Sunday, October22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rural Hill, TN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 6:01PM Sunday October 22, 2017 5:29 PM CDT (22:29 UTC) Moonrise 9:30AMMoonset 8:11PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rural Hill, TN
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location: 36.13, -86.61     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus64 kohx 222004
afdohx
area forecast discussion
national weather service nashville tn
304 pm cdt Sun oct 22 2017

Discussion
Quiet so far today precip wise as strong southerly winds bring
some additional moisture to the area before better precip chances
move in later. Models are lining up a bit better with smaller
discrepancies compared to previous runs, and still looks like this
evening through early Monday afternoon will be when the best
chances for rain will impact the area, and when the heaviest
amounts will fall. Current radar does have some higher echoes
developing to the southwest of the area, and the hrrr is
indicating this may be out ahead of the main line for later this
evening. Amounts have lowered slightly, but still looking at 1-2
inches of rain across the area with some locally higher amounts
possible. Models also continue the trend of decreasing instability
this afternoon through the day Monday, so kept the mention of
thunder in for this afternoon and evening with mainly showers
thereafter.

Still have lingering chances for precip overnight into Tuesday
morning as some backside showers may be ongoing. The larger
midwest trough will dig southward towards the mid state on
Tuesday, and will help reinforce CAA over the area. This will
bring 850 mb temps around 0c over the region, and low temps
Wednesday morning may be near freezing for low lying areas. Areas
of frost seem more likely in those areas compared to previous
runs, however there is still a bit of difference between model
solutions in regards to temperature ranges. Thursday morning may
also have lows in the mid to upper 30s east of i-65, so looking
for chances for frost on that morning as well. Brief upper ridging
moves in later on Thursday and early Friday so temps will recover
a bit into the upper 60s with lows in the 40s.

Warmer air looks to be short lived as another plains midwest
trough will bring a stronger cold front to the area. Long term
models still are a bit off in regards to timing of precip and
colder air, however agree that Sunday will be cooler with highs in
the mid 50s. The GFS has a much colder solution compared to the
gfs, so went with consensus bringing rain chances late Friday
through early Sunday with 50s highs and 30s lows for next weekend.

Aviation
18z TAF discussion.

Bna mqy ckv csv... Per above mentioned timing changes, terminals
now reflecting this trend also. Will not mention the potential
of vcsh at ckv until 22 22z. This trend also reflected in when
bringing in the development of predominate fm group rainfall
not beginning at ckv until 23 02z. Believe most locations will
receive rainfall by 23 06z. Winds should generally be high
enough to keep fog production at the minimum. Sfc pressure
gradient should be tight enough to continue to support gusts
to 30-35 kts thru 23 00z. Pcpn chances should possibly end
by 23 16z ckv.

Preliminary point temps pops
Nashville 62 65 48 61 40 100 80 10 10 10
clarksville 57 62 46 59 38 90 50 10 10 10
crossville 60 64 43 55 34 90 90 20 20 10
columbia 59 64 45 61 36 90 50 10 10 10
lawrenceburg 57 64 43 61 34 90 40 0 10 10
waverly 56 64 45 60 36 90 30 0 0 10

Ohx watches warnings advisories
None.

Discussion... ... Barnwell
aviation... ... ..31


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Nashville, Nashville International Airport, TN4 mi37 minSSE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F60°F56%1016.5 hPa
Smyrna, Smyrna Airport, TN10 mi94 minSSE 810.00 miOvercast77°F61°F58%1009.2 hPa

Wind History from BNA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6SE6S7S9SE8SE9SE8S11S6SE6SE6SE9SE9SE11SE10S14
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1 day agoCalmCalmS4S4S4S4S4S3S4S4S3CalmS3SE3CalmS3S4S13S11S12S11S9S7SE7
2 days agoS4S3S4S4S4CalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE6E53CalmS3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Nashville, TN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.