Tuesday, June27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 8:28PM Tuesday June 27, 2017 6:21 AM EDT (10:21 UTC) Moonrise 8:45AMMoonset 10:26PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ131 Alligator River- 323 Am Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
Today..Variable winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. A slight chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves light chop, diminishing to flat in the afternoon.
Wed night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
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location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 270716
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
316 am edt Tue jun 27 2017

Synopsis
An upper level disturbance will cross the region later today.

High pressure will build in from the west Wednesday through late week
and offshore for the weekend.

Near term through today
As of 310 am Tuesday... Mid and high clouds continue to stream
across eastern nc as cooler drier airmass has settled over the
region with most locations in the low mid 60s early this
morning. Gfs ECMWF show a decent mid-level shortwave dropping
across eastern nc later this afternoon and evening. Most of the
high-resolution models show this shortwave interacting with the
sea breeze with a few widely scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms developing later in the day into this evening.

None of the models are overly robust with precipitation coverage
today, so will hold the pops at 30 percent. High temperatures
should be in the low to mid 80s.

Short term tonight
As of 315 am Tuesday... Any leftover precipitation should impact
the east and northeast portions of the CWA through about
midnight or so followed by rapid drying as strong high pressure
builds east from the western virginias. A very comfortable
airmass will follow with lows in the upper 50s inland, low to
mid 60s south coast and mid upper 60s outer banks as light
northerly flow kicks in.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 245 am tues... High pressure will settle overhead Wednesday
and provide fair and seasonably cool conditions. High shifts off
the coast Thursday, and southerly flow develops, and will bring
an increase of moisture. Unsettled weather returns Friday
through Monday as scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop each day.

Wednesday and Thursday... Dry weather is expected both Wednesday
and Thursday as high pressure overhead will provide mostly
sunny skies. Winds come around to the SE Thursday, and humidity
begins to increase as high pressure slides off the coast. High
temps on Wednesday and Thursday will be mainly in the mid upper
80s inland and the low mid 80s along the coast.

Friday... A weak upper level disturbance will move into the
region Friday morning originating from the gulf of mexico. Both
the latest GFS and euro show fairly widespread showers for the
southern half of the CWA on Friday. So, have slight chance pops
Friday morning, and then chance pops for late morning through
the evening south of the pamlico sound river. Shower thunderstorm
activity will shift to the coast and coastal waters overnight
Friday and have chance pops along the coast for this. High temps
will reach the upper 80s to near 90 inland, and the low to mid
80s for coastal areas.

Saturday through Monday... Scattered showers thunderstorms are
expected to develop each afternoon from Saturday to Monday and
move towards the coast overnight. Have broad chance pops for
this period with the highest pops over inland areas during the
day, and along the coast at night. A weak front may aid shower
and thunderstorm development Sunday. High temps look to be in
the upper 80s inland and mid 80s near the coast.

Low temps though the period will be in the upper 50s to low 60s
inland, with upper 60s along the coast, Wednesday and Thursday
mornings. Then as southerly flow develops low temps will be
milder Friday, for the rest of the long term with low 70s
expected inland and mid 70s along the coast.

Aviation 07z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through 06z Wednesday ...

as of 105 am Tuesday... Expect primarilyVFR conditions through
this TAF cycle. Continued previous forecast of patchy MVFR fog
in the koaj area, with a slight adjustment in timing to begin
around 08z through 12z. A few showers and perhaps a thunderstorm
or two will occur Tuesday ahead of a strong mid-level shortwave,
but conditions should remain in theVFR category Tuesday into
Tuesday night.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 am tues...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period. Some brief sub-vfr periods are possible
Friday and Saturday as scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop.

Marine
Short term today and tonight ...

as of 315 am Tuesday... Light and variable winds will prevail
early through most of today before winds eventually become north
later tonight, but at speeds of 10 knots or less. Per latest
local nwps swan model, seas should continue at around 2 feet
today and tonight as great marine conditions continue.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 300 am tues... Fair boating conditions expected in the
long term. Winds initially out of the N on Wednesday around 10
kts, will turn to the SE Wednesday night and remain weak. Se
flow 10-15 kts is expected for the rest of the period, however
winds 15-20 kts are possible Saturday evening. Seas will be
mostly 2-3 ft, with some 4 foot seas possible Saturday over the
central waters.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ctc
near term... Ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Sgk
aviation... Ctc sgk
marine... Ctc sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi51 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 75°F 71°F1015.5 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi51 min ESE 1.9 G 1.9 71°F 73°F1015.9 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi46 min 71°F1 ft
44095 38 mi63 min 72°F2 ft
41062 49 mi81 min Calm G 1.9 75°F 76°F1016.5 hPa (-0.4)

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi36 minN 010.00 miFair67°F64°F94%1016.3 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi36 minN 010.00 miFair70°F65°F86%1015.9 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi27 minSW 310.00 miFair69°F68°F96%1016.1 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5NE9NE9NE11
G16
NE9E10E11
G15
E10E9E8E7SE6E6E4E3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW5W4W6W4W4N4N3N5NW3CalmSE7SW5SW4CalmN3W3NW3NW6NW5NW4N7NW5N6N5
2 days agoW18W21
G26
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W8
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W5W6N5N7NE4N4SW4CalmSW11SW9W4N6S5W7W5NW3W4W5

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:51 AM EDT     -0.75 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:50 AM EDT     3.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:57 PM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:06 PM EDT     3.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.52.51.30.2-0.6-0.7-0.40.41.52.63.33.53.22.51.60.6-0.1-0.3-0.10.61.72.83.63.9

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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FRF Pier
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:51 AM EDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:54 AM EDT     3.50 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:57 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:10 PM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.62.61.40.3-0.4-0.6-0.20.51.62.63.33.53.32.61.70.7-0-0.200.71.72.83.63.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.