Wednesday, February20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wanchese, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:51PM Wednesday February 20, 2019 3:16 AM EST (08:16 UTC) Moonrise 7:13PMMoonset 7:37AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 248 Am Est Wed Feb 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through Thursday afternoon...
Today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming se this afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft...building to 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. Rain.
Tonight..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. Patchy fog. A chance of rain.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Rain likely.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of rain.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 4 ft. A chance of rain.
Fri night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Rain likely.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming s. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Rain likely.
Sun..W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wanchese, NC
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location: 35.75, -75.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 200723
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
223 am est Wed feb 20 2019

Synopsis
A warm front will move into the area today and linger through
Thursday. The front will shift back south Thursday night, then
back to the north as a warm front this weekend, resulting in a
continued unsettled weather pattern. High pressure will build in
from the northwest early next week.

Near term through today
As of 215 am wed... High pressure influencing the area from the
north will continue to weaken as in-situ damming sets up. A
weak shortwave moves up the coast while a coastal trough warm
front developing offshore pushes onshore. Widespread light to
moderate rain expected today with good isentropic lift and deep
moisture in place. Will continue categorical to likely pops
across the region with best cvrg later this morn into the aftn.

Temp forecast will be tricky with wedge in place across the
inland areas. Highs likely only getting to around 50 deg deep
inland with E NE winds and lower 60s along the central and srn
coast with winds becoming SE s.

Short term tonight
As of 215 am tue... The warm front becomes less defined tonight
with decrease in deep moisture. Cont prev trend of chc pops
overnight. Despite mainly S to SW sfc flow expect some fog to
cont with saturated low lvls. Very little temp drop overnight
with the warm sector over bulk of the region ... Lows mainly upr
40s inland to upper 50s cst and may even rise a bit late.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 2 am wed... Mostly unsettled weather expected through the
period, as a wavy front will linger across E nc through the
weekend. Dry high pressure finally makes an appearance by late
next weekend through early next week.

Thursday through Friday... Tough forecast this period, as
wavering front will be nearby, and continued broad swrly winds
aloft will mean rain chances each period as rain will be
isentropically lifted. Deep moisture in place along with vort
lobes passing across the area will result in pops in the good
chance to likely categories both days and during the overnight
periods.

Area will be in the warm sector thu, and with low lvl
thicknesses soaring to around 1390m, highs expected to be in the
70s most areas, though cloud cover and areas of rain,
especially north, may keep temps in the 60s here. High temps
Friday appear to drop into the 50s as wavering front looks to
drop back south as a cold front. More unsettled weather in the
form of rain Friday, as 850mb front remains across the area,
leading to some decent isentropic lift continuing.

Saturday... Unsettled weather continues for Saturday, as the
next low pressure area shortwave will swing through the ohio
valley and bring lift moisture through the region once again.

Temps warm into the 60s as warm front will be lifting through.

Sunday... Finally some drying on Sunday as area will be in warm
sector ahead of approaching cold front. Only chc rain showers at
this time, as best lift moisture will be north and west of the
region. It appears to be a very warm day, as thicknesses soar to
aoa 1390m, suggestive of high temps in the 75-80 degree range
(65-70 beaches).

Monday through Tuesday... Dry high pres arrives on Monday, though
flow will be zonal, so expecting temps to remain above climo,
with 60s for highs generally. Tuesday may see the approach of
the next system in a continued active storm track, and have
introduced chc pops.

Aviation 07z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 1215 am wed... Outside of pgvVFR conts currently. All
guidance shows conditions grad deteriorating thru the morn with
MVFR developing by 12z... Then ifr or worse developing between
12z and 18z with widespread low clouds developing as rain
increases. Once low clouds form just about all guidance keeps
them locked in thru rest of period. Good cvrg of rain thru the
day... Will also see areas of fog as well at times. Rain will
taper off tonight but some fog wl likely conts with low lvls
saturated.

Long term Thu through Sunday ...

as of 2 am wed... Sub-vfr conditions for most of the week in an
unsettled weather pattern, with good chances of rain each
period. Sunday will finally dry out with a return toVFR
expected.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 1215 am wed... Ne winds 15 to 25 kt with higher gusts s
will grad shift to the SE today as warm front pushes slowly
inland. Gusty S to SE winds this evening then become sw
overnight with speeds mainly 10 to 20 kts... Poss a bit higher
outer central and SRN wtrs. Seas of 3 to 4 ft N and 5 to 6 ft s
early will build to 6 to 8 ft by evening and cont in that range
overnight. Cont all current headlines. Will have to watch
pamlico sound as may need to extend duration of SCA if warm
front pushes in a little further.

Long term Thu through Sunday ...

as of 2 am wed... Poor boating conditions forecast through most
of the period in unsettled weather pattern. SCA continues into
thu in messy pattern with a front moving in from the northwest.

Flow becomes NE 15-20 kt on Friday as the front moves to the
south and becomes stationary, and high res wave guidance
indicating marginal brief 6 ft seas developing on the outer
ctrl SRN waters. Winds will veer to E and then eventually to s
on Saturday as coastal trof develops. Winds seas forecast to
remain below SCA on Saturday, though strong cold front moves
through later Sunday, and SW winds expected to strengthen to
20-30 kt by Sun morning and build seas to 6+ ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 9 am est this morning for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm est Thursday for amz152-154-
156-158.

Small craft advisory from 3 pm this afternoon to 1 pm est
Thursday for amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Hsa
aviation... Rf hsa
marine... Rf hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 3 mi46 min NNE 12 G 14 1034.4 hPa
44095 12 mi30 min 46°F4 ft
44086 19 mi21 min 45°F3 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 32 mi46 min 44°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 32 mi46 min NE 9.9 G 12 38°F 45°F1034.4 hPa
FRFN7 32 mi136 min 3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 35 mi31 min 45°F3 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 38 mi46 min NE 13 G 21 41°F 53°F1032.2 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC14 mi36 minENE 910.00 miOvercast38°F33°F86%1034.5 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi36 minENE 510.00 miOvercast37°F33°F87%1034.2 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE4N7
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CalmW4W7W6S6N3NW12
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2 days agoN7NE8NE9NE8NE10NE10
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NE10NE7NE7N8NE11N11E7E7SE6SE8S5S4S10S4CalmN3N3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Slough, North Carolina
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Davis Slough
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:37 AM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:36 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 08:35 AM EST     1.08 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:14 PM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:48 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:59 PM EST     0.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.10.20.60.911.10.90.70.40.1-0.1-0.2-0.200.40.70.910.90.7

Tide / Current Tables for Rodanthe, Pamlico Sound, North Carolina
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Rodanthe
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:42 AM EST     -0.73 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:35 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 11:21 AM EST     0.74 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:48 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:19 PM EST     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:45 PM EST     0.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.40.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.20.20.50.70.70.60.3-0-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.6-0.400.40.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.