Friday, October19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manteo, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 6:24PM Friday October 19, 2018 7:38 PM EDT (23:38 UTC) Moonrise 3:02PMMoonset 1:08AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 627 Pm Edt Fri Oct 19 2018
.gale watch in effect from late Saturday night through Sunday morning...
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to sw 15 to 20 kt late this evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. Dominant period 9 seconds, decreasing to 4 seconds after midnight. A chance of showers after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms late.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft after midnight. NEar shore, seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds. A chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Sun night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft, subsiding to 4 to 5 ft after midnight.
Mon..N winds around 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manteo, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 192217
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
617 pm edt Fri oct 19 2018

Synopsis
An area of low pressure will move along the coast late tonight
and early Saturday, while a cold front approaches from the west.

The cold front will cross the area Saturday afternoon, with
cold and dry high pressure building in Sunday through early
next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
As of 615 pm fri... Latest sfc analysis shows high pressure
beginning to move off the coast early this evening. The high
will continue to shift off the coast overnight as a weak low
develops to the south. A weak area of low pressure will develop
along the SE coast late tonight, and lift along or just off of
the nc coast early Saturday. Increasing pops late, highest along
the coast late tonight and early Sat with good agreement
between the high res models, showing an area of showers and
possibly isolated tstms pushing through the area. Increased to
likely along the immediate coast early Sat morning. Expect a
non- diurnal temp curve overnight, with lows dropping into the
upper 50s to low 60s early then slowly rising overnight with
increasing clouds and SW winds.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
As of 315 pm fri... The weak low will lift along the nc coast
early Saturday, then a cold front will move through from the
west Sat afternoon. Expect best rain iso TSTM chances along the
coast in the morning with the low, with scattered showers
throughout the day along and ahead of the front. Low level
thickness values and widespread clouds support highs in the low
to upper 70s, warmest along the southern coast.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
As of 4 am fri... Change will come abruptly Saturday night as
much drier, cooler high pressure builds in quickly behind the
cold front and the upper trough axis passes overhead, signaling
the beginning of height rises aloft and deep layer subsidence.

Sub-freezing 850 mb temps will move over the area Sunday,
brining the coolest airmass of the season, with many locations
only reaching around 60 during the day Sunday. Lows Sunday night
will dip into the 30s for inland areas, and frost is a concern.

Generally settled weather will prevail through the first half of
next week. A shortwave will pass overhead Monday night into Tuesday,
but high pressure will continue to dominate at the surface,
precluding any precip chances. A weak, backdoor cold front may move
through during the middle of next week as high pressure sliding over
the northeastern us ridges down the east coast.

Aviation 22z Friday through Wednesday
Short term through Saturday ...

as of 615 pm fri...VFR conditions will continue across the area
through the evening. Expect deteriorating conditions late
tonight and early Sat morning as an area of low pressure lifts
along or off of the nc coast. Ceilings likely to lower to MVFR
toward morning and possibly continuing into mid Sat afternoon.

Scattered showers likely to develop late tonight and continue
through Sat ahead of a cold front.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday ...

as of 4 am fri... Periods of ceiling and visibility restrictions
are possible early Saturday night, with improving conditions.

Gusty northwest winds will develop behind the front Saturday
night and Sunday.VFR conditions will return Sunday, prevailing
through early next week.

Marine
Short term through Saturday night ...

as of 615 pm fri... High pressure centered over the waters this
evening will shift off the coast overnight. A weak area of low
pressure is forecast to develop along the SE coast tonight and
lift along or just off of the nc coast early sat. A period of
gusty SW winds and elevated seas likely south of oregon inlet
late tonight into Saturday, with gale force winds likely sat
night into Sunday.

Sca continues for the waters south of oregon inlet tonight for
increasing SW winds and building seas. Latest obs show S se
winds 5-10 kt with seas 2-3 ft. Increasing S SW winds tonight,
15-25 kt, strongest south of oregon inlet. The pamlico sound
could see a few gusts to 25 kt late tonight and early sat, but
expect to remain below SCA thresholds at this time. Issued a
gale watch for the waters and sounds Sat night and Sunday, with
nw winds increasing to 25-35 kt behind the front with cold air
advection. Issued SCA for the inland rivers for the surge. Seas
will build to 4-8 ft.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 4 am fri... Marine conditions will gradually improve Monday
through mid week as high pressure remains in control early next
week.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 1 am to noon edt Sunday for amz136-
137.

Gale watch from late Saturday night through Sunday morning for
amz130-131-135-150-152-154-156-158.

Small craft advisory from 3 am to 6 pm edt Saturday for amz152-
154.

Small craft advisory from 2 am to 4 pm edt Saturday for amz156-
158.

Synopsis... Jme cqd sgk
near term... Jme cqd
short term... Cqd
long term... Cb
aviation... Jme cqd cb
marine... Jme cqd cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 10 mi39 min SSW 9.9 G 12 64°F 66°F1022.5 hPa (-1.1)
44086 14 mi44 min 73°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi39 min S 8.9 G 12 64°F 71°F1021.6 hPa (-1.4)
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi39 min 70°F2 ft
FRFN7 20 mi99 min 2 ft
44095 21 mi23 min 72°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi24 min 72°F2 ft
41062 31 mi39 min 5.8 G 5.8 1023 hPa (-1.4)
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 48 mi39 min SW 1 G 1.9 63°F 68°F1022.5 hPa (-1.1)

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC2 mi59 minSW 1210.00 miFair63°F46°F55%1022.3 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC7 mi59 minSSW 410.00 miFair60°F45°F58%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE6NE6N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmW6SW4SW8S8S9S8SW13SW12
1 day agoNW6NW10
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NW6NW3W5W3N8N5NE12
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2 days agoE9E10E4E4E3NE3E3CalmCalmN4N4N4N3NW4NW5NW5NW7NW8NW9
G15
NW7NW4W6W6W6

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:58 AM EDT     3.24 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:06 AM EDT     1.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:01 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:16 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:46 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.62.22.73.13.23.12.72.21.71.21.11.21.62.22.83.33.53.53.12.61.91.410.9

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:26 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:19 AM EDT     0.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:33 PM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:01 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 06:37 PM EDT     0.51 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.20.30.40.40.50.50.40.30.30.20.10.10.20.30.40.40.50.50.50.40.30.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.