Tuesday, March28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Columbia, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:25PM Tuesday March 28, 2017 11:58 AM EDT (15:58 UTC) Moonrise 6:27AMMoonset 7:12PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 954 Am Edt Tue Mar 28 2017
Rest of today..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms late this morning and early afternoon... Then showers and tstms likely late.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Showers and tstms likely in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning...then 1 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Tstms likely. Showers likely.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Columbia, NC
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location: 36.05, -76.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 281350
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
950 am edt Tue mar 28 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will approach from the northwest today and move
through late tonight. High pressure will build in from the
north late Wednesday into Thursday. A warm front will move
through from the southwest Friday. A cold front will move
through early Saturday. Another cold front will approach the
area early next week.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
As of 945 am Tuesday... Showers and embedded thunderstorms are
currently entering the CWA with some stronger convection now
firing up near wilmington. Still expecting some clearing today
after this morning round of showers and thunderstorms. Storms
are expected to develop again later this afternoon. Sufficient
moisture (pw around 1.25" and TD in the low 60s) with bulk shear
increasing to 40-50kt could bring strong to marginally severe
wind gusts and hail with this line if sufficient instability is
realized. Moderate SW flow continues to bring much above normal
temps with highs expected around 75-80.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday/
As of 345 am Tuesday... The aforementioned line of convection
expected across the region early this evening will push offshore
around 9-10pm with the cold front pushing through after
midnight. Expect a clearing trend late evening and after
midnight but models are suggesting northerly flow will bring
sufficient low level moisture beneath the low level inversion
for a stcu deck to push into northern sections late tonight.

Lows will continue to be several degrees above normal mainly in
the mid 50s.

Long term /Wednesday through Monday/
As of 3 am Tuesday... Dry weather will prevail Wednesday and
Thursday with another round of showers and thunderstorms, with
possible heavy rain Friday into early Saturday.

Wednesday through Thursday... Ridging at the surface and in the
mid-levels will keep the region dry with a n/ne wind flow
providing slightly cooler temperatures Wednesday night and
Thursday. A downsloping NW flow will actually keep temperatures
quite warm for Wednesday with highs well into the 70s
inland... But remaining in the lower 60s over northern outer
banks. Wednesday will be chilly with lows generally in the upper
40s. Thursday will feature decent cold-air advection with highs
in the low/mid 60s... Except chilly mid 50s over the northern
outer banks.

Thursday night through Saturday... Moisture will start to spread
east from the mountains Thursday night with a few showers
reaching the far western CWA toward morning Friday. A deep 500
mb trough which will become negatively tilted... Coupled with
advection of deep moisture into eastern nc ahead of cold front
will lead to a rather wet Friday and have continued previous
forecasts of likely pops Friday into Friday night. QPF totals
could top an inch or better in some spots. Will continue mention
of thunder in the forecast for Friday. Instability is lacking in
the latest model runs... But with negatively tilted upper trough
and plentiful moisture... A few thunderstorms will be quite
possible. Highs Friday will range from the mid 60s outer banks
to lower 70s inland.

Saturday night through Monday... Dry conditions are expected
Saturday night through Sunday night with mid-level ridge to
again build over eastern nc with surface ridging from the north.

The next system will start to lift out of texas and provide a
small chance of rain by Monday afternoon with better chances
into the middle of next week.

Aviation /14z Tuesday through Saturday/
Short term /through tonight/...

as of 945 am Tuesday... GenerallyVFR expected this morning. An
area of showers with a few embedded tstms is progged move into
the region later this morning and may bring brief periods of
sub-VFR conditions but confidence is low in how much they hold
together as they move into eastern nc. A stronger line of pre-
frontal convection is expected mid afternoon through the early
evening hours that could bring strong wind gusts and hail if
sufficient instability is realized. Improving conditions
expected late evening, however we could see a low stcu deck
advect into northern sections late tonight. SW winds expected to
gust to around 15-20kt this afternoon.

Long term /Wednesday through Sunday/...

as of 3 am Tuesday... With ridging in place at the surface and
in the mid- levels... ExpectVFR conditions to prevail Wednesday
and Thursday. Widespread sub-vfr conditions are likely Friday
and Friday night as numerous showers and a few thunderstorms
will occur with slow-moving cold front. Improving conditions to
mostlyVFR late Saturday and Sunday with surface and mid-level
ridge again building over eastern nc.

Marine
Short term /today and tonight/...

as of 945 am Tuesday... S/sw winds around 10-15kt this morning
expected to increase to 15-20kt this afternoon ahead of a cold
front. The front progged to push across the waters after
midnight with winds becoming w/nw late. Seas expected around
4-6 ft across the central and southern waters today and build
up to 7 ft tonight with contribution from swell produced by a
low pressure area lifting north across the western atlantic.

Will continue the SCA for the waters south of oregon inlet.

Long term /Wednesday through Sunday/...

as of 3 am Wednesday... Small craft advisories will still be
ongoing south of oregon inlet Wednesday morning and continuing
into Thursday as non-tropical low pressure moves northeast from
the bahamas and sends swell energy toward the coast. Seas will
subside Thursday night before increasing from south Friday and
Friday night ahead of next cold front. Southerly winds Friday
will increase to 20-25 knots before veering to westerly behind
the front on Saturday. Seas build to as high as 8-9 feet,
especially central waters Friday evening through Saturday as sca
conditions prevail.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 am edt Thursday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Thursday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Sk
near term... Sk/sgk
short term... Sk
long term... Ctc
aviation... Ctc/sk
marine... Ctc/sk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 18 mi40 min SSW 13 G 17 68°F 47°F1013.9 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi58 min 50°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi53 min 51°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 31 mi46 min S 12 G 13 60°F 59°F1015 hPa
44095 43 mi40 min 53°F4 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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SW8
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SE9
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SW9
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SE7
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC16 mi64 minSSW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F60°F71%1014.2 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC20 mi78 minWSW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F59°F72%1015.2 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC24 mi78 minSW 13 G 1610.00 miPartly Cloudy69°F58°F69%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9
G18
SW10S10SW13
G21
S8
G16
SW11S7S5S7S7S9S10SW10S8S8S5S7S5S5S6S7S8S11SW10
1 day agoS63CalmE11SE10SE10SE7E9SE6SE7SE5SE4S6S3SE5--S3SE3S3S3S4S5SW9S8
2 days agoSW12
G20
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G23
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SW14SW12
G19
S7S7S8S9S8S8SW9S7S4CalmCalmCalmS3SE5SE3CalmS43

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:13 AM EDT     -0.74 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:16 AM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:29 PM EDT     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:37 PM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.6-0.3-0.7-0.60.11.12.33.33.83.63.12.11-0.1-0.7-0.7-0.10.92.13.3443.62.7

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:14 AM EDT     -0.59 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:22 AM EDT     3.86 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:30 PM EDT     -0.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:43 PM EDT     4.15 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.8-0.1-0.6-0.40.21.12.33.33.83.73.22.31.20.1-0.5-0.5-00.92.13.244.13.72.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.