Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Camden, NC
May 10, 2024 11:30 PM EDT (03:30 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:00 AM Sunset 8:02 PM Moonrise 6:39 AM Moonset 10:20 PM |
AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat - W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun - N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night - SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
AMZ100 913 Pm Edt Fri May 10 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - A cold front will move through the waters tonight, followed by high pressure over the weekend. Another front will come through around the middle of next week.
FXUS61 KAKQ 110011 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 811 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
SYNOPSIS
An upper level trough will bring another round of showers and storms this afternoon into tonight. A chance for showers continues across mainly northern areas over the weekend. Dry and warmer weather to start next week before another round of showers and storms are possible Tuesday and Wednesday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 810 PM EDT Friday...
Low pressure was located off the NC coast this evening with an upper level trough slowly pivoting through the local area. With the loss of diurnal instability, thunderstorms have ended with scattered showers lingering across much of the area. Expect this activity to gradually taper off as it moves E over the next several hours. Temps as of 7:50 PM ranged from the low-mid 50s N to the lower 60s S.
Latest observations from the Space Prediction Center show that we are currently in a G5 geomagnetic storm (Kp 9). This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since October 2003! It is the strongest level of geomagnetic storm and (if clear skies allow)
this level of storm can actually be seen across VA/MD/NC and potentially farther S! Now for the bad news...given the upper level trough overhead, widespread cloud cover looks to stick around through the night across essentially the whole CWA The best chance for some partial clearing tonight is across far SW portions of the local area. The lowest chance for clearing is across central and eastern portions of the FA.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 230pm EDT Friday...
Much of Saturday into early afternoon should stay dry as a weak upper disturbance currently over the western Great Lakes approaches the area. Models are trending slightly slower with the precipitation, with the best chances for rain across the far NW starting late Sat afternoon, then spreading east during the evening. Best chances will be across the northern half of the forecast area due to the best energy staying well north of the region. The upper low and associated surface reflection will be slow to move out on Sunday, with wrap around showers possible across mainly eastern Virginia and the lower MD eastern shore.
Models are not terribly aggressive with precipitation on Sunday, so many places will likely be dry. Trough exits offshore by Sunday evening with dry weather expected Sunday night.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Friday...
Overall, the extended will be seasonable although there will be rain chances throughout the week. Monday will be the only day of the week with no chances for rain with ridging aloft and at the surface. Rain chances increase for Tuesday and especially on Wednesday as the closed low currently over the SW states moves east and impacts the region. Does not look like heavy rainfall as there will not be an opportunity to tap into Gulf of Mexico moisture, but most areas should see a quarter to a half an inch of rain. Weak ridging builds in on Thursday which may allow for a dry day.
Will hold onto 20 PoPs in case of an afternoon/evening shower or storm. Another better chance for rain on Friday as the consensus LREF suggest another southern stream wave moving into the area from the west.
Temperatures will be seasonable for this time of year. Due to the general zonal flow across the area, am not expecting significant day to day changes in the temps next week. Highs mostly in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Friday...
Low pressure over central Virginia will move east and offshore tonight. This will allow the lower clouds over northern VA and the MD eastern shore to move southward overnight. Will bring all sites to MVFR late this afternoon into this evening as the boundary moves southward. Showers may impact RIC, PHF and ORF late this afternoon into this evening, while thunderstorms are possible at or near ECG after 21z. VFR conditions expected on Saturday. North to northeast winds expected through the period (except initially westerly at ECG late this afternoon).
Outlook: Mainly dry/VFR most of Saturday, but another chance for showers Saturday night into Sunday. Dry conditions return Monday.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 755 PM EDT Friday...
Low pressure off the NC coast will move out to sea overnight while an upper level trough moves pivots through the area. As a result, scattered showers (and isolated storms in S portions of NE NC) will continue to be possible for the next few hours before gradually tapering off from W to E. Some hi-res CAMs show the potential for some light showers lingering near ORF/ECG late tonight into Sat morning, but confidence is too low to reflect in the tafs. BKN/OVC conditions this evening (MVFR CIGs inland and MVFR/IFR CIGs along the coast) gradually become SCT/BKN late tonight before improving Sat afternoon. ORF/PHF/ECG/SBY may bounce around between IFR/MVFR CIGs (800-1000 ft) over the next few hours before they improve to MVFR. CIGs improve to VFR by Sat afternoon. Winds remain generally N/NNE 5-10 kt tonight (10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt over the next few hours), becoming variable ~5-7 kt Sat. Another cold front brings the chance for scattered showers (and perhaps an isolated storm) late Sat afternoon into early Sat night.
