Friday, March22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Camden, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 7:19PM Friday March 22, 2019 2:20 AM EDT (06:20 UTC) Moonrise 8:20PMMoonset 7:22AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 949 Pm Edt Thu Mar 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 am edt Friday through Saturday morning...
Overnight..W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers late this evening and early morning.
Fri..W winds 15 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..W winds 20 to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt...gusts to 25 kt early. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft. A chance of showers, then showers likely.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Camden, NC
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location: 36.22, -76.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 220155
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
955 pm edt Thu mar 21 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure will track to the northeast tonight. An upper level
trough will cross the region Friday... Then high pressure and dry
weather is expected for the upcoming weekend.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
As of 950 pm edt Thursday...

999mb surface low pressure is centered near sby as of 930 pm,
and this is the surface reflection of a deep strengthening low
pressure system in vicinity of the mid-atlantic coast.

Temperatures range through the 40s for most of the area, and
remain in the 50s immediately N of the low center over the md
ern shore. Some spotty light rain lingers over NRN portions of
the area, but the heaviest rain has ended, and storm total qpf
ranges from 0.5-1.00" over the ERN portion of the area and
1.5-2.0" along and W of i-95. 40-60% pops for light rain
continue overnight from the NRN neck to the md ERN shore, but
additional QPF should be less than 0.1". Partial clearing is
expected W and sw, while NE portions remain overcast overnight.

Low temperatures range from the upper 30s over the piedmont, to
the low mid 40s toward the coast. A W wind of 10-20 mph will
continue overnight, with some gusts up to 30 mph from e-central
va to the ERN shore and into SE va and coastal NE nc.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through Sunday
As of 240 pm edt Thursday...

vrb clouds partly sunny N and central areas... Mostly sunny far
s and SE fri. Sfc lo pres will be exiting across new england as
strong hi pres builds through the midwest ms valley. A final trailing
s W aloft is then expected to dive SE from the ERN great lakes oh
valley Fri afternoon resulting in 20-30% pops... Mainly across the
n and NE portions of the fa. Also... W winds will become gusty to
25-35 mph inland... 30-40 mph toward the coast (will continue mention
in hwo). Highs in the m-u50s N and NE to the l60s central and s.

Mostly skc Fri night with lows in the 30s (w winds lowering... Esp
inland).

Sfc hi pres and dry wx settle over the local area for the weekend
(though breezy sat... Esp ERN portions). Highs Sat in the l50s at
the coast in va-md to the u50s around 60 f inland. Lows sat
night 30-35f inland to the l40s right along the coast in SE va-
ne nc. Highs Sun in the m-u50s near the bay and on the ern
shore to the u60s-around 70f elsewhere.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
As of 225 pm edt Thursday...

sfc hi pres will shift off the SE CONUS coast Sun evening then
remain off the coast through mon. Meanwhile... Lo pres and its
associated cold front will be starting to take shape gather
moisture from the oh valley to the lower ms valley. Still mild
sun night-mon W a chc of shras returning by Mon afternoon (esp
n and W portions). The cold front will be pushing S through the
area Mon evening into Tue morning W a trailing area of lo pres
tracking by to the S as colder sfc hi pres builds SE out of
canada. That low tracks off the lower mid-atlantic coast tue
afternoon. Maintained pops to 50-70% (for ra) across much of the
fa Mon night into Tue morning then taper the pops down from nw
to SE Tue afternoon evening. Dry cool wx expected Tue night- wed
(though breezy windy... ESP at the coast). Milder and remaining
dry thu.

Lows Sun night in the m-u40s. Highs Mon from 60-65f near the
bay and on the ERN shore to the u60s-l70s inland. Lows Mon night
in the u30s N to 45-50f se. Highs Tue in the m-u40s... Except
l50s in far SE va-ne nc. Lows Tue night from the u20s-l30s N and
w to the 30s far se. Highs Wed in the u40s-l50s E to the l-m50s
inland. Highs Thu from the 50s at the coast to l60s inland.

Aviation 02z Friday through Tuesday
As of 840 pm edt Thursday...

a deepening area of low pressure will track nne from the middle
chesapeake bay to the nj coast overnight. CIGS will gradually
lift overnight with the exception of sby, where ifr CIGS will
persist to at least 06z, and potentially to 10z. The wind will
be W 10-15kt with gusts to 20-25kt on the back-side of the low
at ric phf orf ecg, and will initially be SE 10-15kt with gusts
to 20-25kt at sby, before shifting to W after 02z. Occasional
light rain will persist at sby overnight, with spotty light rain
ending at ric phf orf this evening. A potent upper trough will
tracks across the region Friday with a W wind of 15-20kt and
gusts to 25-30kt. Bkn-ovc CIGS ~6-8kft are expected during the
aftn at ric sby, with sct-bkn clouds ~6-8kft at phf orf ecg.

