Sunday, December16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hertford, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 4:53PM Sunday December 16, 2018 9:25 PM EST (02:25 UTC) Moonrise 1:09PMMoonset 12:32AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 708 Pm Est Sun Dec 16 2018
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight, then diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers this evening.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon night..NW winds around 15 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hertford, NC
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location: 36.18, -76.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 162358
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
658 pm est Sun dec 16 2018

Synopsis
An upper level low pressure system will push off the coast this
evening. High pressure returns Monday through Wednesday,
bringing dry conditions to the local area. The next area of low
pressure approaches from the southwest Thursday and brings
another round of rain Thursday afternoon into early Friday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
As of 300 pm est Sunday...

vertically stacked occluded lo pres will slowly reach the coast
this evening then move offshore overnight. Two lingering areas
of shras attm... One will be moving to the ERN shore in the next
couple of hours... Then the trailing area (over the WRN piedmont)
will be sliding ese through central va toward SE va. QPF will
remain spotty and light and clouds will remain widespread. Wnw
winds will begin to usher in cooler air this evening w
temperatures falling through the 40s. Beginning to clear out
mainly after midnight. Lows mainly in the m-u30s... Except around
40f right along the bay ocean in ERN va and NE nc.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Wednesday
As of 200 pm est Sunday...

models in good agreement that a welcome dry pattern will prevail
both Mon tue. Sfc lo pres will be pushing off the new england
coast Mon morning with sfc hi pres over the midwest. CAA will
be offset by downsloping (wnw winds gusty at times) so highs
will be mild on mon... Ranging from the mid 50s across the N and
nw to the l60s SE under a mainly sunny sky. Secondary cold
front drops through the region Mon night and may lead to a few
clouds... Mainly across the ERN shore but generally skc overall.

Turning colder Mon night W lows in the u20s-around 30f W to
the mid 30s right along the coast in SE va-ne nc. Sfc hi pres
settles over the region Tue tue night W clear and dry
conditions prevailing. Cooler but seasonable Tue with highs
mainly from 45-50 f (coolest NE and warmest sw). Clear with lows
from the m-u20s inland to lower 30s SE va-ne nc coastal areas tue
night. Hi pres shifts offshore by Wed and dry seasonable wx will
continue. Highs Wed in the u40s N and NW to the l50s s.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
As of 145 pm est Sunday...

hi pres drifts farther off the coast Wed night while strong
amplification of trough aloft begins through the plains states.

That trough will be shifting E through fri. Lo pres moving
through the lower ms valley thu... Tracks NE through the ERN oh
valley fri... Pushing a cold front to the E coast by late fri.

Timing is fairly consistent over the past few runs of the models
(maybe a touch faster now). Consensus shows deep layered ssw
flow resulting in quick significant increase in moisture NE from
the SE states beginning Thu morning (pops to 60-90% here by thu
evening)... Then spreading toward the NE CONUS fri. Another
period of moderate heavy ra possible... ESP thu
evening night... Then the trailing upper level trough crosses the
region late Fri fri night may bring additional sct pcpn. Drying
out and cool for the weekend as the lo pres departs into the
far NRN atlantic.

Lows Wed night in the 30s... Except l40s at the coast in ERN va-
ne nc. Highs Thu in the l-m50s N and W to the l60s in SE va-ne
nc. Mild Thu night W lows Thu night in the m-u40s W to the
m50s in E and se. Highs Fri in the u50s to l60s. Lows Fri night
from the u30s W to the l40s e. Highs highs Sat and Sun in the
u40s N and W to the m50s se.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
As of 700 pm est Sunday...

low pressure is slowly lifting newd off the nj coast as of 00z.

Ifr CIGS persist at sby and will likely continue through ~03z.

Additionally, a NW wind will gust to ~20kt at sby through about
03z. MVFR CIGS prevail at ric phf orf and should lift toVFR
~4-5kft between 01-03z. CIGS have lifted toVFR ~4kft at ecg and
should remainVFR. Light rain has now lifted to the NE of sby.

Another batch of light showers is tracking sewd over SRN va.

This could clip ecg through 02z, but should have no impact of
vsby. Drier air arrives later tonight with the sky becoming
clear. Sunny Monday with a W wind increasing to 10-15kt in the
aftn and occasionally gusting to ~20kt in the aftn.

High pressure prevails Tuesday and Wednesday. Low pressure
approaches from the SW Thursday and will likely bring another
round of flight restrictions beginning later Thursday and
continuing into Friday.

Marine
As of 410 pm est Sunday...

late this aftn, low pressure was just off the nj coast. Winds
were wnw 10-20 knots with a few gusts at elevated sites to 25
kt. Waves were 1-3 ft and seas were 4-7 ft.

Expect winds to become NW everywhere at 10-20 kt with gusts to
25 kt later this evening into Mon morning, as the low moves
away to the NE and sfc high pressure starts to build in fm the
wnw. Winds turn more westerly and decrease to 10-15 knots
during the day on mon. Winds then turn back to the NW and
increase to 15-25 kt over most of the waters for Mon night into
tue morning, due to an upper trough moving from SE canada to
new england, which will allow a shot of colder air to move into
the mid atlc. Model soundings show the potential for gusts to
near 30 knots Mon night into Tue morning, mainly over the nrn
ocean zones (along with solid SCA conditions over much of the
area). Winds finally diminish over the waters Tue aftn night,
as an area of high pressure moves into and over the area fm the
wnw. Altho winds will weaken and waves seas will subside during
mon, have issued sca's for most of the waters into early tue
aftn thru Tue aftn due to increase in winds waves seas mon
night. High pressure will slide off the coast during wed.

Hydrology
As of 325 pm est Sunday...

flood warning has been cancelled at farmville while remaining in
effect for bremo bluff, lawrenceville, richmond-westham and the
locks. Other sites will continue to be monitored. Please refer
to the latest fls product for site-specific details.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Tuesday for anz630>632-634-
650-652-654.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Tuesday for anz656-658.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Alb
short term... Alb lkb
long term... Alb
aviation... Ajz
marine... Eri tmg
hydrology... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 38 mi38 min WNW 11 G 14 51°F 52°F1011.9 hPa
FRFN7 39 mi146 min 2 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 40 mi56 min 48°F3 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 42 mi44 min N 8 G 12 48°F 49°F1012.8 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 47 mi41 min 49°F4 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 49 mi38 min NW 7 G 9.9 46°F 1012.9 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC16 mi32 minNW 79.00 miLight Rain51°F48°F89%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8
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W7W4SW3W6W5NW3NW4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmS4
1 day agoN9
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Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:30 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:27 AM EST     3.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:42 AM EST     0.71 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:06 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:39 PM EST     3.02 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:03 PM EST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.7332.72.21.61.10.80.711.42.12.6332.72.21.610.50.30.511.6

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:29 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:31 AM EST     2.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:48 AM EST     0.78 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:05 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:41 PM EST     2.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:06 PM EST     0.32 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.82.82.62.31.81.30.90.811.31.82.42.72.82.62.21.71.10.50.30.40.81.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.