Outlook: Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible Sun across NE portions of the FA (including SBY). Dry conditions return Monday. Unsettled weather returns Tue-Wed as another low pressure system approaches the FA.
MARINE
As of 320 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
-Small Craft Advisories are in effect for all of Bay and lower James River and Atlantic Ocean through Saturday morning- afternoon.
-Prevailing sub-advisory conditions return by Saturday afternoon/evening, and are expected to persist through at least Monday.
The front has pushed south into NC and behind it, winds have turned to the NE and are generally 15-20 kt with some gusts to 25 kt across all water northern waters. WInds have been preforming well and in line with the ARW and HRRR with decent CAA and water temps in the 60s to near 70F in many areas mixing the wind. Expect N-NNE winds to remain around 20kt (with frequent 25kt gusts) through much of the night. A few 30kt gusts are possible. The SCAs run through Sat AM- Sat aftn (ending across the nrn waters earliest/srn waters latest). Seas build to ~6ft across all ocean zones tonight, with 3-4ft waves on the bay. Winds quickly diminish to ~10kt by early Sat aftn as the pressure gradient relaxes as the low moves well offshore. Seas should quickly fall below 5ft by mid to late aftn.
A secondary front tracks across the coast later Saturday aftn/evening. The wind becomes SE 10-15kt ahead of the front and then shifts to NW late Saturday night/early Sunday. The current forecast is sub-SCA, although some guidance suggests low-end SCA conditions are possible over the Ches Bay. High pressure builds over the coast later Sunday into Monday. Another low pressure system and weak cold front impact the Mid-Atlantic coast in the Tuesday- Wednesday timeframe.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 320 PM EDT Friday...
-Key Messages:
-A Coastal Flood Statement has been added for the bay side of the MD Eastern Shore for the high tide late tonight/early tomorrow morning.
-Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued for almost all of the area bordering the Chesapeake Bay, Atlantic Ocean, and tidal rivers for tonight's high tide.
-Minor tidal flooding (inundation of ~1 foot above ground level in vulnerable areas) is expected during high tide tonight into early Saturday.
An increasing NE then N wind tonight into early Saturday along with elevated astronomical tides will bring a round of widespread minor tidal flooding across the area. Water levels are expected to crest a few tenths of a foot above minor flood thresholds in areas adjacent to the Ches Bay, Atlantic Ocean, and tidal rivers during tonight's high tide cycle. Levels at Oyster may crest right at the moderate flood threshold for that site. Coastal Flood Advisories still in effect for all areas except the bay side of the MD Eastern Shore. A Coastal Flood Statement has been added for the bay side of the MD Eastern Shore for the high tide late tonight due to expected near-minor flooding.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for MDZ024-025.
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ102.
VA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ099-100.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM to 7 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ075-077.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ076-078-085-521-522.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ084-086- 095-097-098-523.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ089-090- 093-096-524-525.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ630-631- 638.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ632-634- 650-652-654.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ656-658.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 811 PM EDT Fri May 10 2024
SYNOPSIS
An upper level trough will bring another round of showers and storms this afternoon into tonight. A chance for showers continues across mainly northern areas over the weekend. Dry and warmer weather to start next week before another round of showers and storms are possible Tuesday and Wednesday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 810 PM EDT Friday...
Low pressure was located off the NC coast this evening with an upper level trough slowly pivoting through the local area. With the loss of diurnal instability, thunderstorms have ended with scattered showers lingering across much of the area. Expect this activity to gradually taper off as it moves E over the next several hours. Temps as of 7:50 PM ranged from the low-mid 50s N to the lower 60s S.