There is a minimal chc of showers, mainly from ric-sby, and
there could be some gs at sby.

High pressure builds into the region from the NW Friday night
into Saturday, and then slides offshore Sunday. A NW wind will
continue Saturday and then become SW Sunday. A strong cold front
approaches from the NW Monday, and crosses the area Monday
night, with high pressure building in from the N Tuesday. There
is a potential for degraded flight conditions Monday night into
early Tuesday.

Marine
As of 630 pm edt Thursday...

significant changes to the forecast on this update... Went ahead
and re-issued the small craft advisory for all the rivers and
currituck sound now through Saturday. ~1000mb low pressure is
currently moving up the ches bay and will continue to deepen
overnight tomorrow. With a decent pressure gradient over the
waters in its wake, see no reason that the winds will diminish
overnight. Expect to see a solid period of W winds of 20 to 25
knots with gusts to 30 knots overnight over a majority of the
waters. Wind probs have continued to trend higher each run,
which is not shocking considering the current setup, and even
have winds approaching gales ~6z to 12z over the northern
coastal waters. Based on the current trends, would not be
shocked to have to upgrade the gale watch to a warning at the
next update. Seas were also increased from the previous update,
based on the latest observations, and now have widespread seas
of 7 to 10 feet for tonight.

Previous discussion:
a lot of changes across the marine area in
the next 12-36 hours. Low pressure is moving NE west of the
ches bay ATTM and will cont to move NE across the bay and ern
shore this eve then across the nrn DELMARVA while deepening late
tonite. The gusty sse winds out ahead of the system will shift
to the wnw behind the trailing cold frontal passage this evening
and diminish to under SCA levels for a few hrs before ramping
back up after midnite. Thus, sca's cont for the ches bay and
coastal waters.

Deep mixing occurs behind the system fri. Daytime heating will also
aid in the NW winds becoming rather gusty during the aftn, thus
sca's will go in effect for the currituck sound and rivers. A
front or secondary trof crosses the area Fri eve with a stronger
push of CAA behind it. Data supports gusts to gale force (35
kts) possible across the NRN coastal waters and middle ches bay,
thus have issued a gale watch for these areas. That way later
shifts can either upgrade to a gale warning or keep strong sca's
going.

Seas remain high (5-8 ft) thru Sat before subsiding Sat night.

High pressure builds in Sun and Mon with sub-sca conditions.

Hydrology
Flood warnings have been issued for the rivanna river at
palmyra, and for the meherrin river at lawrenceville. No
additional sites are forecast to reach flood stage at this time,
but substantial rises are still expected over mainstem rivers
during the next 24-36 hours.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Saturday for anz635-636-
638.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Saturday for anz637.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Saturday for anz631-632-
634-656-658.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt Saturday for anz633.

Gale watch from Friday evening through late Friday night for
anz630.

Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Friday for anz630.

Gale warning until 11 am edt Saturday for anz650-652-654.

Synopsis... Mam
near term... Ajz alb
short term... Alb
long term... Alb
aviation... Ajz
marine... Ajb mpr
hydrology... Ajz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi50 min W 14 G 17 49°F 47°F1004.2 hPa
FRFN7 20 mi140 min 5 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi80 min 47°F4 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 27 mi35 min 47°F5 ft
44086 40 mi25 min 49°F5 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi50 min W 8.9 G 13 49°F 52°F1003.4 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 42 mi50 min WSW 11 G 13 50°F 52°F1004.8 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 48 mi50 min W 9.9 G 18 49°F 1003 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 49 mi50 min W 18 G 25 49°F 1000.9 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC5 mi26 minWSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy47°F41°F80%1004.5 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC13 mi40 minno data10.00 miLight Drizzle47°F43°F87%1004.1 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E9E11E14
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1 day agoN14NE12NE14NE14NE14NE13NE15NE16NE15N13N13N12NE13N11N11N9N8NE8NE10NE10N7N8NE6E6
2 days agoN11N10N11N9N12N13N10NE15NE18NE16
G21
NE11NE11NE13NE12NE15NE14NE14NE10NE11NE10NE11NE12NE11NE11

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
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Fri -- 03:12 AM EDT     -0.84 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:19 AM EDT     4.10 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:29 PM EDT     -0.71 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:41 PM EDT     4.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.80.6-0.4-0.8-0.60.21.32.63.64.143.32.21-0-0.6-0.601.12.33.54.24.33.8

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:08 AM EDT     -0.81 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:17 AM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:26 PM EDT     -0.74 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:43 PM EDT     4.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.90.6-0.4-0.8-0.60.11.22.53.53.93.83.22.20.9-0.1-0.7-0.6-0.10.92.23.44.14.23.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.