Friday, June22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kitty Hawk, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:27PM Friday June 22, 2018 6:54 AM EDT (10:54 UTC) Moonrise 2:19PMMoonset 1:22AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 636 Am Edt Fri Jun 22 2018
Today..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms this morning, then showers and tstms likely this afternoon.
Tonight..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
Sun..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kitty Hawk, NC
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location: 36.04, -75.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 221052
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
652 am edt Fri jun 22 2018

Synopsis
A front will lift back to just north of the area today and
tonight. Another front will move into the region Monday,
pushing south of the area Monday night. High pressure will build
into eastern north carolina from the north Tuesday and Wednesday
then continue to influence the weather while moving offshore
Thursday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 645 am Friday... Looking a mainly dry morning across the
area. Light echoes on the radar over our far southwest are
likely just some moisture in the mid levels as we have not seen
any obs of rain the past few hours. Cloud tops are also warming
as this area of cloud cover moves our way. Kept a slight chances
for light sprinkles in this morning but most will remain dry.

The bulk of the activity though today will again come starting
around 17z with mesoscale boundaries along with some upper level
support moving into the area. Highest chances for storms will
remain near and just west of highway 17. SPC continues to place
the majority of the area outside of the crystal coast in a
marginal risk for severe weather. High pwats (precipitable
water) values and high capes will remain with us so the primary
threats will remain isolated damaging winds and locally heavy
rain. With high instability, intense lightning is also likely.

Hail threat while never ruled out with such high instability
values will continue to be diminished a bit with such a warm and
moist atmosphere.

Outside of convection the main story will be the continued heat
and humidity. High temps will be similar to yesterday or into
the low 90s most areas, with middle 90s over our central and
southwest areas. Heat indices will top out again around 100 or
just slightly above.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
As of 310 am Friday...

convection from this afternoon will likely continue into the
first part of the night before dying down. With cloud cover lows
again will hold in the 70s and remain mild.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
As of 340 am Friday... Hot and humid SW flow is expected to
continue through the weekend. A moderately strong cold front is
then forecast to move into eastern nc Monday, pushing south of
the region Monday night. High pressure will then build into the
area from the north Tuesday and Wed then continue to influence
the weather while moving offshore Thursday into Friday with
temps near normal. Broad troughing aloft will keep the threat
for convection in the forecast over the weekend. The cold front
will bring even better chances for precipitation from Sunday
night into Monday night, then much lower but not non zero
chances for mainly diurnally driven showers and storms are
expected from Tuesday into Thursday as high pressure builds
tends to inhibit widespread organized convection.

Saturday through Monday... Unsettled muggy weather is expected
during this period. Broad upper troughing is expected to
persist over the area over the weekend aiding lift of hot humid
airmass which will be in place across the carolinas leading to
scattered showers and thunderstorms. The cold front will
continue the threat for showers and storms Mon mon night.

Tue through thu... The front is forecast to push south of the
region Tue as high pressure builds over the area from the
north into wed. The high is forecast to move offshore while
continuing to influence the weather thu. As is typical for this
time of year, there will be enough residual moisture and
instability behind the front to warrant low chance pops each day
for a few mainly diurnally driven showers or storms. Temps will
be closer to normal values in the low to mid 80s.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 645 am Friday... Brief MVFR vsbys can't be ruled out
through 12z in light fog butVFR is expected to be predominant.

Vfr continues through early afternoon before another round of
thunderstorms are possible. Included a vcts for each terminal
with the threat of convection greater than 50%. Brief ifr in
vsbys and CIGS possible in any thunderstorms along with brief
gusty winds. Too far out to include restrictions but we may be
able to include some tempo groups as we get closer to this
afternoon and confidence grows.

Vfr returns tonight after storms die down in the evening. Winds
near calm overnight become south to southwest 10 to 15 kts the
rest of today.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 340 am Friday...VFR conditions are expected through most
of the long term, with the exception of occasional subVFR
conditions possible each day in scattered showers and
thunderstorms with the greatest threat Mon afternoon and
evening.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 645 am Friday... Southwest to south winds at 10 kts or less
this morning. No big changes needed. Winds generally out of the
south to south- southwest through the period will increase
later today into tonight, as waves build through the period.

South to southwest winds through mid morning will gradually
increase this afternoon as the pressure gradient over the waters
increases. Winds will increase to 15 kts, with a few gusts over
20 kts possible especially over the pamlico and the central
waters off CAPE hatteras. Winds will remain elevated through
tonight or generally 15 kts out of the south-southwest, but
again slightly higher over the pamlico and central waters. With
the increasing winds waves of around 3 feet early today will
build to 3 to 5 feet especially over the central waters by
tonight.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday ...

as of 340 am Friday... Sw flow increases to 20-25 kt late sat
and continues through Sun night ahead of the cold front. Winds
Monday shift to nw-n and diminish to 10 to 15 kt behind the
front. Tue winds are forecast to be NE 10 to 15 kt as high
pressure builds over the waters from the north. Seas build to 3
to 5 ft late sat, then 4-7 ft Sat night through Sun night. Seas
are then forecast to subside to 3 to 5 ft late Mon morning and 2
to 4 ft Tue afternoon.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Eh
near term... Eh
short term... Eh
long term... Jme
aviation... Jme eh
marine... Jme eh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 16 mi55 min E 9.9 G 11 78°F 80°F1008.1 hPa (+0.0)
FRFN7 17 mi175 min 1 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 18 mi55 min 81°F1 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 26 mi40 min 80°F2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 29 mi61 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 76°F 83°F1008.1 hPa
44095 40 mi67 min 80°F2 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi85 minN 04.00 miLight Rain74°F74°F100%1008.1 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC17 mi80 minE 410.00 miLight Rain74°F73°F98%1008.5 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC18 mi61 minS 410.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1008.4 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W5NW4W5W5SW4N5NW8N5N6CalmN10
G20
E8E5SE4CalmW6NW3N6CalmSE3W3SE3SW6
1 day agoN7NE6NE6NE6E5E6CalmCalmCalmE7E8SE3S6S5S4CalmW8S8SW7SW11SW10W6W5W6
2 days agoW6NW6NW6
G16
NW6NW7NW4NW5N3CalmSW7S7S6S4CalmSW6SW6N8N13
G17
N6NE7N7N6N7N4

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:27 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:48 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:14 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:45 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.322.62.92.92.621.30.60.100.30.91.82.73.33.53.432.31.50.80.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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FRF Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:31 AM EDT     2.95 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:48 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:18 PM EDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:45 PM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.222.62.92.92.62.11.30.60.100.30.91.82.73.33.63.53.12.31.50.80.40.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.