Tuesday, May21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wanchese, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:52AMSunset 8:10PM Tuesday May 21, 2019 11:44 PM EDT (03:44 UTC) Moonrise 9:57PMMoonset 7:08AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 935 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2019
Overnight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wanchese, NC
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location: 35.75, -75.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 220144
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
944 pm edt Tue may 21 2019

Synopsis
High pressure at the surface and aloft will build across the
southeast states through early next week.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 930 pm tue... East to northeast flow prevails as the
backdoor cold front has moved well south and west of the area
and high pressure is building in from the north. A deck of low
stratus has developed from the crystal coast through
jacksonville and into duplin county on the north side of the
front. This cloud deck will slowly slide south through the
overnight hours, with clear skies prevailing otherwise. Modest
cold air advection brings cooler, drier conditions with temps
dropping back to near climo: 55-60 interior to lower 60s near
the coast.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through 6 pm Wednesday
As of 330 pm tue... Pleasant day on tap with temps near climo,
the last such day before heat wave builds into E nc once again
for late week through early next week. Highs tomorrow will be
very near climo, with pleasantly drier air mass in place under
mostly sunny skies as high pres builds in. Temps in the low 80s
for most interior areas, with 70-75 for the obx zones.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
As of 345 am tue... A return to a highly amplified upper pattern
is expected across the CONUS for the remainder of the period
resulting in a strong upper ridge over the southeast states into
early next week. This pattern favors well above average
temperatures, possibly reaching record levels. Complicating the
temperature forecast is a wavy frontal boundary forecast over
the mid atlantic region which will likely oscillate north south
and could drift into portions of eastern nc Friday into sat
producing slightly cooler temperatures especially along the
coast due to onshore. Inland locations should remain with above
normal warmth. Still looks like a predominately dry forecast
through the period. The aforementioned wavy frontal boundary
could also result in some isolated to widely scattered
convective activity at times but current models indicate no
significant organized precipitation events over the next 7 days.

Thursday through Monday... A strengthening upper level ridge
will move out of the gulf of mexico and park itself over the
deep south Thursday into early next week. Surface high pressure
will again set up over the western atlantic, producing a deep
sw flow to the region. Early signs are showing that this
combination could bring close to record heat to the southeast
us. However, the latest model runs continue to show the ridge a
bit further west, placing eastern nc on the peripheral of the
heat, and vulnerable to wavy front from the north drifting south
into portions of the area though it still looks the potential
for very hot conditions still exists and will forecast inland
highs in the 90s through the period and mid to upper 80s closer
to the coast. Continued to trend towards previous forecast, wpc
and the ECMWF which keeps the ridge in place. Right now the
hottest days look like Sunday and Monday. ECMWF shows 850mb
temps 20c+ over most of eastern nc Sunday through the middle of
next week. Record high temps will be possible. Please see climate
section below for details.

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through Wed evening ...

as of 9 pm tue... An MVFR stratus deck has developed on the
north side of the cold front across portions of SE nc. MVFR
conditions will remain possible for the next several hours at
koaj, with the stratus deck expected to slide south of the area
overnight. Otherwise,VFR conditions prevail through the period
in mainly light east to northeast winds and mainly skc.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday ...

as of 345 am tue... PredVFR conditions expected through the
period, though cannot rule out patchy shallow fog and or stratus
early each morning at the terminals.

Marine
Short term through Wed ...

as of 330 pm tue... Winds have turned NE behind cold front, as
the front is now moving through the crystal coast area. NE winds
will continue 10-15 with some gusts to 20 kt through tonight
with seas 2-4 ft. This will be repeated through the day wed,
with continued NE winds 10-15 kt.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday ...

as of 345 am tue... High pressure will be the dominant feature
through the period. S SW winds 5-15 kt return on thu. Guidance
continues to show a front pushing through the waters Friday with
sw winds 15-20 kt briefly becoming NW N 10-15 kt over the
northern and central waters in the afternoon, and NE all waters
fri night. E NE flow 5-15 kt will continue across the waters
Saturday. Seas generally 2 to 4 ft through the period. Seas may
build up to 5 ft across the outer waters Thu night into Fri in
period of moderate SW flow.

Climate
Record or near record warmth is expected late this week into
early next week.

Record high temps for 5 24 (Friday)
location temp year
new bern 96 2011 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 87 1992 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1925 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 87 1992 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 94 1994 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 95 2011 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 26 (Sunday)
location temp year
new bern 100 1953 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 88 1962 (khse asos)
greenville 99 1927 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 96 1953 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 94 2004 (knca asos)
record high temps for 5 27 (Monday)
location temp year
new bern 96 1989 (kewn asos)
cape hatteras 86 2004 (khse asos)
greenville 96 1962 (coop - not kpgv awos)
morehead city 88 2006 (coop - not kmrh asos)
kinston 96 2011 (coop - not kiso awos)
jacksonville 97 1989 (knca asos)

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Tl cb
short term... Tl
long term... Jme
aviation... Jme cb
marine... Jme tl
climate... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 3 mi50 min NNE 6 G 8.9 66°F 78°F1019.1 hPa
44095 12 mi58 min 68°F3 ft
44086 19 mi49 min 68°F3 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 32 mi44 min 65°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 32 mi50 min NE 13 G 14 65°F 65°F1018.9 hPa
FRFN7 32 mi104 min 2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 35 mi44 min 68°F2 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi50 min NE 9.9 G 16 69°F 75°F1018.6 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC14 mi84 minE 410.00 miFair64°F52°F67%1019.3 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi84 minno data10.00 miFair62°F54°F75%1019 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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2 days agoSE4S3S3CalmCalmS6S5S6S7S7S9S7S6S10S12
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Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
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Tue -- 05:13 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:49 AM EDT     0.85 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:06 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT     1.00 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.70.50.20.1-000.20.40.60.80.80.80.60.40.20.100.10.20.50.70.91

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:10 AM EDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:18 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:35 PM EDT     0.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:11 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.70.70.60.40.30.1-0-0.1-0.10.10.30.40.60.60.50.40.30.20.100.10.20.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.