Saturday, August18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Columbia, NC

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Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 7:52PM Saturday August 18, 2018 12:29 PM EDT (16:29 UTC) Moonrise 1:02PMMoonset 11:43PM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 1208 Pm Edt Sat Aug 18 2018
This afternoon..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tonight..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then showers and tstms likely in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..W winds around 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft, then 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Columbia, NC
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location: 36.05, -76.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 181120
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
720 am edt Sat aug 18 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will extend over the area from well offshore
through the weekend with a weak trough over the central
piedmont. A weak cold front will drop into the northern
forecast area Monday and Monday night, then lift back to the
north Tuesday. Another cold front will approach the area late
next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 715 am Saturday... Composite radar indicating showers and
thunderstorms well offshore in the gulf stream, otherwise no
precipitation across our region with mostly fair skies with high
cloudiness. Deep moisture advection in eastern nc coupled with
an approaching mid-level trough will lead to increased chances
of showers and thunderstorms across our cwa, especially later in
the day. Precipitable water values will increase to more than
2.3 inches by late today and a marginal threat of heavy rainfall
exists for northern portions of the cwa. Per a consensus of the
high-resolution models, think convective activity will be
somewhat limited with the sea breeze during the afternoon with
more widespread storms to occur later in the afternoon into the
evening ahead of approaching trough. Will continue previous
forecast showing 20-30 pct pops with the seabreeze earlier in
the day, with likely pops over the western and northern CWA by
late afternoon. Before the more widespread precipitation
arrives, high temperature should be able to reach the upper 80s
to lower 90s inland.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Sunday
As of 340 am Saturday... Higher resolution models such the nssl
wrf, hrrr and WRF arw show a line of showers and thunderstorms
entering the far northwestern CWA during the late afternoon and
crossing the CWA during the evening before moving offshore after
midnight. Will continue with previous forecast of likely pops
overnight. Clouds, precipitation and southwest breezes will hold
low temperatures in the mid 70s.

Long term Sunday through Friday
As of 3 am sat... A mean upper trough is forecast over the
eastern us through the period while low level southerly flow
continues to circulate a very moist airmass across our region
with pw values AOA 2". The favorable combination of forcing
aloft and moisture instability in the low levels will result in
unsettled conditions through next week with precipitation
chances at or above normal and temperatures at or slightly below
normal. Shower and thunderstorm chances increase above
climatological norms through most of the period as conditions
become favorable for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.

Will continue chance to likely pops. Expect highs in the 80s
through the period.

Wpc has the region outlooked in a marginal risk for excessive
rainfall Sunday. Expect best precip chances inland during the
afternoon, then likely shifting towards the coast overnight.

Locally heavy rainfall will be possible. A weak front is
forecast to drop southward into the northern forecast area
Monday and Monday night, then lift back north Tuesday. Another
cold front will approach the area late next week. The models are
now bringing the front into the area early Thursday, then
stalling it along or just off the coast into Saturday.

Aviation 11z Saturday through Wednesday
Short term through 12z Sunday ...

as of 715 am Saturday... No major changes this TAF cycle asVFR
conditions expected to prevail outside scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening
before ending in the overnight hours. There should be a
sufficient breeze overnight to preclude fog formation.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 3 am sat... Scattered to numerous showers and storms will
produce sub-VFR conditions at times through the period. In
addition conditions will be favorable for periods of low clouds
and fog early each morning.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 715 am Saturday... No changes needed with this update as sw
winds continue at 15-20 knots with a few gusts around 25 knots.

Seas have not yet responded and are generally running 2-4 feet.

Winds should increase hold at 15-25 knots today with seas
building to 4-6 feet by later in the afternoon today and
tonight. Current small craft advisory have things well handled
and no changes are needed at this time.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday ...

as of 3 am sat... Little change to the surface pattern of a
trough of low pressure inland and high pressure offshore into
early next week. Gusty SW winds 15-20 kt expected Sunday with
seas 3-5 ft... 6 ft seas could linger across the outer central
waters through the day. Ongoing SCA may need to be extended into
Sunday. A weak front is forecast to drop into the northern
waters Monday and Monday night before lifting back to the north
Tuesday. W SW winds 5-15 kt early Monday with seas 2-5 ft,
becoming E SE across the northern waters and remaining SW south
of hatteras. S SW winds return for all waters Tuesday 5-15 kt
early increasing to 10-20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2-4 ft early
building to 3-5 ft. Gradient tightens Tue night and wed, with
sw winds 10-20 kt, could see occasional gusts to 25 kt across
the outer central waters with seas briefly building to 6 ft.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Sunday for amz135.

Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Sunday for amz152-154-156.

Small craft advisory from noon today to 6 am edt Sunday for
amz150-158.

Synopsis... Ctc sk
near term... Ctc
short term... Ctc
long term... Cqd
aviation... Ctc cqd
marine... Ctc cqd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 18 mi48 min WSW 13 G 19 84°F 65°F1014.8 hPa
FRFN7 19 mi150 min 1 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi90 min 70°F1 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi75 min 81°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 31 mi48 min SSW 18 G 21 1015.6 hPa
44095 43 mi42 min 79°F3 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC16 mi36 minWSW 1310.00 miFair88°F75°F68%1014.6 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi60 minWSW 410.00 miFair87°F71°F61%1015.2 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC20 mi65 minW 12 G 2010.00 miFair87°F71°F60%1015.9 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC24 mi55 minno data10.00 miFair85°F73°F68%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7SW11S10S9SW11SW10S5S11S8S9S10SW11S9
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1 day ago3W4W5W8S4SW6S3S9S10S8S6S4SW8SW7SW7W6SW5SW5SW4SW7SW6W9SW9W8
2 days agoSW9SW8SW7S9SW8SW6SW3W3SW3S6SW4SW4SW3SW4SW4SW5CalmSW3SW3SW5SW4CalmSW4S5

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:21 AM EDT     2.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Sat -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:40 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:08 PM EDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:45 PM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.732.92.72.21.50.90.60.50.81.32.12.93.43.63.53.22.61.91.310.91.11.5

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:24 AM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Sat -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:45 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:13 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:47 PM EDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.7332.82.31.60.90.50.40.71.222.93.43.73.63.22.61.91.20.80.70.91.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.