Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Williamston, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:15PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 11:06 AM EDT (15:06 UTC) Moonrise 1:27PMMoonset 1:44AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 954 Am Edt Wed May 23 2018
Rest of today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Waves around 2 ft late this morning, then 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms late this morning, then a chance of showers and tstms early this afternoon. Showers and tstms likely late.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..E winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Williamston, NC
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location: 35.82, -77.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 231347
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
947 am edt Wed may 23 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will continue offshore through today. A cold
front will move through the area late tonight followed by high
pressure building in from the north Thursday. The high will move
offshore Friday with a bermuda high pattern returning for the
weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 945 am Wednesday... Lowered init pops this morn otherwise
no changes planned. Expect convection to fire later this morn
on sea breeze then more organized and poss strong to severe
convection later today espcly NRN tier ahead of approaching
cold front.

Prev disc... An upper level shortwave and sfc cold front
approach from the northwest today. A moist and unstable airmass
remain in place ahead of the front and expect scattered showers
and thunderstorms to develop late morning and afternoon hours
with best coverage along the sea breeze. By late afternoon
expect a line of strong pre-frontal storms to be dropping into
northern sections. With better upper level support and bulk
shear increasing to around 30 kt this afternoon a few storms
could become marginally severe with damaging wind gusts the
primary threat but could also see marginally severe hail as
well. SW flow ahead of the front will continue to bring warm and
humid conditions and expect temps to top out in the mid 80s
inland to lower 80s near the coast.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
As of 3 am Wednesday... Ongoing line of showers and thunderstorms
will continue to push south across the area tonight with the
cold front pushing through the area after midnight. The severe
threat continues into the evening hours but as the convection
moves into southern sections expect storms to gradually weaken
as instability decreases with loss of heating. The greatest
threat for severe will generally be north of highway 70 where
spc has the region outlooked for a marginal risk. Precip will
taper off from north to south after midnight as drier air
spreads in behind the front but will likely linger across
southern sections late tonight. Another mild night with lows
around 65-70.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
As of 345 am Wednesday... A cold front will provide a brief
respite from the humidity Thursday into the early portion of the
weekend, before deep moisture returns with numerous showers and
thunderstorms for early next week.

Thursday through Sunday... A back door cold front will move into
the southern CWA early Thursday. There will be a chance of a few
showers and possible thunderstorms early in the day along the
front, before lower dewpoints filter in. Thursday actually looks
to be a rather nice day as dewpoints drop into the 60s area wide
with high temperatures in the low 80s with NE winds around 10
mph or so. A pleasant night will follow Thursday night with lows
into the 60s area-wide. Friday should be a generally sunny day
with highs in the lower 80s and dewpoints in the 60s. Winds veer
to SE S on Saturday but forcing for precipitation remains weak.

Will have just a few showers or storms inland on the seabreeze
for Saturday, with highs warming to the mid 80s. Moisture will
continue to increase on Sunday with gusty southerly winds and
highs into the mid 80s. Upper forcing remains weak however, and
will continue with just low chance pops at this time.

Monday and Tuesday... Deepening moisture associated with an upper
low closing off along the gulf coast will lead to higher chances
of showers and thunderstorms for early next week. Precipitable
water values will surge to over 2 inches with increasingly gusty
se S winds. Will forecast high chance pops at this time with
high temperatures generally upper 70s to lower 80s with
increased cloud cover.

Aviation 14z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 945 am Wednesday... Area of MVFR stcu over the region shld
lift sct out toVFR later this morn then will deal with
convection this aftn evening with brief subVFR likely at times.

Prev disc..Area of st stcu advecting into the region from the
sand hills will bring a period of ifr low MVFR CIGS for the next
couple hours but expect it to lift and scatter by late morning.

Convective activity increases this afternoon through tonight
bringing periods of sub-vfr conditions. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected across the region today with best
coverage along the sea breeze. By late afternoon a pre-frontal
line of showers will push into northern sections, then push
south through the area overnight. Some of these storms could be
strong to severe with damaging wind gusts and large hail
possible. A cold front will push south through the area after
midnight.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 355 am Wednesday... A rather quiet period aviation-wise
expected for Thursday through Sunday. Lower dewpoints and light
winds will lead to good flying conditions, mostlyVFR for
Thursday and Friday. A few scattered sea breeze thunderstorms
may form Saturday and Sunday afternoon inland, but any sub-vfr
conditions will be short-lived.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 945 am Wednesday... Fcst on track and no changes planned.

Prev disc... Sw winds around 10-20 kt expected today ahead of a
cold front with seas around 3-5 ft. Gradients a bit this
evening, then will see the front push south across the waters
after midnight with winds becoming northerly behind the front
and seas subsiding to 2-4 ft. Strong thunderstorms are expected
to push across the waters late this afternoon through the
overnight.

Long term Thursday through Sunday ...

as of 355 am Wednesday... Fairly quiet marine weather will
continue through most of the forecast period. Behind a cold
front Thursday, expect NE winds at 10-15 knots Thursday and
Thursday night before winds veer to more SE S by Friday and into
the weekend. In response to a re-strengthening of high pressure
offshore and low pressure developing over the gulf of mexico,
se S winds will start to increase Sunday with S winds gusting to
20 knots possible by Sunday afternoon. Per latest local
nwps swan model, seas should remain at or below 5 feet until
Saturday, but building to as high as 8 feet Sunday as SE swell
energy increases late in the day.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Sk
near term... Rf sk
short term... Sk
long term... Ctc
aviation... Rf ctc sk
marine... Rf ctc sk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 75 mi55 min WSW 15 G 18 75°F 63°F1016.5 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 77 mi37 min 66°F2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 78 mi49 min WSW 7 G 12 78°F 75°F1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Warren Field Airport, NC17 mi12 minWSW 5 G 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F70°F74%1018.3 hPa
Pitt-Greenville Airport, NC21 mi2 minWSW 9 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F69°F79%1018.6 hPa

Wind History from OCW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW8CalmSW11
G15
CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW6SW7
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SW8CalmCalmCalmSW5SW4W12
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CalmSW7
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1 day agoS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN9CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoS11
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S3CalmSW6SW9
G14
CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Nansemond River, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:00 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:23 AM EDT     3.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:33 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:58 PM EDT     4.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.51.122.93.63.93.93.42.61.60.70.20.10.61.42.33.23.94.13.83.12.21.2

Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia
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Suffolk
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:04 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:25 AM EDT     3.91 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:38 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:02 PM EDT     4.00 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.411.82.73.53.93.83.32.51.60.70.20.10.51.32.23.13.843.83.12.21.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.