Friday, March22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 7:19PM Friday March 22, 2019 2:24 AM EDT (06:24 UTC) Moonrise 8:19PMMoonset 7:21AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 949 Pm Edt Thu Mar 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 am edt Friday through Saturday morning...
Overnight..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers late this evening and early morning.
Fri..W winds 15 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..W winds 20 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt...gusts to 25 kt early. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft. A chance of showers, then showers likely.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmhx 220142
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
942 pm edt Thu mar 21 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will cross the area tonight. Another mainly dry cold
front will move through Friday evening. High pressure will then
build into the area this weekend. A storm system is expected to
impact the region early to mid next week.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
As of 935 pm thu... No changes planned. Rdr shows sct shra
approaching and appears best cvrg will be over SRN tier next few
hrs and thats where pops are a bit higher.

Prev disc... Widespread low clouds associated with low pressure
over southeast virginia are starting to scour out in response to
convective mixing and westerly low level flow. These clouds are
forecast to dissipate by 00z this evening. This evening the
axis of a strong mid level trough will pivot through the region
after midnight. As this system approaches it will trigger
scattered shower activity through about 9z then dry advection
will occur as the flow becomes NW behind a cold front. This will
end the shower activity and cause skies to clear before
sunrise. Lows will be in the low to mid 40s inland and mid to
upper 40s coast.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through 6 pm Friday
As of 3 pm thu... It will become windy Friday afternoon as a cold
front approaches late. Skies will start off clear but could see
some increase in clouds late afternoon, especially northern
locations. Not out of the question that a few showers or
sprinkles develop northeast zones late as the front begins to
move into the area, but decided to keep the forecast dry for now
due to strong downslope flow that will have to be overcome. West
winds will gust to 35 mph at times Friday afternoon ahead of the
front. Highs will be in the low to mid 60s.

Long term Friday night through Thursday
As of 315 pm thu... Rising heights aloft and developing mid to
upper level downsloping flow will keep deep subsidence and a dry
forecast in place Friday night. At the surface, a moisture-
starved reinforcing cold front will approach from the northwest,
crossing the area in the evening. Breezy conditions will
develop behind the front, especially for coastal areas, as winds
shift from west to northwest. Lows will drop into the mid to
upper 30s Friday night as low level CAA fills in behind the cold
front. Winds are expected to remain elevated enough overnight
to preclude any significant frost threat.

Saturday and Sunday... Deep layer subsidence prevails Saturday
through Sunday - keeping sunny clear conditions in place. Cool
high pressure builds in from the west Saturday, bringing
decreasing winds and below normal temps, before passing
overhead and offshore Sunday. Many locations away from the
immediate coast will see freezing temperatures, or at least
frost, Sunday morning given the cool airmass in place and light
winds clear skies efficient radiation expected. Frost freeze
headlines are likely given that the growing season has begun.

Monday through mid-week... Unsettled weather is expected early
next week, with global guidance in much better agreement than
24 hours ago. In general, an upper trough is expected to dig
across the eastern us Monday into Tuesday, developing low
pressure across the midwest and moving it to sc on Tuesday, then
off the southeast coast Wednesday. Locally, the cold front
associated with this system is the dominate feature for bringing
precip, with the greatest shower chances arriving in the warm
sector ahead of the front Monday night into Tuesday. The front
should move through the area during the day Tuesday, with high
pressure building in behind it Wednesday. However, there are
indications that low pressure could develop along the front off
the coast and move northeast, justifying slight chance pops
along the immediate coast Wednesday. Temps will be above normal
ahead of the cold front, and below normal behind the cold front.

Aviation 02z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through Friday ...

as of 625 pm thu... PredVFR expected thru TAF period. Some sct
shra will impact area through 06 to 07z as strong short wave
crosses region. Can't rule out brief subVFR if shra impacts a
terminal but duration shld be brief. Later tonight drier air
will lead to mclr skies that will cont thru bulk of fri. Winds
are expected to become gusty out of the west from mid morn on
fri with gusts 20 to 30 kt expected.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday ...

as of 315 pm thu...VFR conditions will prevail through Sunday.

A cold front will approach from the west early next week, and
increasing moisture ahead of the front will bring the potential
for at least periods of flight restrictions beginning Monday
morning.

Marine
Short term through Friday ...

as of 935 pm thu... No changes planned. Wl see brief lull late
evening then shld see surge later tonight as strong short wave
pivots thru.

Prev disc... Gusty winds and elevated seas necessitating long
fused small craft advisories will continue through Friday as a
series of cold fronts cross the waters. The first front will
cross tonight with W flow 15-25 kt becoming NW after midnight.

Friday winds will back to W 15-25 kt ahead of an approaching
cold front. 7-11 ft seas this evening will subside to 5 to 8 ft
Friday.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday ...

as of 315 pm thu... A dry cold front will cross the waters later
in the day on Friday, bringing a surge of northwest winds
Friday night into Saturday. The SCA for the coastal waters
remains in effect into Saturday to cover this, and additionally
scas for the sounds and possibly rivers may be needed as well.

Given that the winds are offshore, seas will continue to
gradually subside nearshore despite continued breezy conditions,
while beyond 10 nm offshore seas will remain around 5-8 ft into
the day Saturday.

Later Saturday, high pressure crossing the region will bring
improving marine conditions, as winds and seas subside through
Sunday morning. Then, late Sunday, the high will move offshore
and southerly winds will develop, steady increasing through
early week ahead of a strong cold front approaching from the
west.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 am edt Saturday for amz135.

Small craft advisory from 6 am Friday to 9 am edt Saturday for
amz130-131.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Saturday for amz150-152-
154.

Small craft advisory until noon edt Saturday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Rf jme
short term... Jme
long term... Hsa
aviation... Rf hsa
marine... Rf jme hsa


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi55 min W 14 G 17 49°F 47°F1004.2 hPa
FRFN7 19 mi145 min 5 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi85 min 47°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi55 min WSW 11 G 13 50°F 52°F1004.8 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi40 min 47°F5 ft
44086 30 mi30 min 49°F5 ft
44095 38 mi39 min 49°F5 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last
24hr
E16
E14
E10
G14
E17
G21
E17
E17
SE20
SE20
E22
SE19
SE26
S13
G18
SW15
G19
SW16
G21
SW13
G17
W18
G28
W20
G29
W20
G27
W20
G26
W16
G23
W17
G24
W13
G17
W12
G16
W12
G15
1 day
ago
NE22
NE24
NE23
NE23
NE22
NE23
NE21
N17
G22
N18
N14
G17
N16
N15
N17
N16
NE16
NE16
NE14
G17
NE12
N9
NE10
NE10
E11
E12
SE11
2 days
ago
NE20
NE22
NE21
NE21
N22
NE20
NE22
N19
N17
G21
N19
N17
G21
N19
NE19
NE18
NE18
NE18
NE20
NE21
NE18
NE20
NE22
NE22

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi45 minW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy49°F42°F81%1005.4 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi45 minW 310.00 miOvercast49°F41°F76%1004.4 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi31 minWSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy47°F41°F80%1004.5 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
-12
PM
Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:08 AM EDT     -0.79 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:15 AM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:25 PM EDT     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:37 PM EDT     4.07 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.60.5-0.4-0.8-0.60.21.32.53.43.83.7320.9-0.1-0.6-0.60.11.12.33.3443.6

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:08 AM EDT     -0.81 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:17 AM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:26 PM EDT     -0.74 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:43 PM EDT     4.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.90.6-0.4-0.8-0.60.11.22.53.53.93.83.22.20.9-0.1-0.7-0.6-0.10.92.23.44.14.23.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.