Latest observations from the Space Prediction Center show that we are currently in a G5 geomagnetic storm (Kp 9). This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since October 2003! It is the strongest level of geomagnetic storm and (if clear skies allow)
this level of storm can actually be seen across VA/MD/NC and potentially farther S! Now for the bad news...given the upper level trough overhead, widespread cloud cover looks to stick around through the night across essentially the whole CWA The best chance for some partial clearing tonight is across far SW portions of the local area. The lowest chance for clearing is across central and eastern portions of the FA.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 230pm EDT Friday...
Much of Saturday into early afternoon should stay dry as a weak upper disturbance currently over the western Great Lakes approaches the area. Models are trending slightly slower with the precipitation, with the best chances for rain across the far NW starting late Sat afternoon, then spreading east during the evening. Best chances will be across the northern half of the forecast area due to the best energy staying well north of the region. The upper low and associated surface reflection will be slow to move out on Sunday, with wrap around showers possible across mainly eastern Virginia and the lower MD eastern shore.
Models are not terribly aggressive with precipitation on Sunday, so many places will likely be dry. Trough exits offshore by Sunday evening with dry weather expected Sunday night.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Friday...
Overall, the extended will be seasonable although there will be rain chances throughout the week. Monday will be the only day of the week with no chances for rain with ridging aloft and at the surface. Rain chances increase for Tuesday and especially on Wednesday as the closed low currently over the SW states moves east and impacts the region. Does not look like heavy rainfall as there will not be an opportunity to tap into Gulf of Mexico moisture, but most areas should see a quarter to a half an inch of rain. Weak ridging builds in on Thursday which may allow for a dry day.
Will hold onto 20 PoPs in case of an afternoon/evening shower or storm. Another better chance for rain on Friday as the consensus LREF suggest another southern stream wave moving into the area from the west.
Temperatures will be seasonable for this time of year. Due to the general zonal flow across the area, am not expecting significant day to day changes in the temps next week. Highs mostly in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 230 PM EDT Friday...
Low pressure over central Virginia will move east and offshore tonight. This will allow the lower clouds over northern VA and the MD eastern shore to move southward overnight. Will bring all sites to MVFR late this afternoon into this evening as the boundary moves southward. Showers may impact RIC, PHF and ORF late this afternoon into this evening, while thunderstorms are possible at or near ECG after 21z. VFR conditions expected on Saturday. North to northeast winds expected through the period (except initially westerly at ECG late this afternoon).
Outlook: Mainly dry/VFR most of Saturday, but another chance for showers Saturday night into Sunday. Dry conditions return Monday.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 755 PM EDT Friday...
Low pressure off the NC coast will move out to sea overnight while an upper level trough moves pivots through the area. As a result, scattered showers (and isolated storms in S portions of NE NC) will continue to be possible for the next few hours before gradually tapering off from W to E. Some hi-res CAMs show the potential for some light showers lingering near ORF/ECG late tonight into Sat morning, but confidence is too low to reflect in the tafs. BKN/OVC conditions this evening (MVFR CIGs inland and MVFR/IFR CIGs along the coast) gradually become SCT/BKN late tonight before improving Sat afternoon. ORF/PHF/ECG/SBY may bounce around between IFR/MVFR CIGs (800-1000 ft) over the next few hours before they improve to MVFR. CIGs improve to VFR by Sat afternoon. Winds remain generally N/NNE 5-10 kt tonight (10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt over the next few hours), becoming variable ~5-7 kt Sat. Another cold front brings the chance for scattered showers (and perhaps an isolated storm) late Sat afternoon into early Sat night.
Outlook: Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible Sun across NE portions of the FA (including SBY). Dry conditions return Monday. Unsettled weather returns Tue-Wed as another low pressure system approaches the FA.
MARINE
As of 320 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
-Small Craft Advisories are in effect for all of Bay and lower James River and Atlantic Ocean through Saturday morning- afternoon.
-Prevailing sub-advisory conditions return by Saturday afternoon/evening, and are expected to persist through at least Monday.
