Thursday, April25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manteo, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 7:48PM Thursday April 25, 2019 7:48 PM EDT (23:48 UTC) Moonrise 12:08AMMoonset 10:11AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 257 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Fri..S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 4 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. NEar shore, seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft, except 4 to 6 ft near shore. Dominant period 8 seconds. Showers and tstms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms after midnight.
Sat..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, except 2 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manteo, NC
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location: 35.91, -75.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 251847
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
247 pm edt Thu apr 25 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will move through late Friday and Friday evening,
followed by high pressure for the weekend. Another front is
expected to move through the area late Sunday.

Near term through tonight
As of 220 pm thu... High clouds this evening will gradually lower
through the night as moisture profiles increase well ahead of a
cold front. Most of the night will remain mild and dry but
toward daybreak a few showers are possible especially over the
far southwest part of the area. With the increase in cloud
cover and light to moderate brz lows wl hold in the middle 60s
for a large part of the area, with some upr 60s coast.

Short term Friday
As of 220 pm thu... A cold front and associated mid level
shortwave will approach the area Friday. Precipitable water
values increase to around 1.5 and will continue trend of high
chc pops developing in the morn with likely pops in the
afternoon. SPC now has the area outlooked in a slight risk for
svr weather, with the main threat damaging wind gusts. Sb cape
values 1000 to 1500 j kg, 0-6 km bulk shear increasing to 40-45
kt, and steep lapse rates support the threat of convection with
a few strong to severe storms possible during the afternoon. Sw
winds will be breezy from mid morn on with highs most upr 70s to
around 80.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
As of 240 pm Thursday... After precipitation moves offshore late
Friday night, a mostly dry and warm period will follow for much
of the upcoming week.

Friday night... Will maintain chance pops near the coast through
late Friday night before moving offshore early Saturday morning.

Decent CAA kicks in behind the front Saturday morning with lows
in most areas in the low mid 50s.

Saturday through Thursday... Most of the latter half of the
weekend through the middle of next week will be characterized by
a quasi-stationary frontal boundary to our north over virginia
with an east-west oriented area of high pressure ridging over
the eastern carolinas from the atlantic. A mid-level ridge will
build along the mid-atlantic Monday through Wednesday keeping
precipitation north of the area and enabling temperatures to
warm from the 70s over the weekend to well into the 80s inland
Tuesday Wednesday and lows to moderate into the 60s. A weak cold
front will being to approach the area by Thursday and have
continued previous forecast of slight chance of shower tstms for
Thursday.

Aviation 18z Thursday through Tuesday
Short term through Fri ...

as of 1230 pm thu...VFR conditions through most of tonight with
clouds increasing and grad lowering. CIGS will lower to 5000 ft
early Fri with cvrg of shra and tsra grad increasing thru the
morn into the aftn. Outside of convection expect contVFR fri
however there will be bouts of subVFR when a shra storm
crosses a terminal. SW winds will gust AOA 20 kts from mid morn
on fri.

Long term Friday night through Tue ...

as of 245 pm Thursday... Would anticipate mostlyVFR conditions
through the period. Showers storms should be east of the taf
sites by late Friday evening with surface and upper level
ridging building across the region into early next week.

Marine
Short term through Fri ...

as of 220 pm thu... Mini surge of SW winds this evening will be
close to SCA lvls central wtrs. Since marginal and brief will
not issue headline and add gusts to 25 kt in text product. Winds
diminish a little overnight but still in 10 to 20 kt range with
3 to 5 foot seas. Winds increase Fri ahead of approaching cold
front with speeds reaching 20 to 30 kts in aftn. Will be close
to gales for mainly central wtrs late but not slam dunk so will
cont with strong sca. As winds ramp up seas will build to 6 to
10 feet by evening.

Long term Friday night through Tue ...

as of 245 pm Thursday... Gusty winds and rough seas will persist
Friday night and Saturday as cold front moves offshore. Seas
should drop below 6 feet by Saturday night. High pressure will
continue off the coast Sunday, with SW winds increasing to
15-20 kt, maybe some gusts to 25 kt ahead of another cold front
Sunday evening. A brief period of SCA conditions possible Sunday
evening. Increasing SW winds will allow seas to build to 3-5
ft. The cold front will push through Sunday night with winds
becoming nne 10 to 20 kts. These winds will cont Mon with dir
becoming more E 15 kt or less later Mon as high pres to the n
begins to slide offshore. Seas 3-5 ft subsiding to 2-4 ft late
mon.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 1 pm Friday to 10 am edt Saturday
for amz131-135-230-231.

Small craft advisory from 9 am Friday to 1 pm edt Saturday for
amz152-154.

Small craft advisory from 9 am Friday to 11 am edt Saturday
for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory from 1 pm Friday to 1 pm edt Saturday for
amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Ctc
aviation... Rf ctc
marine... Rf ctc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 10 mi37 min SSW 18 G 20 72°F 74°F1010.5 hPa
44086 14 mi24 min 63°F3 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi31 min SSW 12 G 16 78°F 55°F1009.5 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi79 min 62°F2 ft
FRFN7 20 mi109 min 2 ft
44095 21 mi33 min 65°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 24 mi49 min 64°F3 ft
HCGN7 - 8654467 - Hatteras, NC 48 mi31 min SW 12 G 19 71°F 71°F1011.5 hPa

Wind History for Oregon Inlet Marina, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC2 mi69 minSSW 910.00 miFair74°F64°F70%1010.5 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC7 mi69 minS 310.00 miFair76°F61°F59%1009.8 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmW4CalmW3CalmW3W3SW3CalmCalmCalmS7SW6W3W4CalmCalmS6S13
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1 day agoSW12SW15SW15SW15SW14SW10SW12SW13SW11SW12SW11SW10W9W9W7W8NW7W5NW3N6W3S6S6S6
2 days agoCalmCalmSW8SW8SW7W8W7W6CalmNW3NW3CalmW3NW4W6NW5NW7N4NE6SW9S9S13
G17
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Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:18 AM EDT     3.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:54 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:46 PM EDT     2.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:53 PM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.32.92.41.71.10.60.50.71.21.82.42.82.92.72.21.61.10.70.60.81.21.92.5

Tide / Current Tables for Roanoke Sound Channel, North Carolina
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Roanoke Sound Channel
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:39 AM EDT     0.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:21 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:07 PM EDT     0.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:20 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.40.50.50.40.40.30.20.10.10.10.10.20.30.40.40.40.30.30.20.10.10.10.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.