Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairfield, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:24PM Monday March 27, 2017 12:40 AM EDT (04:40 UTC) Moonrise 5:49AMMoonset 6:04PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 1030 Pm Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Overnight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon night..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning...then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed night..NE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft... Then 1 ft.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers likely... Then a chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairfield, NC
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location: 35.67, -76.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 270230
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
1030 pm edt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
Monday. A cold front will move through Wednesday morning. A
warm front will move through from the southwest Friday. A cold
front will move through Saturday night.

Near term /overnight/
As of 1030 pm sun... No changes needed with update. Light rain
and sprinkles across the piedmont will remain west of the fa
through the rest of the overnight.

Previous discussion... As of 730 pm sun... Only change to expand
patchy fog eastward towards the hwy 17 corridor, based on
persistence from last night's obs. Otherwise no other changes to
early eve update.

Previous discussion... As of 300 pm Sunday... Added isolated
shower/20 pop/ for western and southern sections early this
evening with radar continuing to indicate some light activity
moving in from off the water. This activity expected to weaken
with loss of heating. Dampening short wave will move across
overnight from w-se but all models indicate current associated
scattered shower activity will dry up trying to move east and
kept no-pop forecast overnight. Guidance indicates current
widespread scu across area will thin/scatter this evening, but
some additional scu moving in overnight with short wave. Light
southerly flow will keep min temps in low-mid 50s.

Short term /Monday/
As of 300 pm Sunday... Mild warm sector conditions will continue
with orientation of offshore surface high and low pressure to
west and north resulting in return of more SW surface flow. Weak
short wave will move across in afternoon and atmosphere will be
slightly more conducive to convective activity to support 20%
pop over coastal plains. Low level thicknesses rising about 10
meters supports MAX temps 75-80 inland and low-mid 70s coast.

Long term /Monday night through Sunday/
As of 330 pm Sunday... Minor tweaks to the long term forecast
as models continue to show good agreement.

Monday night through late Tuesday... High pressure will be somewhat
anchored over eastern nc through early Tuesday morning as mid-level
shortwave and cold front approaches the area Tuesday. Rain chances
increase Tuesday and taper off from west to east late Tuesday night.

Expect the bulk of the rain to be during the afternoon as peak
heating is MAX and forecast soundings are showing marginal to
moderate instability. The GFS forecast sounding is a stronger mu
cape values increasing to 1400-2000 j/kg, LI around -6 c and 0-6km
shear around 25 kts and then increasing to 45 kt by evening. While
the NAM shows mu CAPE increasing to 1000-1400 j/kg, LI around
-4 to -5 c and 0-6km shear around 25 kts increasing to 50 kts by
early evening. Overall, there is a good chance for thunderstorms as
spc currently has the area under general thunder, plus with high pw
can not rule out a brief downpour. Expect highs in the upper 70s/low
80s inland to 60s along the coast.

Wednesday through Thursday... .Will dry as high pressure builds in
from the north... Bringing cooler airmass into nc. Have dropped
dewpoint and high temperature slightly as the area will be influenced
under a northeasterly flow. Expect highs in the mid 70s inland to
low/mid 60s along the coast (it wouldn't surprise me if temps trend
lower) for Wednesday and temps will be lower on Thursday... With
highs reaching to the 60s inland to mid/upper 50s obx. Overnight
lows will be in the 40s.

Thursday night through Sunday... Low pressure system develops over
the southern plains and tracks into the oh valley while it develops
a secondary low around DELMARVA on late Friday night as the warm
front lifts north. Rain chances will increase late Thursday night
through Friday with 60% pops. Cold front will push through Saturday
morning and rain should taper off from west to east during the day.

By Saturday night, the area should be rain-free as high pressure
builds into the region through Sunday. Highs will be in the upper
60s/low 70s inland to 60s along the coast on Friday, while Saturday
and Sunday high temps will reach into the low 70s inland to low 60s
over the obx.

Aviation /03z Monday through Friday/
Short term /through Monday afternoon/...

as of 730 pm Sunday... GenerallyVFR through the TAF pd, though
some tempo fg/br again late tonight to early Mon morning with
light/calm winds and t-td depressions near 0. Diurnal strato cu
has dissipated with loss of heating and mo clear skies expected
tonight. Fair weather again expected for Monday with winds
shifting to be more SW with diurnal strato CU developing once
again by afternoon. Could be an iso shower across the coastal
plain but not enough of a chance to mention even a vcsh.

Long term/Monday night through Friday/... .

As of 330 pm Sunday... Expect sub-vfr conditions late Monday
through Tuesday and again Friday as showers and thunderstorms
move through enc.VFR conditions after the frontal passage on
Wednesday and lasting through Thursday.

Marine
Short term /through Monday/...

as of 1030 pm Sunday... Subtle change in offshore surface high
orientation will lead to SE winds 5-10 kt tonight becoming ssw
10-15 kt Monday. Current 2-3 foot seas will gradually build to
3-4 feet late tonight and Monday.

Long term /Monday night through Friday/... .

As of 330 pm Sunday... High pressure will remain anchored off
the coast through Tuesday morning as a cold front approaches the
waters. Expect s/sw winds 10-15 knots late Monday to Tuesday
and then increases to 15-20 knots ahead of the front. Frontal
boundary is expected to cross the waters Wednesday morning as
high pressure builds back again through Thursday with n/ne winds
10-20 knots. Winds will start to veer from NE to S Friday as a
warm front lifts through the area as southerly flow increases to
15-25 knots. In general, seas will be 3-5 ft through most of
the week, except for Tuesday afternoon as seas build 4-6 ft
between oregon inlet to CAPE lookout with the frontal passage.

Seas are expected to build again Friday above 6 ft as southerly
flow increases ahead of the next approaching cold front.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm/tl
short term... Jbm
long term... Bm
aviation... Tl/bm
marine... Jbm/tl/bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 30 mi41 min ESE 6 G 6 54°F 59°F1023 hPa (-0.7)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi41 min SSE 8.9 G 11 67°F 60°F1022.7 hPa (-0.7)
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 40 mi41 min SSE 12 G 13 53°F 48°F1022.1 hPa (-0.7)
44095 40 mi23 min 52°F3 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 41 mi41 min 50°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 48 mi36 min 51°F3 ft

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC27 mi61 minSE 510.00 miFair57°F53°F89%1023.4 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW4S7S9S10S11
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2 days agoE5E4NE3E3E4E3CalmE3E7SE6SW5S8S8SW13SW8SW9SW17SW18SW15SW15SW12SW12SW11SW10

Tide / Current Tables for Old House Channel, North Carolina
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Old House Channel
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:01 AM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:46 AM EDT     0.79 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:23 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:07 PM EDT     0.82 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.1-0-000.20.40.60.80.80.70.60.40.20-0-00.10.30.60.70.80.80.7

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:40 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:33 AM EDT     0.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:01 PM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:08 PM EDT     0.58 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.20.10000.20.30.40.50.50.50.30.20.10-000.10.20.40.50.60.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.