The front has pushed south into NC and behind it, winds have turned to the NE and are generally 15-20 kt with some gusts to 25 kt across all water northern waters. WInds have been preforming well and in line with the ARW and HRRR with decent CAA and water temps in the 60s to near 70F in many areas mixing the wind. Expect N-NNE winds to remain around 20kt (with frequent 25kt gusts) through much of the night. A few 30kt gusts are possible. The SCAs run through Sat AM- Sat aftn (ending across the nrn waters earliest/srn waters latest). Seas build to ~6ft across all ocean zones tonight, with 3-4ft waves on the bay. Winds quickly diminish to ~10kt by early Sat aftn as the pressure gradient relaxes as the low moves well offshore. Seas should quickly fall below 5ft by mid to late aftn.
A secondary front tracks across the coast later Saturday aftn/evening. The wind becomes SE 10-15kt ahead of the front and then shifts to NW late Saturday night/early Sunday. The current forecast is sub-SCA, although some guidance suggests low-end SCA conditions are possible over the Ches Bay. High pressure builds over the coast later Sunday into Monday. Another low pressure system and weak cold front impact the Mid-Atlantic coast in the Tuesday- Wednesday timeframe.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 320 PM EDT Friday...
-Key Messages:
-A Coastal Flood Statement has been added for the bay side of the MD Eastern Shore for the high tide late tonight/early tomorrow morning.
-Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued for almost all of the area bordering the Chesapeake Bay, Atlantic Ocean, and tidal rivers for tonight's high tide.
-Minor tidal flooding (inundation of ~1 foot above ground level in vulnerable areas) is expected during high tide tonight into early Saturday.
An increasing NE then N wind tonight into early Saturday along with elevated astronomical tides will bring a round of widespread minor tidal flooding across the area. Water levels are expected to crest a few tenths of a foot above minor flood thresholds in areas adjacent to the Ches Bay, Atlantic Ocean, and tidal rivers during tonight's high tide cycle. Levels at Oyster may crest right at the moderate flood threshold for that site. Coastal Flood Advisories still in effect for all areas except the bay side of the MD Eastern Shore. A Coastal Flood Statement has been added for the bay side of the MD Eastern Shore for the high tide late tonight due to expected near-minor flooding.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for MDZ024-025.
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ102.
VA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ099-100.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM to 7 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ075-077.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ076-078-085-521-522.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ084-086- 095-097-098-523.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ089-090- 093-096-524-525.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ630-631- 638.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ632-634- 650-652-654.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ656-658.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 | 19 mi | 42 min | NNE 20G | 57°F | 29.72 | |||
| 44056 - Duck FRF, NC | 21 mi | 34 min | 66°F | 5 ft | ||||
| 44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) | 28 mi | 60 min | 58°F | 64°F | 5 ft | |||
| 44086 | 40 mi | 34 min | 65°F | 5 ft | ||||
| MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA | 40 mi | 42 min | NE 6G | 56°F | 29.76 | |||
| ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC | 42 mi | 42 min | N 16G | 59°F | 29.72 | |||
| CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA | 48 mi | 42 min | NE 15G | 57°F | 29.76 | |||
| CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA | 49 mi | 42 min | NNE 19G | 54°F | 29.77 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KECG ELIZABETH CITY CG AIR STATION/RGNL,NC | 4 sm | 36 min | NNE 13 | 10 sm | Overcast | 57°F | 54°F | 88% | 29.74 | |
| KONX CURRITUCK COUNTY RGNL,NC | 13 sm | 20 min | NNE 10G18 | 10 sm | Overcast | 57°F | 54°F | 88% | 29.75 |
Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:00 AM EDT -0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:00 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:37 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 09:52 AM EDT 3.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:51 PM EDT -0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:16 PM EDT 4.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:19 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:00 AM EDT -0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:00 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:37 AM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 09:52 AM EDT 3.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:51 PM EDT -0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:59 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 10:16 PM EDT 4.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:19 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.9 |
| 1 am |
| 1.8 |
| 2 am |
| 0.8 |
| 3 am |
| 0 |
| 4 am |
| -0.2 |
| 5 am |
| 0 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 1.7 |
| 8 am |
| 2.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.2 |
| 10 am |
| 3.4 |
| 11 am |
| 3.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2 |
| 8 pm |
| 3 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 4.1 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina, Tide feet
Wakefield, VA,
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