Wednesday, March22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carmel Valley Village, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 7:20PM Wednesday March 22, 2017 5:27 PM PDT (00:27 UTC) Moonrise 2:35AMMoonset 1:05PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ565 Point Pinos To Point Piedras Blancas To 10 Nm- 150 Pm Pdt Wed Mar 22 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. W swell 8 to 9 ft at 13 seconds. Slight chance of rain in the evening.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 8 to 9 ft at 13 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 15 kt...becoming east after midnight. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 6 to 7 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri..SE winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 15 seconds. Chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 14 seconds. Rain in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft...increasing to 7 to 9 ft. Slight chance of showers.
Sun..W winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 6 to 8 ft. Slight chance of showers, then showers likely.
Mon..NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. W swell 6 to 8 ft.
PZZ500 150 Pm Pdt Wed Mar 22 2017
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Increasing northwest winds through Thursday morning. Winds will weaken then turn southerly ahead of the next system through the day Thursday. Strong south to southwest winds will then prevail as a storm system moves across the coastal waters. High winds and seas can be expected Friday as the front moves through.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carmel Valley Village, CA
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location: 36.1, -121.76     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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Fxus66 kmtr 222137
afdmtr
area forecast discussion
national weather service san francisco bay area
237 pm pdt Wed mar 22 2017

Synopsis Scattered showers along with a few thunderstorms can
be expected into the early evening hours. The next storm system
is projected to impact the region late week. Widespread rainfall
and stronger winds return to the northern portion of the region
late Thursday and will spread southward during the day Friday. Dry
conditions return for most of Saturday with another weak system
forecast to push through starting Saturday night. Dry weather and
warmer temperatures are then likely next week.

Discussion As of 3:00 pm pdt Wednesday... Kmux radar shows
scattered showers continuing across our region -- especially for
the southern third of the cwa. Returns indicate a few moderate
cells so would expect a few are dropping small hail. Showers will
greatly diminish once the Sun GOES down, and additional
accumulations will mostly be under a tenth.

Dry weather will return for tonight through the majority of
Thursday before another system from the north moves through and
brings widespread rainfall back into the picture. Models have been
advertising this system for nearly a week and the latest guidance
has only slightly wavered from previous runs. Now looks like rain
will move into the north bay Thursday night, down to sf bay Friday
morning and to monterey bay starting around noon. However, the
main story will be the moderate to heavy band of rain associated
with a surface front that will go through later than the initial
round of rain. That band could produce high rain rates for a brief
period possibly leading to some urban and small stream issues. At
the same time southerly winds will be on the increase as the front
approaches. Gusts in many urban locations of 25 to 35 mph can be
expected. Values to 50 mph are possible above 1,500 feet. Guidance
has slightly trended downward so at this time do not expect to
issue wind advisories.

Rainfall amounts have only slightly changed from previous forecast
packages. Still looks that the best ivt numbers (and longest
duration) will focus on the north bay with widespread 1.5-3"
expected (locally 4+" for the north bay mountains). Similar values
can be expected for the sc mountains plus the santa lucias.

Around sf bay generally 2/3" to 1.5" is forecast with mostly less
than 2/3" from the santa clara valley southward.

Behind the front scattered showers are possible into early
Saturday. This will be followed quickly by another system that
will again move north-to-south late Saturday night through
Sunday. This feature will be the weakest of the week and rainfall
totals should be generally under 1/2" for most urban locations.

A ridge of high pressure will build behind that system and bring
warmer and drier conditions back to our region for most of next
week and possibly through the following week.

Aviation As of 10:50 am pdt Wednesday... Expect to see a trend
towards gradually improving ceilings, visibilities, and fewer rain
showers today. The bulk of the rain activity has now shifted
eastward into the central valley, however, isolated to scattered
rain showers could continue into the afternoon (primarily for
east bay and monterey bay regions). Winds will become breezy this
afternoon, especially around the san francisco bay. Model data
indicating potential for 2000-3000 ft CIGS overnight.

Vicinity of ksfo...VFR. Onshore winds 10-20kt. Occasional gust to
25-30kt possible this afternoon.

Sfo bridge approach... Same as ksfo.

Monterey bay terminals... PatchworkVFR/MVFR due to lowered
ceilings. Some rain showers will move across the monterey bay
terminals through late morning into the early afternoon.

Marine As of 02:24 pm pdt Wednesday... Increasing northwest
winds through Thursday morning. Winds will weaken then turn
southerly ahead of the next system through the day Thursday.

Strong south to southwest winds will then prevail as a storm
system moves across the coastal waters. High winds and seas can
be expected Friday as the front moves through.

Mtr watches/warnings/advisories
Tngt Sca... Pigeon pt to pt pinos 0-10 nm from 9 pm until 3 am
sca... Pt arena to pt reyes 0-10 nm until 3 am
sca... Pt reyes to pigeon pt 0-10 nm until 3 am
sca... Pt arena to pigeon pt 10-60 nm until 3 am
sca... Pt pinos to pt piedras blancas 0-10 nm
public forecast: bell
aviation: drp
marine: drp
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46239 - Point Sur, CA (157) 25 mi35 min 56°F8 ft
46028 - CAPE SAN MARTIN - 55NM West Northwest of Morro Bay, CA 27 mi37 min NNW 18 G 21 56°F 56°F8 ft1018.1 hPa (-0.5)
MEYC1 36 mi51 min W 11 G 16 55°F 57°F1018.9 hPa
46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) 37 mi36 min 57°F4 ft
46092 - MBM1 47 mi78 min W 19 55°F 56°F1017.7 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Monterey, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monterey, Monterey Peninsula Airport, CA34 mi33 minW 12 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F46°F67%1020.2 hPa

Wind History from MRY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S6SE4S5E6E6E6E4S7S5SE4S95S4SE4SE4W4W8W11W9W10W14
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmNW3NE6CalmS8S8SW7
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2 days agoW5SW4NE3E5E3CalmSW5E5E3CalmE3SE3CalmE5E4E3NE4NW6NW3NW5NW5CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Carmel Cove, Carmel Bay, California
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Carmel Cove
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:39 AM PDT     2.71 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:36 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:32 AM PDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 01:56 PM PDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:04 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:21 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:50 PM PDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.72.72.93.23.644.34.343.42.61.710.50.30.511.72.53.13.53.63.43.1

Tide / Current Tables for Monterey, Monterey Harbor, California
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Monterey
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:43 AM PDT     2.79 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:36 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:35 AM PDT     4.49 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 02:00 PM PDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:04 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:21 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:53 PM PDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.82.833.33.74.24.44.54.23.62.81.91.10.60.40.61.11.82.63.23.63.73.63.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.