Sunday, April23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wanchese, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 7:47PM Sunday April 23, 2017 1:35 AM EDT (05:35 UTC) Moonrise 3:40AMMoonset 3:40PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 844 Pm Edt Sat Apr 22 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds. Showers and tstms likely until early morning, then showers likely with a slight chance of tstms late.
Sun..NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds, increasing to 12 seconds after midnight. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then showers with a chance of tstms after midnight.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 11 seconds. Showers with a chance of tstms.
Mon night..E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, building to 8 to 11 ft after midnight. Showers. A chance of tstms, mainly in the evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..E winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon. Showers, mainly in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wanchese, NC
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location: 35.75, -75.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 230205
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
1005 pm edt Sat apr 22 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will move south across the region tonight and
stall just south of the area Sunday. Low pressure will slowly
move northeast along the coast of the carolinas Monday and
Tuesday. High pressure in the central atlantic will build in
Wednesday through Friday.

Near term /through Sunday/
As of 1005 pm Saturday... Convection associated with the
southward moving cold front is now moving across central
portions of the area late this evening with the storms showing a
weakening trend since 9 pm. The cold front will continue to
move southeast across the remainder of eastern nc overnight
producing additional showers and storms with it. Although
convection should wane after 1 am, scattered to numerous showers
should persist behind the cold front overnight and will
continue likely pops all areas overnight with most locations
expected to receive at least some measurable precipitation.

After several unusually warm nights... Lows tonight behind the
front will be in the mid 50s north to lower 60s south.

Short term / Sunday through 6 am Sunday/
As of 4 pm Saturday... Cold-air damming sets up for Sunday with deep
moisture below 850 mb coupled with low-level northeast flow
will lead to a cooler day with mostly stratiform precipitation
with elevated thunder. Do not think Sunday will be a washout and
have kept pops mostly in the high chance to low likely category
but QPF totals will not be overly high for Sunday as the deeper
moisture and stronger upper dynamics arrive with closed upper
low Sunday night into early next week. High temperatures Sunday
will be considerably cooler ranging from the mid 60s north to
mid 70s south.

Long term /Sunday through Saturday/
As of 300 pm sat... Heavy rain and flooding event Monday into
Tuesday afternoon. Latest model guidance indicates widespread
rainfall amounts of 3 to 4 inches, with heavier amounts of 5 to
6 inches possible over jones, lenoir, duplin and onslow
counties. A flash flood watch may be needed for parts of eastern
nc for Monday and Tuesday.

Monday and Tuesday... Strong, and elongated upper trough
approaches from the west early Monday with a surface low
pressure out just ahead of it. Another surface low pressure will
be located of the east coast of florida and heading north. These
two low pressure systems will coalesce of the sc coast before
deepening just off the southern nc coast. Strong sse flow will
develop Monday morning and allow a plume of tropical moisture to
advect into the region. On and off periods of heavy rain is
expected for most of eastern nc with the exception of the obx
where rain will not be as heavy. There is also a marginal threat
for severe thunderstorms on Monday with capes generally around
1000 j/kg and increasing wind shear.

Low pressure stalls just off the southern nc coast early Tuesday,
and pivots around the upper level low in a loop. Southerly flow
and heavy rain will continue through Tuesday afternoon, when low
pressure finally begins to move north and up the coast.

Temperatures in this period will be much cooler than recently
but still near average for april. High temps should be in the
low to mid 70s both Monday and Tuesday, with lows in the upper
50s to low 60s.

Wednesday through Saturday... Temps start to rebound again
Wednesday as the low exits to the NE and upper ridging quickly
takes its place with dry conditions developing. Low level
thicknesses and upper heights once again will rise above climo
and temps will reach into the 80s by Wednesday. Thursday into
the rest of next week suggest building heat dome across the
eastern half of the CONUS with thicknesses and heights well
above normal. This would spell another bout of very warm temps
for the area with highs 85-90 (june-like) again late week with
muggy overnight lows in the 60s.

