Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 8:07 PM Moonrise 12:45 PM   Moonset 1:34 AM

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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Fri night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.Sat - W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening. Sun - N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.Sun night - SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft. Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers. Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.

AMZ100 149 Am Edt Thu May 16 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Another round of poor boating conditions is possible early next week in the wake of weekend low pressure.

FXUS62 KMHX 160628 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 228 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front will sweep across ENC tonight with high pressure building in behind it, keeping Thursday dry. Another low pressure system impacts us this weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 215 AM Thursday...Weak sfc low has moved offshore, with some upper level troughing still moving through the CWA resulting in light to moderate showers. Thunder threat has ended with the stronger forcing now offshore and instability decreasing overnight. Showers will move offshore before daybreak. Fog threat is possible for tonight west of hwy 17 and along the axis of highest rainfall during the daytime Wednesday (Duplin/Onslow/Jones/Carteret). Fog likelihood increases over the next couple hours, peaking between 4AM and 7AM today. Lows this morning will remain mild with ample cloud cover, in the low to mid 60s.



SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
As of 200 AM Thursday...No major changes with the forecast.

Previous Discussion
As of 4 PM Wednesday
A nice day is in store as we settle into the post- frontal air mass and upper ridging builds in. Cloud cover will hang around through the day, but we'll be dry with highs in the upper 70s along the coastal plain and low 70s along the OBX.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 430 AM Wednesday...High pressure builds in Thursday night into Friday but another low pressure system will impact the area this weekend. High pressure builds in early next week.

Thursday through Friday...Upper ridging builds in from the west Thursday with a vertically stacked low off the Mid-Atlantic coast slowly moving eastward. Lowered PoPs to below mentionable with most guidance now indicating dry conditions and model soundings showing only a shallow saturated layer above 850mb and very dry well mixed conditions below that. If any showers do develop, they will likely only produce virga. Ridging crest over the area Friday with mainly dry conditions expected but will see increasing clouds as the next system approaches and could see an isolated shower move in from the west late in the day.

Friday night through Sunday night...A complex low pressure system will impact the region through most of the weekend. A southern stream wave will transport ample gulf moisture into the region Friday night into Saturday with sfc low pressure moving across the region late Saturday or early Sunday. The system then transitions into a vertically stack low as it slowly pushes across the Mid-Atlantic and off the coast through the latter half of the weekend. As with most cut-off systems, there are differences among the models with the evolution, timing and track with this system but unsettled weather will impact the region through much of the period.

Monday and Tuesday...The upper low slowly pulls away from the area early next week with high pressure building in from the west with generally dry conditions expected.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Thursday/...
As of 200 AM Thursday...A mix of VFR and MVFR flight categories with brief drops down to IFR/LIFR due to low ceilings currently.
Widespread MVFR/IFR ceilings are likely to develop through the early morning hours as stratus develops. In addition to the stratus, fog potential is increasing along the axis of highest rainfall (along and S of hwy 70). Conditions begin to improve after 8-10am as ceilings lift and scour out with the help of daytime heating and ridging behind the low offshore, leaving at VFR for the rest of Thursday.

LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 445 AM Wednesday...Pred VFR expected Thursday through Friday with high pressure building into the area. Another low pressure system will impact the area through the weekend bringing periods of sub-VFR conditions Friday night through Sunday.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /Today and Tonight/...
As of 4 PM Wed...SCA for coastal waters between Cape Lookout and Surf City has expired, leaving us with better boating conditions through Thursday. Seas 3-5ft and NE winds near 10kts right now become 2-4ft and NW winds near 10kts this afternoon.

LONG TERM /Thursday through Sunday/...
As of 5 AM Wednesday...Low pressure off the Mid-Atlantic will slowly push away from the area Thursday with high pressure transitioning across the waters on Friday with conditions expected to remain below Small Craft Criteria. A complex low pressure system will impact the region Friday night through Sunday bringing unsettled weather through the period. Guidance for the most part keeping conditions below SCA criteria through the weekend but cannot rule out a period of low end SCA mainly late Saturday/Saturday night. The best opportunity for SCA conditions will be late in the weekend or early next week as low pressure deepens as it pulls offshore. There are differences among the models the timing and track of this system, so be sure to follow updates as details come into focus.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT early this morning for AMZ158.

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Old House Channel
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Thu -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:52 AM EDT     0.60 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:37 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:25 PM EDT     0.61 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:04 PM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old House Channel, North Carolina, Tide feet

Davis Slough
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Thu -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:27 AM EDT     0.78 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:08 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:00 PM EDT     0.79 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:35 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Davis Slough, North Carolina, Tide feet

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Morehead City, NC,