Monday, November20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wanchese, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 4:54PM Monday November 20, 2017 12:16 PM EST (17:16 UTC) Moonrise 8:24AMMoonset 6:46PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 929 Am Est Mon Nov 20 2017
Rest of today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 11 seconds.
Tue night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wanchese, NC
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location: 35.75, -75.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 201657
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
1157 am est Mon nov 20 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will pass through the area from the west today and
tonight, moving off the coast Tuesday. A cold front will move
through late Tuesday night and off the coast Wednesday. Areas of
low pressure will move northeast across the offshore waters
Thursday through Saturday. A dry cold front will move through
Sunday, bringing a shot of much colder air.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 930 am mon... No significant changes needed to previous
forecast for update this morning. Latest sfc analysis shows
1026mb high pressure centered over tn al ms this morning. High
pressure will continue to build in from the west, making for an
overall pleasant day, though temps will remain below normal. Low
level thickness values and sunny skies support highs in the
lower to mid 50s for the outer banks, and mid 50s to upper 50s
inland.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Tuesday
As of 230 am mon... With the surface ridge overhead, clear skies
and calm winds are forecast throughout. There will be the
potential for frost for those coastal counties that have not yet
ended the growing season (mainland hyde and pamlico)... With
temps dropping into the mid to upper 30s.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
As of 230 am mon... High pres will slide offshore Tue with
increasing clouds and warmer temps as low lvl flow becomes se
to s. Highs will be well into the 60s across much of the area.

An area of low pres will lift NE just off the coast Tue night
and depart to the NE wed. Expect decent coverage of showers to
spread across the region Tue night and cont likely pops most
areas with good chc deep inland. The showers will end from W to
e Wed morn as the low departs with decreasing clouds and
increasing N winds. Temps will be mild Tue night with lows
mostly in the 50s. Shld reach upr 50s to mid 60s Wed before
better CAA kicks in. Dry and cool Wed night as high pres builds
in with lows mid upr 30s inland to mostly 40s beaches.

Low confidence for the Thu thru Sat period. Models agree
that a couple areas of low pres will lift NE off the coast
however track and timing differ. Leaned a little closer to ecmwf
with mainly dry conditions Thu and Fri with just slight pop
cst. For the late Fri night and Sat time period added a small
pop cst per ECMWF showing good moisture and QPF spreading across
with another low lifting NE ahead of approaching cold front.

Cool temps cont Thu and Fri with N NE winds highs mostly in the
50s. On Sat will warm a bit ahead of approaching cold front with
lower 60s expected.

Strong cold front will cross Sat night with cold high pres
building in from the W Sun and mon. Highs Sun will be in the 50s
and looks like mainly 40s to around 50 for mon. Lows will
likely approach or reach freezing most inland areas Sun night.

Aviation 18z Monday through Saturday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 12 pm Monday...VFR conditions will dominate the taf
period as strong high pressure is in control of the regional
area. Skies will continue to be clear this afternoon, then a few
to sct high clouds may stream through late tonight. Winds will
remain light and variable with no fog developing as dewpoint
depression is above 5 degrees. Clouds will increase tomorrow,
but remainVFR.

Long term Tue through Fri ...

as of 230 am mon...VFR expected Tue as high pres slides off the
coast. Showers expected to develop Tue night and early Wed as
low pres lifts NE off the coast. These showers will likely lead
to a few periods of subVFR espcly closer to cst.VFR should
return later Wed as high pres builds in and the low departs.

MainlyVFR expected Thu and Fri with deeper moisture and shower
threat expected mainly E of TAF sites.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 930 am mon... Latest obs show N NW winds 10-20 kt with seas
2-5 ft this morning. Improving boating conditions forecast in
the short term as high pressure builds across the area from the
west. Northwest winds 10-20 knots this morning become 5-10 knots
this afternoon, with seas subsiding to 2-3 ft.

Long term Tue through Fri ...

as of 230 am mon... Se to S winds 10 to 15 kts expected most of
tue and Tue night as high pres slides offshore. Winds become n
and increase Wed as the low departs and high pres builds in.

Speeds will reach 15 to 25 kts Wed aftn and cont in that range
wed night. NE winds 10 to 20 kts expected Thu and Fri as low
pres tracks well offshore and high pres cont to the w.

Seas of 1 to 3 feet early Tue will build to 2 to 4 feet late
tue and reach 3 to 5 feet by early wed. As N winds increase wed
seas will build to 5 to 8 feet by evening. Seas will slowly
subside to 4 to 6 feet Thu and cont in that range into fri.

Confidence in wind speeds and seas heights is low Thu and fri
as models differ significantly.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Hsa
near term... Cqd hsa
short term... Hsa
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf bm
marine... Rf cqd hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 3 mi46 min NW 8 G 11
44095 12 mi58 min 62°F5 ft
41062 24 mi76 min 9.7 G 14 52°F 1024.2 hPa (+1.8)
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 32 mi46 min NW 6 G 8 47°F 60°F1023.7 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 32 mi46 min 61°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 35 mi31 min 61°F3 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi46 min NNW 12 G 14 49°F 58°F1023.9 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NW16
G21
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W11
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G12
W10
G14
W10
NW16
G21
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G22
NW14
G19
NW12
G20
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G16
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G14
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G15
NW11
W8
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S11
S15
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G17
S13
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S9
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G14
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G17
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G17
S15
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S15
S21
S17
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SW21
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SW17
W10
G17
W11
G17
NW13
G20
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NW9
G14
N11
G14
N9
G12
N5
G8
NW5
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W3
W3
NW2
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W3
SW4
SW8
SW9
SW9
SW7
SW6
SW5
S7
S9
S11
S11

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC14 mi31 minNW 710.00 miFair49°F29°F46%1024 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi36 minN 010.00 miFair49°F27°F43%1023.4 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8
G16
NW11
G16
NW9
G14
NW9NW7NW5NW7NW6NW7NW16
G22
NW11
G19
NW8
G17
NW11
G18
NW11
G16
N7N5NW8N7
G15
N7NW7N10
G14
N8NW7N7
1 day agoS12
G16
S14S14
G17
SW15SW18
G25
SW14SW11SW12SW14SW16SW16SW15SW14
G20
SW18SW21SW18
G23
SW18SW20
G27
SW27
G32
W18
G22
W13
G19
W9
G14
NW12
G21
NW8
G20
2 days agoN9N8
G14
N6N4N3N3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7W9W6SW7SW6SW8SW9S10S11

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:00 AM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:23 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:01 AM EST     1.02 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:50 PM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:52 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:46 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:19 PM EST     0.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.20.100.10.30.50.81110.80.60.40.20.10.10.20.30.60.70.80.80.7

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:29 AM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:23 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:47 AM EST     0.88 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:52 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:27 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:46 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 11:16 PM EST     0.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.40.30.10.10.10.10.30.50.70.80.90.80.60.40.20.1000.10.30.50.60.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.