Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manteo, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 8:28PM Monday June 26, 2017 6:29 PM EDT (22:29 UTC) Moonrise 7:37AMMoonset 9:43PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 402 Pm Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manteo, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 262012 cca
afdmhx
area forecast discussion... Corrected
national weather service newport morehead city nc
412 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
A weak cold front will cross eastern nc Tuesday. High pressure
will build in from the west Wednesday through late week and slide
offshore for the weekend.

Near term through tonight
As of 345 pm Monday... Latest sfc analysis is showing a frontal
boundary off the carolina coast. This boundary will push
farther farther offshore as a mid-level trough axis approaches
the area. This will help keep the weather dry overnight, but
mid high clouds will increase overnight... Ahead of the trough.

Overnight temperatures will be pleasant for this time of the
year. Expect lows in the low 60s inland to low 70s along the
coast.

Short term Tuesday
As of 345 pm Monday... A significant shortwave trough will drop
down from the midwest into the carolinas tomorrow tomorrow
night. Winds will shift from SW to NW during the morning weak
cold front crosses the area. This will support scattered showers
and thunderstorms to develop, especially along the sea breeze
zone. Forecast soundings are showing weak instability, but strong
0-6 km shear (around 50 kts), increasing pw values and much cooler
temps aloft. Mainly a rain event, but with a few thunderstorms
developing during the afternoon. Expect high is in the low to mid
80s under a northerly flow.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
As of 300 pm Monday... Scattered showers expected Tuesday night,
then cooler and much drier air will spread into eastern nc
Wednesday through late week. Typical summertime pattern
redevelops late week into next weekend with temps a few degrees
above normal and scattered diurnal driven convection.

Tuesday night... A strong mid-level shortwave will move through
the area Tuesday night, supporting scattered showers and
possibly a thunderstorm. Forecast soundings indicate marginal
instability but strong shear and much cooler temps aloft, 500mb
temps drop to -12 -14c, could see some small hail especially a
few hours in the early evening. Tweaked pops slightly to cover
most of the inland area with 30 pop for the early evening,
diminishing and shifting towards the coast, and then ending by 2
am. Much cooler air coming Tue night with lows dropping into
the upper 50s inland and mid 60s along the coast.

Wednesday through Thursday... Strong high pressure will build
across the region bringing dry and pleasant conditions, with
drier and cooler air in place. Highs will be in the low to mid
80s and lows in the lower 60s inland to around 70 on the
immediate coast Wednesday night.

Friday through Monday... High pressure will shift off the coast
allowing southerly flow to return with an increase in moisture.

Temperatures quickly warm back up with highs creeping back to
the mid 80s 90 degrees through the remainder of the period. Low
temps warming back into the 70s this weekend. With the typical
summertime pattern of troughing inland and high pressure
offshore, scattered diurnal convective chances increase by the
weekend. Friday looks to be mostly dry, but carried a chance of
showers and thunderstorms Saturday through Monday.

Aviation 19z Monday through Saturday
Short term through 12z Tuesday ...

as of 1 pm Monday... High confidence ofVFR conditions will
dominate most of the TAF period. Clear to scattered high
clouds will skirt through the area due to the offshore frontal
boundary. Skies will clear tonight briefly, then mid to high
clouds will increase as the trough axis approaches closer to
eastern nc. Winds will likely decouple tonight which could lead
to patchy fog to develop. Expect MVFR vsbys from 08-12z
Tuesday.VFR conditions will return back in the morning under
light winds.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 pm Monday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Scattered showers and storms may produce
brief period of sub-vfr conditions Tuesday afternoon and
evening. High pressure will bring a dry air mass for Wednesday
and Thursday. Moisture increases Friday and could see patchy
fog stratus Saturday morning and scattered showers and
thunderstorms on Saturday that produce brief periods of MVFR
conditions.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 345 pm Monday... Great marine conditions across eastern nc
waters. The latest buoy observations are showing NE 12 knots or
less and seas 1-2 ft. Winds will continue to veer from the NE to
s SW by tonight ahead of weak cold front, then winds will shift
to the NW by morning as the weak boundary starts to cross.

Overall, wind speeds should remain around 10 knots or less.

Expect showers and thunderstorms to occurs Tuesday
afternoon evening.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 pm Monday... Generally benign and pleasant boating
conditions expected through late week. Could see a brief surge
of winds Tuesday night as cooler drier air sweeps into the area.

At this time kept winds no higher than 15 kt although NAM did
indicate a potential for winds to 20 kt. This will need to be
monitored for future updates.

Surface high pressure will build over the area Tuesday night
crest over the waters Wednesday, and move offshore Thursday.

Winds will shift to north northeast 5-10 kts Wednesday, then
become southeast to south 5-15 kts on Thursday. Gradient will
tighten Fri into Saturday with high pressure offshore and
troughing inland, S SW winds increase to 10-15 kt Friday and
could approach 20 kt by late Saturday. Seas will be generally
2-3 ft until late Saturday when 3 to 4 foot seas are possible.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Bm
near term... Bm
short term... Bm
long term... Rsb dag cqd
aviation... Rsb cqd bm
marine... Rsb cqd bm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 10 mi48 min NNE 6 G 8.9 76°F 74°F1017 hPa
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi42 min ESE 5.1 G 7 78°F 74°F1016.7 hPa
44095 21 mi42 min 75°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi25 min 73°F1 ft
41062 31 mi90 min ENE 7.8 G 9.7 77°F 78°F1018 hPa (-1.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 48 mi42 min ESE 6 G 8 1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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S6
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G13
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G11
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G12
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G15
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G17
N10
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N7
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1 day
ago
S15
G19
SW14
G17
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G21
SW6
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W8
G11
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W8
G11
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W7
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G7
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N4
NE6
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G9
SE6
G9
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S24
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S23
G28
S24
SW22
G29
SW24
G30
SW27
SW24
G32
SW26
G35
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SW27
G36
SW29
SW27
G34
SW23
SW19
G24
SW16
SW14
G20
W10
G14
SW12
SW7
S16
S19
S20
S20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC2 mi45 minE 710.00 miFair78°F55°F46%1017.3 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC7 mi45 minESE 410.00 miFair77°F59°F55%1016.9 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4CalmN3W3NW3NW6NW5NW4N7NW5N6N5N5NE9NE9NE11
G16
NE9E10E11
G15
E10E9E8E7SE6
1 day agoSW4CalmSW11SW9W4N6S5W7W5NW3W4W5W5W4W6W4W4N4N3N5NW3CalmSE7SW5
2 days agoSW15SW19SW19
G26
SW18
G24
SW17
G21
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G22
SW18
G22
SW20
G24
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G26
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G26
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G29
SW20W18W21
G26
W14
G24
W14
G19
W11
G20
W8
G15
W5W6N5N7NE4N4

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:56 AM EDT     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:54 AM EDT     3.59 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:02 PM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:16 PM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.61.50.4-0.3-0.6-0.30.51.62.63.43.63.32.51.60.6-0.2-0.5-0.20.61.72.83.64.13.9

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:40 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:02 PM EDT     0.49 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:15 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.60.50.30.20.1000.10.20.40.50.50.50.40.20.10000.10.30.40.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.