnight will become light westerly during the day.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 3 am wed...VFR conditions will dominate most of the
period, though some early morning fg br and low stratus may
develop each night as a ridge of high pressure will be across
the region. Only chance for sub-VFR in convection will be
Thursday afternoon as a surface trof moves south across the
area.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 920 am Tuesday... Tweaked down slightly init seas
otherwise no changes with slowly diminishing swells from jose
today.

Prev disc.. Weakening pressure gradient in wake of jose has
allowed winds to diminish to 10-15 kt north and 5-10 kt south,
but seas remain elevated at 7-10 feet northern and central
waters due to lingering swell energy. Winds will become westerly
5-10 kt all waters today, then become SW 10-15 kt tonight with
weak surface trough approaching from west.

Wave guidance in good agreement with seas continuing to subside
during period, but remaining around 6 feet outer northern and
central waters through tonight.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 3 am wed... High pressure will build in from the north
through the period and cover the region, while we continue to
monitor hurricane maria. Some uncertainty continues regarding
the track of hurricane maria late this weekend and next week,
but models have been trending keeping it well offshore of the se
coast. Mariners and interested parties should continue to
monitor the latest official forecasts from nhc.

Winds generally N NE by Thu afternoon, though winds in the far
southern waters will briefly become light Thu afternoon night as
a surface trof moves south through the area. NE winds 5-10 kt
fri increasing to 10-15 kt Sat and 10-20 kt sun. Nwps and
wavewatch in good agreement with elevated seas lingering across
the central waters through the entire period. Will likely start
seeing long period southeast swell build from distant hurricane
maria Thu night through the weekend across all the waters.

Small craft seas likely to re-develop Fri and continue into the
weekend, with double digit seas by late weekend.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 920 am Tuesday... Swells cont to diminish and with high
tide over will be able to drop high surf advry and coastal
flood advry N of CAPE hat. Swells will cont to produce high
threat of rip currents from CAPE lookout n.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz095-
103-104.

High surf advisory until 11 am edt this morning for ncz103.

Coastal flood advisory until 11 am edt this morning for ncz103.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Monday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Thursday for amz150.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Rf
short term... Jbm
long term... Hsa
aviation... Jbm hsa
marine... Rf jbm hsa
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 27 mi43 min WNW 9.9 G 13 78°F 73°F1014.4 hPa
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 35 mi43 min W 11 G 12 76°F 75°F1015.2 hPa
44095 38 mi55 min 74°F7 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 40 mi43 min NW 9.9 G 12 78°F 74°F1014.1 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 42 mi43 min 75°F6 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 48 mi38 min 74°F7 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NW20
G27
NW18
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NW16
G25
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G29
NW17
G23
NW21
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G22
NW12
G21
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G21
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G13
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N13
G20
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G24
N16
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G24
N13
G20
N16
G25
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G23
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G24
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G26
N20
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G28
N20
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G30
NW20
G27
NW20
G25
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G29
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G31
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G35
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N14
G20
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G18
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N15
G21
NE13
G20
NE12
G19
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G16
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N9
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G22
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N14
G21
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G24
N15
G23
N13
G19

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC26 mi28 minNW 610.00 miFair78°F66°F69%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN13
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NW6NW4NW3NW6NW5NW5NW6W4W5NW6NW6NW7NW9
G14
1 day agoNE14
G23
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G25
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G26
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G33
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2 days agoNE13
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G20

Tide / Current Tables for Old House Channel, North Carolina
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Old House Channel
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:30 AM EDT     New Moon
Wed -- 03:36 AM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:22 AM EDT     0.86 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:59 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:41 PM EDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.30.1000.10.30.60.80.90.80.70.60.40.20.100.10.20.50.70.80.80.8

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:30 AM EDT     New Moon
Wed -- 03:06 AM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:57 AM EDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:30 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:16 PM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.30.1-00.10.30.60.811.11.10.90.60.40.2000.20.40.711.11.10.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.