Wednesday, November22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kill Devil Hills, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 4:54PM Wednesday November 22, 2017 3:30 PM EST (20:30 UTC) Moonrise 10:04AMMoonset 8:21PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ150 S Of Currituck Beach Light To Oregon Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm- 1028 Am Est Wed Nov 22 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Rest of today..NW winds around 15 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt this afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft this afternoon. NEar shore, seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft this afternoon. Dominant period 7 seconds. A chance of showers late this morning, then a slight chance of showers early this afternoon.
Tonight..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 9 ft, subsiding to 6 to 7 ft after midnight. NEar shore, seas 5 to 7 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft in the afternoon. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kill Devil Hills town, NC
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location: 36.02, -75.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 222015
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
315 pm est Wed nov 22 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build into the region tonight through Friday. Low
pressure will move across south and east of the area Friday into early
Saturday, followed by a dry cold front Saturday night. High pressure
will build in from the west Sunday and Monday and will extend over the
area Tuesday.

Near term tonight
As of 300 pm Wednesday... High pressure building in from the
west tonight with strong CAA bringing breezy conditions,
especially along the coast where gusts up to 30 mph will be
possible during the evening. Mainly clear skies expected in the
evening but expect thickening high clouds after midnight ahead
of an approaching mid level shortwave. Lows expected in the mid
30s inland to low to mid 40s along the coast.

Short term Thursday
As of 300 pm Wednesday... High pressure will continue to build
over area from west but colder air mass and extensive high
cloudiness will result in MAX temps 10-15 degrees cooler than
today. Highs mainly low to mid 50s.

Long term Thursday night through Wednesday
As of 230 am wed... High pressure wl build in from the NW thu
night and fri. Models now mainly dry this period so dropped all
pops over land. Will be cool with highs in the 50s and lows
lower mid 30 inland to upper 30s lower 40s coast.

Weak low will lift NE offshore of the coast Sat as a cold front
approaches from the w. Again bulk of models mainly dry with
just small chc of shra imd cst. Temps will moderate a bit sat
with highs mainly 60 to 65. The strong cold front will cross sat
night... Looks dry with very little moisture assoc with fropa.

Best CAA holds off til Sun with lows ranging from around 40
inland to around 50 beaches.

High pres will build in from the W Sun and Mon then move offshore
tue with dry weather. Wl be cool but models have been trending
a bit warmer with thicknesses behind the front. Highs Sun and
mon will be in the 50s. Lows will be chilly Sun night with
mainly 30s area wide. As the high slides offshore Mon night and
tue WAA will develop with lows Sun night mid 30s inland to mid
40s cst with highs Tue in the the 60s.

Aviation 20z Wednesday through Monday
Short term through 18z Thursday ...

as of 1250 pm Wednesday...VFR expected through the TAF period.

Drying and cold advection is underway in wake of cold front
moving off the coast. Some fair wx CU may affect area this
afternoon, otherwise just some ci for TAF sites. Nw-n winds will
gust to near 20 kt this afternoon, then diminish to 5-10 kt
tonight with enough breeze expected to preclude fog development
overnight.

Long term Thu night through Monday ...

as of 230 am wed... MainlyVFR expected through the period. High
pres with limited clouds Thu and fri. Weak low moving ne
offshore and approaching cold front Sat will lead to more clouds
but not expecting much if any precip at TAF sites. Dry cold
front will cross Sat night with high pres building in sun
leading to pc to mclr skies.

Marine
Short term through Thursday ...

as of 300 pm Monday... CAA surge is underway as high pressure
builds in from west and models in good agreement on continuing
through evening and diminishing late tonight into Thursday. Thus
only minimal change to forecast with SCA for sounds and coastal
waters.

Seas expected to peak at 5-9 ft tonight, then gradually subside
below 6 feet all waters by Friday evening.

Long term Thu night through Monday ..

As of 230 am wed... High pres will build in from the W Thu night
and Fri with NE winds 15 kts. Seas will subside to 3 to 5 feet
thu night and drop to 2 to 4 feet fri. Weak low pres will lift
ne offshore early Sat with a cold front approaching from the w
late. N to NE winds 5 to 15 kts early Sat will become more wnw
later in the day with seas 2 to 4 feet. The cold front will
cross Sat night with nnw winds increasing to 15 to 25 kts sun
and seas building to 4 to 6 feet... Highest outer central and nrn
waters.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 am est Thursday for amz130-131-
135.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm est Thursday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until noon est Thursday for amz156-158.

Small craft advisory until 10 am est Thursday for amz150.

Synopsis... Jbm
near term... Jbm
short term... Jbm
long term... Rf
aviation... Rf jbm
marine... Rf jbm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 11 mi43 min NNE 19 G 22 58°F 60°F1013.7 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 12 mi31 min 61°F5 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 18 mi46 min 61°F6 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 18 mi49 min N 19 G 24 59°F 56°F1014 hPa
44095 27 mi43 min 65°F6 ft
41062 37 mi91 min 19 G 25 61°F 1013.5 hPa (+0.2)

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC2 mi51 minN 410.00 miOvercast58°F45°F63%1014.2 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC7 mi46 minNNE 16 G 2410.00 miOvercast58°F44°F59%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7CalmNW7N8
G17
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW4CalmCalmNW5CalmNW9
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NW5CalmNW3NW4NW5CalmNW4NW3CalmW4CalmW6CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:04 AM EST     0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:24 AM EST     3.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:55 PM EST     0.54 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:21 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:46 PM EST     2.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.91.30.80.60.81.21.82.53.23.53.53.22.61.91.20.70.50.71.11.62.22.72.82.6

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:05 AM EST     0.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:20 AM EST     3.66 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:02 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:58 PM EST     0.50 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:21 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:44 PM EST     2.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.81.20.60.40.61.11.92.73.33.63.63.22.61.81.10.70.50.71.21.92.52.932.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.