Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hertford, NC

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:27PM Thursday June 20, 2019 1:03 AM EDT (05:03 UTC) Moonrise 10:12PMMoonset 7:41AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hertford, NC
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location: 36.18, -76.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 200141
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
941 pm edt Wed jun 19 2019

Synopsis
A weak trough will slowly push across the region this evening
generating a few showers and storms. A strong cold front pushes
through the region late Thursday afternoon and evening. High
pressure will build into the area on Friday and settle across
the region through the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
As of 940 pm edt Wednesday...

showers and t-storms are finally diminishing in areal coverage
with loss of peak heating. Meager effective shear and minimal
upper support will keep pops on the low side for the balance of
the evening, with pops dropping <14% after midnight. Warm and
muggy overnight with lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Saturday
As of 350 pm edt Wednesday...

Thursday will begin quiet, but should get active later in the
day as a cold front, associated with a strong shortwave trough,
sweeps across the region. The timing is still a bit different in
the models but generally it looks like the timing should be
sometime during the mid to late afternoon in the piedmont and
exiting the coast around 00z. The environment should be
conducive for strong winds associated with line of convection
as drier air aloft and 50 kt winds at 700 mb are able to mix
down. The CAPE is also sufficient between 2000 - 3000 j kg. As a
result the region is marked as slight risk tomorrow. With the
added sunshine expect to see highs rebound to the upper 80s to
lower 90s. Trended toward the warmer mav guidance.

Behind the front on Thursday night will see a wind shift to the
nw and the chances for rain will quickly diminish. The upper
trough will cross the region around 12z and the models have been
trying to show a wrap around moisture band impacting the lower
md eastern shore early Friday. The NAM is farther north but the
gfs is still spreading the moisture southward. For now have left
a slight chance for a shower on Friday morning. After that the
surface high builds in with cooler and drier conditions Friday
afternoon and night. For temperatures, did not drop readings as
much as mav suggested thurs night since as it usually takes a
little time to get the low level moisture completely out this
time of year. But should see readings in the low to mid 80s on
Friday with lower humidity. Friday night should be the coolest
night. Although some high clouds could limit cooling some across
the south.

Saturday still has some uncertainty as the wnw flow aloft could
push some upstream convection through the region. The NAM is
farther to the north and slides an MCS from the ohio valley
across SRN va and NRN nc. The GFS is weaker and farther south
with the convective complex. For now have kept a more optimistic
view and kept the forecast dry and will have to monitor this
situation.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
As of 310 pm edt Wednesday...

warm front lifts NE through the fa Sat night-sun morning then hi
pres sets up INVOF SE states from Sun afternoon-tue resulting in
a period of typical early summer wx. Pops to remain AOB 20-30%
(diurnal) sun-mon... Then W a cold front pushing into the area
from the W by late tue... Pops increase to 30-40%. Lower pops are
expected by wed.

Lows Sat night in the l-m60s. Highs Sun in the m80s. Lows sun
night 65-70f. Highs Mon in the u80s-around 90f at the coast to
the l90s inland. Lows Mon night in the l-m70s. Highs Tue in the
u80s-l90s. Highs Wed mainly 85-90f.

Aviation 02z Thursday through Monday
As of 940 pm edt Wednesday...

lcl MVFR this evening has improved to mainlyVFR across area
terminals. Trend of gradually improving conditions continues
late this evening. Some low CIGS could redevelop later tonight
into early thu... Highest prob INVOF phf sby).

Mainly dry after 06z into early-mid afternoon thu, and becoming
breezy with w-sw winds. Sct shras tstms expected during the
late afternoon early evening as a cold front moves across the
region. Drier withVFR conditions Fri sat. Iso sct convection
possible again Sun Mon afternoons evenings.

Marine
As of 800 pm edt Wednesday...

scas now in effect for the southern coastal waters and currituck
sound starting Thursday evening.

Ssw winds will average 10-15 kt this evening and tonight with
scattered showers and tstms waining before midnight. A cold
front will approach the area from the west on Thursday, before
crossing the waters early Friday morning. SW winds will
increase through the day on Thursday, reaching 15-25 kt by
Thursday evening and night. Locally stronger winds will be
possible with thunderstorms late Thursday which will likely
require smws. Once the cold front moves through early Friday
morning, winds will become wnw 20-25 with gusts to 30 kt
(especially for bay and northern ocean zones). Winds will
diminish Friday afternoon into Friday night as low pressure
moves quickly off to the ne. High pressure and generally benign
conditions then return for the weekend. Seas will peak at 3-5 ft
late Thu Fri with waves on the bay of 3-4 ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 4 am to 1 pm edt Friday for
anz635>637.

Small craft advisory from 8 pm Thursday to 4 pm edt Friday for
anz630>632-634.

Small craft advisory from 8 pm Thursday to 1 pm edt Friday for
anz633-638.

Small craft advisory from 2 am to 1 pm edt Friday for anz654.

Small craft advisory from 6 pm Thursday to 1 pm edt Friday for
anz656-658.

Small craft advisory from 2 am to 6 pm edt Friday for anz650-
652.

Synopsis... Mam
near term... Ess mam
short term... Ess
long term... Alb
aviation... Alb lkb
marine... Jdm cp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 38 mi52 min S 11 G 13 76°F 61°F1007.2 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 40 mi34 min 66°F2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 42 mi46 min S 7 G 12 76°F 78°F1006.8 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 47 mi34 min 72°F3 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 49 mi46 min SSW 12 G 15 76°F 1006.6 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC12 mi84 minSSE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F74°F95%1008.5 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC16 mi70 minS 710.00 miFair75°F72°F90%1007.9 hPa

Wind History from EDE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S6S5S7S6S5S7S7W6W5W4W6W6W3S5SE3SE7SW3E4E5SE5SE10SE7S5
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Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:27 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:22 AM EDT     3.21 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:21 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:37 PM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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32.21.30.60.20.20.61.32.22.83.23.12.721.30.60.30.40.81.62.43.23.63.7

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina (2)
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:23 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:22 AM EDT     3.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:17 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:37 PM EDT     3.50 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.821.20.50.10.20.61.32.12.7332.61.91.20.60.30.30.81.52.333.43.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.