Wednesday, September19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Camden, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 7:07PM Wednesday September 19, 2018 12:55 PM EDT (16:55 UTC) Moonrise 3:13PMMoonset 12:37AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 1223 Pm Edt Wed Sep 19 2018
This afternoon..N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..NE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..E winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Camden, NC
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location: 36.22, -76.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 191404
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1004 am edt Wed sep 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure builds into the area Wednesday through Friday. A
cold front approaches from the north on Saturday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1000 am edt Wednesday...

* NWS surveys have determined that there have been 6 confirmed
tornadoes from yesterday. See pnsakq for details.

Latest analysis indicates that the sfc cold front is now well
offshore of the region. Winds are mainly light out of the N nw
inland, with 10-15 kt winds near the coast. Sunny this morning
with temperatures rising through the 70s to around 80f, with
dewpoints still around 70f. Despite the frontal passage,
temperatures will be quick to rebound today (as a secondary
push of cooler air remains north of the cwa). Highs will range
from the mid-upper 80s, but with slightly less humidity than
what we experienced yesterday as dewpoints drop into the upper
60s by aftn. Some of the cam guidance (notably the 19 00z href
members) is forecasting a few isolated showers to develop this
afternoon early evening over the northwestern counties (on the
edge of that secondary push of cooler air). With no discernible
forcing mechanism or front nearby, opted to keep pops AOB 14%.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Friday
As of 400 am edt Wednesday...

dry weather is expected throughout the region from Wed night-fri.

Sfc high pressure centered over northeastern canada ridges into the
region Wed night-Thursday as the secondary push of cooler air
arrives. Expect lows in the 60s throughout the bulk of the region on
Thursday. Afternoon highs will range from the upper 70s to around 80
on the lower eastern shore, with low-mid 80s expected across the
rest of the CWA as a 500hpa anticyclone starts to build back
into the region. The ridge of sfc high pressure moves to the
south and east of the CWA by Friday as a strong area of sfc low
pressure moves into southeastern canada. This will allow winds
to turn back to the south. Forecast highs on Friday are in the
mid 80s in most areas (with lower 80s on the eastern shore).

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
As of 245 pm edt Monday...

models show a frontal boundary stalling across the mid atlantic
region late Sat Sunday with several waves of low pressure
moving east along it through the period. Will carry chc pops
each day, trying not to get too fine in timing any wave this
far out in time. The boundary will try to sag farther south
by Tuesday as high pressure moves across the nern states. Pops
a bit lower Tuesday.

Highs Sat in the low-mid 80s, mid 70s-mid 80s Sun mon, upr
70s-mid 80s tues. Lows in the 60s to near 70 se.

Aviation 14z Wednesday through Sunday
As of 630 am edt Wednesday...

mainly clear skies across the area this morning, with the exception
of some bkn clouds around 6-8k feet over NE nc. Winds are out of the
nw at the terminals at 5-10 kt. Expect mostly sunny and dry
conditions today, with just few-sct afternoon cu. Winds likely
remain AOB 12 kt for most of the day and will slowly turn to
the N NE by evening. Cannot rule out a few gusts to 15-20 kt
this afternoon (most likely near the coast).VFR conditions
likely prevail through most of the 12z TAF period, but there is
a chance of some MVFR stratus (mainly near the coast) after 06z
tonight as a secondary push of cooler air moves in (with onshore
flow). For now, left prevailingVFR conditions in the tafs with
just sct clouds tonight.

Outlook: high pressure settles in through the end of the week with
dry weather and mainlyVFR conditions.

Marine
As of 620 am edt Wednesday...

latest marine observations buoy reports reveal nnw flow across
the waters this morning. Surface analysis shows cool front now
well offshore of the DELMARVA and the coastal carolinas.

Offshore flow in the wake of the frontal passage have settled
down below sca, after a period of SCA winds earlier this
evening in the bay and lower james. Seas are in the process of
similarly diminishing, and average 2-3ft nearshore, ~4ft
farther offshore over northern waters.

Winds have increased slightly as expected early this morning
and should persist through late morning, due to tightening
pressure gradient W high pressure nudging in from the nw. High-
res models verifying a bit high this morning, so have kept winds
in the bay just below SCA thresholds, holding at 15 kt... Though
a few gusts to ~20 kt are possible. NW flow begins to subside
into the afternoon, as the high slides closer and gradient
begins to slacken slightly. We will have to watch the coastal
zones once again for SCA conditions tonight, with building seas
as flow turns ene flow overnight into Thursday. However, W sub-
sca winds and with nwps still running a bit higher than
wavewatch, will hold off for now. Any headline for seas over the
coastal zones would be short-lived, W high pressure building
over the region for Thu fri, then offshore Fri Fri night.

Expect quiet benign wx during this period with generally lighter
winds and seas ~3ft.

Next cool front crosses the waters Saturday, with winds becoming
wnw post-frontal later Sat into Sunday. There is potential for
a brief period of elevated winds in pre-frontal ssw flow early
sat in the bay lower james.

Hydrology
As of 620 am edt Wednesday...

river flood warnings continue for james river at richmond locks
and richmond westham... The appomattox river at mattoax and the
meherrin river at lawrenceville. Water levels will gradually
rise today before cresting and slowly falling late today tonight
through Friday. See flsakq for more site-specific details.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Eri
near term... Ajz eri lkb
short term... Eri
long term... Mpr
aviation... Eri
marine... Mam rhr
hydrology... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi50 min N 12 G 14 79°F 77°F1012.4 hPa
FRFN7 20 mi176 min 3 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi26 min 78°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 27 mi41 min 78°F3 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi38 min N 9.9 G 13 83°F 82°F1013 hPa
44086 40 mi31 min 79°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 42 mi50 min N 11 G 16 81°F 81°F1012.6 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 49 mi38 min NNW 15 G 18 77°F 1011.7 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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S17
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G25
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G28
S18
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G25
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G22
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G22
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G21
S13
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G20
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G19
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G22
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E15
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G17
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G17
SE15
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SE18
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S13
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SE16
G22
SE19
G23
S18
G24

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC5 mi62 minNNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds85°F72°F65%1012.7 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW15SW17
G23
SW10SW11SW11
G18
SW11W10W7W7W10NW8N14
G19
W6W9W7W8W10NW8NW7NW8NW7NW7NW8N8
1 day agoSE10S9S9
G19
S7S12
G21
S8S13
G19
S10S10S10S10S8S9S9S11S9S10S12S11S10S11S12
G20
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G22
2 days ago--E11E11E11E12E10E8E9E8E7E8SE10SE5SE6SE8SE9SE7SE8SE8SE8SE7SE9SE9
G18
S9
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.