Sunrise 6:00 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 3:43 PM   Moonset 2:49 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

AMZ136 Pamlico And Pungo Rivers- 402 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Tonight - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.Mon - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop. Mon night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves a moderate chop, diminishing to light chop after midnight. Tue - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. Wed - Light and variable winds, becoming se 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon.Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 402 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Breezy northeasterly winds early this week with a high pressure ridging from our north and low pressure offshore. Mostly dry through mid week before the next potential frontal system late week.

FXUS62 KRAH 192001 AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 400 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will extend across and offshore the Middle Atlantic through Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 400 PM Sunday...

Water vapor imagery shows multiple embedded waves within an elongated trough axis extending from off the Northeast coast through the Mid-Atlantic with a compact shortwave at its base over the SC/GA coast. One wave sliding through south-central VA will continue southward and over central NC through this evening with some Hi-Res guidance indicating a light sprinkle or two, but most locations will remain dry as RAP point forecast soundings show multiple weak inversions aloft and relatively dry thermodynamic profile.

Widespread afternoon cumulus is expected to dissipate with loss of boundary layer mixing, minus pockets light rain/sprinkles and associated cumulus clouds, will briefly lead to mostly clear skies early overnight. Light northeasterly flow overnight will advect marine layer stratus into the Coastal Plain towards daybreak. West of this cloud deck, lingering rich boundary layer moisture and mostly clear skies will favor the development for areas of fog, potentially dense is some locations, from the Triangle towards the Triad by daybreak Monday morning. Overnight lows will settle in the mid 50s to low 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
As of 152 PM Sunday...

High pressure ridging will be in place at mid-levels for our Monday.
High pressure at the surface off the east coast will continue to nose down into the area, resulting in a NE flow once again. We will see some stratocumulus develop for the daytime, but more sunshine is expected as deeper mixing ensues, especially across the Coastal Plain. The airmass will warm some too, but highs should still be about a degree or so below seasonal norms in the upper 70s to low 80s, lowest in the NE Piedmont to northern Coastal Plain of perhaps mid 70s. Clear skies and light winds in the evening and overnight will favor lows a touch below average in the mid to upper 50s, except low to mid 50s in the NE Piedmont and northern Coastal Plain.
Lingering low-level moisture could favor fog development from the Triangle eastward into the Coastal Plain for early Tue morning.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 350 PM Sunday...

Dry conditions and mostly sunny skies are expected across central NC on Tuesday and Wednesday as mid/upper ridging extends from the western Gulf of Mexico to off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This ridging will be in between a series of shortwaves moving across the northern Plains and Upper Great Lakes and a cutoff low off the Southeast US coast. At the surface, elongated high pressure will extend from the NE down the Eastern Seaboard, initially bringing NE flow that shifts more southerly on Wednesday as the high shifts SE to near Bermuda.
This will help increase high temperatures from lower-80s on Tuesday to mid-to-upper-80s on Wednesday and upper-80s to lower-90s on Thursday. Lows will also increase from upper-50s to lower-60s on Tuesday night to lower-60s to upper-60s by Thursday night.

The pattern turns more unsettled from late this week into the weekend. As one shortwave moves across the northern Great Lakes and northern New England on Thursday/Thursday night, it will drag a cold front that approaches the Appalachians. However, with the best upper forcing to our north, only carry slight to lower chance POPs (highest north). A better chance for showers and storms comes on Friday and Saturday as a southern stream wave moves across the TN Valley and potentially over our region. Carry high chance POPs on these days, but didn't feel comfortable going likely considering timing differences between the different models and given this is Days 6-7. POPs decrease a bit again on Sunday as the shortwave exits, but still above climo. Temperatures are more uncertain during this period and will depend on how far south the aforementioned cold front is able to get, but the latest GFS and ECMWF keep it mostly hung up to our north. So forecast highs remain near to slightly above normal.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

24 hour TAF period: Widespread stratocumulus will continue to lift and scatter out, with all terminals expected to return to VFR conditions by late afternoon. There is high confidence in skies becoming mostly clear during the evening, but with little change in air mass, restrictions are expected to develop after midnight. Have made little change to the inherited TAFs through this part of the forecast. Believe that the greatest coverage of stratus will be at RWI considering the (light) northeast flow, and will go with IFR stratus there. At GSO/RDU, winds will likely go calm, and models are showing a very shallow yet strong inversion, which should favor IFR/LIFR visibilities. Considered going LIFR at INT, but did not see as strong of an inversion signal there. Finally, at FAY, there should be less moisture overall, and have not gone with any restrictions. Fog/stratus should begin to mix out by the middle of Monday morning, with VFR diurnal cumulus forecast for the rest of the TAF period.

Outlook: A repeat of Monday morning's restrictions will be possible Tuesday morning, but this threat should not be as great for Wednesday morning. Thursday and Friday will have the potential for diurnally driven showers/thunderstorms.

RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Suffolk
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:33 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:37 AM EDT     3.41 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:32 PM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:01 PM EDT     4.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Suffolk, Virginia, Tide feet

Hollidays Point (bridge)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:02 AM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:51 AM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:00 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT     3.24 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hollidays Point (bridge), Virginia, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Raleigh/Durham, NC,