Sunday, February18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manns Harbor, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:50PM Sunday February 18, 2018 4:02 AM EST (09:02 UTC) Moonrise 8:28AMMoonset 8:38PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ131 Alligator River- 241 Am Est Sun Feb 18 2018
Today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 15 kt. Waves light chop, increasing to a moderate chop.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manns Harbor, NC
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location: 35.98, -75.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 180730
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
230 am est Sun feb 18 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build across the area today then slide
offshore tonight. The high will continue off the coast through
mid week. A weakening cold front will move into the area late
week then dissipate or lift north next weekend.

Near term through today
As of 215 am Sunday... Band of shra will be offshore or
dissipated by daybreak. Also expected the widespread low
clouds and fog to quickly erode around daybreak as drier air
moves in behind shra. High pres will build across just to the n
today with msunny skies. Nne flow will lead to decent temp
gradient over region with NE cst holding in the lower 50s and sw
tier reaching 60 to 65.

Short term tonight
As of 215 am Sunday... Mostly clear skies will cont in the
evening then moisture will increase on the backside of high
pres as it moves offshore with increasing clouds. WAA weak
isent lift will likely lead to some patchy light shra late and
cont with slight chc pops inland with best chc NW tier. Temps
will drop into the 40 to 45 dgr range during the evening then
will likely lvl off and poss begin to rise late with increasing
clouds and waa.

Long term Monday through Saturday
As of 230 am sun... Strengthening high pressure offshore will be
the dominant feature through late week, supporting temperatures
well above normal. A slow moving cold front will approach the
region from the west mid to late week, possibly moving through
the region late week.

Monday through wed... The high slides offshore Mon and will cont
off the coast through Wed as upr rdg builds off the coast. Kept
small pops in Mon with weak isent lift as WAA increases, only
isolated showers possible. Mainly dry Tue thru Wed night with
area in warm sector with little to no forcing, though an isolated
shower will be possible along the coast. Very mild this period
with highs in the low to upper 60s mon, increasing to the 75 to
80 dgr range Tue and wed. Beaches as usual will be cooler with
mainly 60s.

Thu through sat... Still some model differences late week into
next weekend handling the next system. Continued to lean towards
ecmwf canadian wpc with a slower and weaker cold front sagging
into the region late Thu then washing out fri. Isolated showers
possible Thu through sat, and kept small pops, with front over
region but moisture and forcing look weak with little in the way
of rainfall expected. Highs Thu will again reach 75 to 80
inland with warm sector conditions. Bit cooler Fri and Sat with
front S of region... However hgts thicknesses remain high so mild
temps cont with upr 60s lower 70s inland to lower mid 60s cst.

Aviation 07z Sunday through Thursday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 1215 am Sunday... Widespread lifr expected few more hours
then shld lift mix out toward daybreak as drier air pushes in.

Vfr shld dominate once low clouds lift with mclr skies thru
this evening as high pres builds across. Late tonight moisture
will increase on backside of high with skies becoming mcdy
however appears shld stay mainly inVFR range.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 230 am sun... Widespread sub-vfr ceilings expected Monday,
and could persist Monday night into early Tuesday. Isolated
showers possible mon, though limited coverage expected.VFR
should return Tue through Thursday with high pres sfc and aloft
off the coast.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 215 am Sunday... Areas of fog along the coast will quickly
dissipate by or shortly after sunrise with N winds ushering in
drier air. The N to NE winds will increase to 15 to 25 kts today
and cont with current SCA for central and SRN wtrs where
strongest winds expected. Winds will diminish into the evening
as the high passes just to the N then becoming ese overnight as
the high slides offshore. Seas will build to 4 to 6 feet
today... Highest outer central and SRN wtrs. Seas will subside to
3 to 5 feet this evening and drop to 2 to 3 feet by late
tonight.

Long term Monday through Thursday ...

as of 230 am sun... Strengthening high pressure offshore will be
the dominant feature through most of the period. E SE winds
early Mon becoming southerly in the afternoon. S SW winds 5-15
kt expected Mon night through thu, with seas 2-4 ft. A slow moving
cold front will approach the waters from the west mid to late
week.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm est this evening for amz152-
154-156-158.

Synopsis... Rf
near term... Rf
short term... Rf
long term... Cqd
aviation... Rf cqd
marine... Rf cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi44 min W 8 G 9.9 45°F 44°F1018.5 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi32 min 44°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 26 mi50 min W 2.9 G 5.1 45°F 47°F1018.8 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi77 min 45°F4 ft
44095 38 mi44 min 45°F5 ft
41062 49 mi62 min 16 G 19 46°F1019.6 hPa (+1.6)

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N19
G23
N17
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NE7
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E4
S3
NW8
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G14
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NW16
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1 day
ago
SW17
G22
SW15
SW15
G19
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G24
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G25
SW17
G21
SW13
G16
SW14
G19
SW12
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G17
N14
G22
N9
N6
NW5
N11
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N7
N13
N18
N21
N17
2 days
ago
SW15
G19
SW16
G20
SW12
G15
SW12
G17
SW12
G16
SW15
G19
W14
G18
SW10
G14
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G14
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G12
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G17
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G16
SW13
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SW14
G18
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SW16
G20
SW15
G20
SW17
G24
SW19
G23
SW18
G29

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC15 mi67 minNW 410.00 miOvercast44°F43°F98%1019 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi67 minW 610.00 miOvercast0°F0°F%1018.3 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC22 mi68 minW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F44°F100%1019.1 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE12
G19
NE15
G20
NE13
G18
NE14
G17
NE11
G16
NE14E10E10
G17
E11
G16
E12NE10E8E6S3SW6CalmN5NW4NW6N7CalmN9N8Calm
1 day agoW19
G27
W14
G21
W14
G18
SW11SW13W14SW16
G20
W12W16SW14SW10W7
G15
W14
G18
NE11N8NE7N3NE17
G23
NE10
G16
NE10
G15
NE12
G17
N12
G21
NE18
G23
NE15
G22
2 days agoSW9W11W12W13W10W12
G16
W12W8W7SW7W6SW6SW8SW4S8SW9S8SW9W16W12W13W12
G17
W16W16
G21

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:41 AM EST     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:27 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:48 AM EST     3.41 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:07 PM EST     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:37 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 09:09 PM EST     3.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.5-0.1-0.20.20.81.72.63.23.43.12.51.60.7-0-0.3-0.20.41.22.12.93.23.12.6

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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FRF Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:41 AM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:27 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:52 AM EST     3.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:07 PM EST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:37 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 09:13 PM EST     3.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.5-0-0.10.20.91.72.63.23.43.22.61.70.80.1-0.3-0.10.51.22.12.93.23.12.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.