Sunday, July22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manteo, NC

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 6:03AMSunset 8:19PM Sunday July 22, 2018 2:52 AM EDT (06:52 UTC) Moonrise 3:07PMMoonset 1:05AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 1010 Pm Edt Sat Jul 21 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday evening...
Overnight..SW winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..S winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..S winds around 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Showers and tstms likely.
Mon..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the morning.
Mon night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SE winds around 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SE winds around 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manteo, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 220614
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
214 am edt Sun jul 22 2018

Synopsis
The area will remain in between high pressure offshore and low
pressure to the west and southwest through midweek. Associated
warm and moist southerly flow will produce above normal chances
for showers and thunderstorms.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 1005 pm Saturday... Scattered convection approaching from
the west. Kept slight chance in the northeast counties with
chance elsewhere. No change to overnight lows.

Prev disc... Differences exist later tonight amongst the hrrr,
nssl- WRF and 3km NAM with regards to precipitation development
as the nssl- WRF shows a band of convection moving through the
region closer to midnight, while the hrrr and nam12 show any
activity holding off until early Sunday morning. Likely trigger
will be a shortwave crossing kentucky that has become
convectively active over the past hour or so. Given the
uncertainty in the precipitation timing, have lowered pops from
likely to high chance from after 03z through the overnight
hours. With a record-breaking precipitable water of 2.46 inches
from this morning's 12z mhx sounding, any convection has the
potential to quickly produce heavy rainfall and localized
flooding. Low temperatures tonight should be in the low to mid
70s.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 am Monday
As of 350 pm Saturday... After any initial precipitation in the
morning, Sunday afternoon again looks convectively active with
deep southerly flow around high pressure offshore with surface
trough lingering inland over the piedmont of north carolina with
mid-level low parked over the southeastern united states.

Following the trends from both the GFS ecmwf, pops go from high
chance during the morning to likely during the afternoon. With
high precipitable water values, heavy downpours are possible and
eastern nc is in a "marginal" threat of excessive rainfall for
Sunday. The deep moisture and widespread cloudiness should
reduce the threat for any severe convection Sunday. High
temperatures will reach the mid to upper 80s Sunday.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 315 am Saturday... A warm and moist southerly flow will
continue Sunday night through next week due to low pressure to
the west and high pressure over the western atlantic ocean,
leading to unsettled weather conditions from through much of
next week.

Sunday night through Wednesday... Deep, warm, and moist
southerly flow will continue behind a departing low pressure
system Sunday night and will persist through much of the
upcoming week between broad low pressure aloft to the west and
western atlantic high pressure. This pattern is conducive for
widespread showers and thunderstorms, most widespread during
peak heating with a persistent mid level trough over the eastern
us. Timing for the highest chances of rain is roughly Monday
afternoon through Wednesday when channeled vorticity sets up
over eastern nc with an elongated axis of very high pwats
stretching from the tropical western atlantic ocean. Given
persistence amongst guidance over the past several runs, have
increased pops slightly during this time frame, with the
potential for 2 to 6 inches of rainfall, highest closer to the
coast. Will continue to highlight severe flood potential in hwo.

Thursday and Friday... The persistent upper trough to our west
finally fills and shifts northeast from the deep south states
towards the mid-atlantic, with high pressure continuing
offshore. Moist southwesterly flow will be present both days
with convection more diurnally focused.

Temps Sunday night through Friday will be close to
climatological normals, ranging from highs in the upper 80s
inland to mid 80s for the coast. Minimum temps will range from
the low to mid 70s.

Aviation 06z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through 06z Sunday ...

as of 200 am Sunday... CurrentVFR all sites expected to prevail
most of the night but a tempo period of ifr stratus just below
1k ft also likely for sites west of kewn mainly 08z-12z. Mid-
level dry slot currently keeping precip west and east of area
will continue rest of night, then deepening southerly flow and
moisture expected to produce scattered to broken coverage of
convective activity afternoon into evening with brief periods of
sub-vfr possible. Southerly winds will gust up to 20 kt this
afternoon.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday ...

as of 330 am Saturday... Periodic sub-vfr conditions are
expected through Wednesday as an unsettled pattern develops
across eastern nc. Southerly flow will continue Sunday night and
will last through next week.

Marine
Short term tonight and Sunday ...

as of 1005 pm Saturday... Current marine zones still look good.

No changes needed late this evening. Gusty southwest winds will
continue overnight with rough seas persisting through the
evening before subsiding somewhat after midnight. While
conditions may subside for several hours late tonight and early
Sunday, have extended the small craft advisory from tonight
through later this week, and wind and seas quickly increase
again by late morning to midday on Sunday. With high pressure
offshore and a surface trough over the piedmont of north
carolina remaining in place for much of the next several days,
gusty southerly winds and rough seas will continue. Did extend
the SCA for the pamlico sound until 5 am Sunday morning, but
conditions there should subside below SCA status for at least a
day or so.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday ...

as of 330 am Saturday... Low end SCA conditions are expected
over the waters for much of the period. Sunday night through
Wednesday, moderate S SW winds 10-20 kt develop between low
pressure well west of the waters and high pressure across the
western atlantic ocean, producing 4 to 6 ft seas, highest for
the outer fringes of the coastal waters. While boating
conditions will be poor for most of the period, conditions will
be exacerbated by a prolonged period of showers and
thunderstorms from approximately Monday afternoon through
Wednesday.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt early this morning for
amz135.

Small craft advisory until 9 pm edt Thursday for amz150-152-
154-156-158.

Synopsis... Ctc
near term... Ctc hsa
short term... Ctc
long term... Dag
aviation... Dag jbm hsa ms
marine... Dag ctc hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 10 mi40 min S 14 G 16 79°F 78°F1008.9 hPa
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi34 min S 6 G 7 75°F 69°F1008.5 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi52 min 73°F3 ft
FRFN7 20 mi172 min 2 ft
44095 21 mi34 min 75°F5 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi37 min 75°F4 ft
41062 31 mi52 min 7.8 G 12 1010.2 hPa (+0.0)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 48 mi34 min SSW 7 G 9.9 79°F 80°F1009.2 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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E6
G9
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G12
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G17
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G11
S15
G26
SE12
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NE8
G12
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G12
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G14
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G15
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G14
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G15
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G14
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G18
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G23
NE9
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N4
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N6
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G12
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G15
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G12
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G12
NE9
G12
NE8
G12
NE9
G12
NE8
G11

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC2 mi77 minSW 810.00 miFair76°F74°F94%1009.1 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC7 mi82 minN 010.00 mi76°F73°F95%1008.8 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4SE4S3W5SE5SE9SE10S13
G17
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G30
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G23
S14
G25
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G20
W16
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W13W11SW9W6SW7W7SW8
1 day agoE6E5E6E5E6E9E7E10E10
G16
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G14
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E10SE9E9E10E12SE14
G18
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G16
SE7SE12
G18
SE11
G17
E15
G21
NE7E8
2 days agoN3NE3CalmCalmNE3NE4E6NE5NE8E9E9E10
G14
E9
G15
E9E7E11E10E7E6E8E7E7E7E7

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:55 AM EDT     2.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:00 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:30 PM EDT     3.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:03 PM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.62.32.72.92.72.21.610.50.30.511.72.53.13.53.53.22.61.81.10.60.4

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:33 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:17 AM EDT     0.45 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:41 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:05 PM EDT     0.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.10.10.20.30.40.40.40.40.20.10.1000.10.20.30.40.50.50.50.40.30.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.