Aviation /02z Sunday through Thursday/
Short term /through 18z Sunday/
as of 742 pm Saturday...VFR conditions will continue outside of
scattered convection this evening as a cold front moves south
across the region. Behind the front expect scattered to numerous
showers showers overnight into Sunday along with lowering
ceilings into the ifr-MVFR range in the moist NE post frontal
flow. The subVFR ceilings are likely to continue throughout
Sunday.

Long term /Sunday night through Wednesday/...

as of 330 pm sat... SubVFR conditions appear likely through
Tuesday night with widespread heavy rain, scattered
thunderstorms, and gusty winds. Conditions improve greatly for
Wednesday and the rest of the work week.

Marine
Short term /tonight and Sunday/...

as of 1005 pm Saturday... Gusty s/sw winds of up to 25 knots
ahead of a southward moving cold front will become n/ne later
tonight behind the front. The post frontal northerly flow is
stronger than previously forecast so have issued an advisory
for the sounds earlier this evening. Seas are currently 4-6 feet
and will build behind the front to at least 6-8 feet later
tonight... Especially over the outer waters. N/ne winds will
continue 15-25 kt Sunday with seas 5 to 8 ft. A small craft
advisory is now in effect for the sounds and all of the coastal
waters extending into midweek as a period of unsettled and rough
marine conditions is expected.

Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/...

as of 330 pm sat... Widespread rain and scattered thunderstorms
appear likely through Tuesday afternoon as a deepening low
pressure system approaches the coastal waters on Monday, and
then stalls off the southern nc coast until Tuesday afternoon.

Winds and initially will be 15 to 20 knots out of the NE Sunday
night with seas 3 to 6 feet. A warm front will lift through the
coastal waters early Monday, turning winds sse at around 15 to
20 knots. Winds will increase later Monday afternoon, to 25 to
30 knots, before peaking Monday night 30 to 35 knots with wind
gusts to 40 knots. A gale watch may be needed for portions of
the coastal waters as near gale force winds are expected. Seas
will respond quickly, increasing to 7-11 feet Monday night.

Seas will peak early Tuesday morning around 10-13 feet for the
central and northern waters, and 7 to 10 feet for the southern
waters. Winds on Tuesday will mostly be out of the south 15 to
25 knots, before the low pressure crosses the region Tuesday
afternoon, turning winds NW at 10 to 15 knots. Seas on Tuesday
will drop below 10 feet by late morning and become 5 to 8 feet.

Wednesday will feature NW winds 10 to 15 knots with 3 to 6 ft
seas.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement from Sunday afternoon through Sunday
evening for ncz103.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 pm edt Sunday for amz130-131-135.

Small craft advisory until 2 pm edt Wednesday for amz150-152-
154-156-158.

Synopsis... Jme/ctc
near term... Jme/ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk
aviation... Jme/ctc/sgk
marine... Jme/ctc/jbm/sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 3 mi54 min N 8.9 G 13 56°F 74°F1013.6 hPa
44095 12 mi48 min 59°F6 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 32 mi48 min N 19 G 23 56°F 62°F1013.7 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 32 mi36 min 60°F5 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 35 mi61 min 58°F6 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi48 min N 12 G 17 64°F 71°F1013 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC14 mi41 minNE 15 G 1810.00 miOvercast56°F55°F96%1014.2 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi61 minN 8 G 177.00 miOvercast56°F55°F100%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW14W12
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SW11SW18SW19N13N13
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1 day agoSW10SW8W9W11
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S13SW17SW11SW11SW9SW9SW10SW13SW13
2 days agoSW11SW9SW8SW7SW6SW7SW6SW6W8
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S13SW14SW14SW10SW9SW10SW10SW8SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:23 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:11 AM EDT     0.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:46 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:37 PM EDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.10.20.40.70.90.90.90.80.60.40.20.100.10.30.60.8110.90.70.50.3

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:42 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:47 AM EDT     0.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:13 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:39 PM EDT     0.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.10.10.20.30.50.70.80.80.80.60.40.20.1000.10.30.50.80.90.90.80.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.