Friday, September22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth City, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 7:02PM Friday September 22, 2017 2:14 AM EDT (06:14 UTC) Moonrise 8:07AMMoonset 7:44PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 130 Am Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
Rest of tonight..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S late. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..N winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth City, NC
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location: 36.25, -76.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 220546
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
146 am edt Fri sep 22 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will remain centered northwest of the area through the
weekend while tropical cyclone jose lingers off the new england
coast. Hurricane maria is expected to track between the bahamas
and bermuda early next week.

Near term until 8 am this morning
High pressure, centered over the central appalachians from
central WV to central pa, remains in control across the region
tonight. The sky is mainly clear except for some light cirrus
from TS jose that is moving across northern portions of the cwa.

So expect dry weather overnight with temperatures very close to
last nights readings, although expect readings to be a degree or
two higher as the atmosphere continues to warm a degree or two
each night.

Short term 8 am this morning through Sunday
High pressure will remain centered to the n-nw of the local area
through the weekend. Sky conditions will be no worse than partly
to mostly sunny. Continued warm and dry with highs generally in
the low mid 80s, except mid upr 70s at the beaches. Lows in the
60s.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
High pressure remains strong invof ERN great lakes and interior
ne CONUS late in the weekend into Mon before weakening
thereafter. Meanwhile... A much weakened remnant circulation (of
jose) slowly circulates sse of new england. Other than periodic
clouds... ESP at the coast by over the weekend-mon due to light
onshore flow... Expecting dry mainly warm. Lows Sun night mainly
in the m-u60s. Highs Mon in the u70s-around 80f at the
coast... M80s inland.

Wx conditions tue-wed remain dependent on track of tropical
cyclone maria. A track closer to the coast (than that of jose)
would bring increasing winds pops... Esp ERN portions of fa... More
to the E would result in drier-continued warm wx. For now... Generally
going W partly cloudy W low pops (e portions). Monitor forecasts
from NHC on maria through the weekend. Dry warm wx expected
thu.

Aviation 06z Friday through Tuesday
High pressure over the mid atlantic region will influence the
weather pattern withVFR conditions and mostly light wind. Patchy
fog may once again develop later this morning across typical
fog prone locations. Went ahead and added a tempo group for MVFR
fog at ecg after 09z, but confidence remains somewhat low. Any
patchy fog will quickly dissipate after sunrise. Higher clouds
work in from the NE during the day on Friday due to post-
tropical cyclone jose.

Outlook: generallyVFR dry conditions, with the exception of
patchy morning fog, are anticipated through early next week due
to the influence of high pressure over the reason.

Marine
Tropical storm jose located SE of CAPE cod early this afternoon
is forecast to slowly back to the wsw through Sunday. Meanwhile,
hurricane maria is located N of the dominican republic and is
forecast to track to the nnw through Sat and then nne through
mon Tue about equidistant from the carolina coast and bermuda.

Long period swell continues to propagate toward the coast with seas
generally 3-6ft. Some portions of the area will have seas fall
below 5 ft at times next couple days. However... The SCA for
hazardous seas will continue and will be extended to 22z Sat as
the ene swell continues. Swell arrives from maria most likely
beginning late in the weekend. Scas for seas will likely be
needed through sun. The bulk of the forecast guidance keeps
maria offshore during the early to middle portions of next week.

Monitor the NHC forecast for the official forecast track of
maria through the weekend. A further increase in seas is
expected mon-wed along with an increasing N wind tues-wed.

Tides coastal flooding
Tidal departures continue to fall today, with tidal departures
generally averaging less than 1.5 ft above normal tide. This has
allowed all of our sites to stay below flood stage during
today's high tide, with the exception of lewisetta, bishops head
and bayford, which may go one more high tide cycle late this
afternoon into this evening with minor flooding. As such, will
cancel expire all of the coastal flood advisories with the
exception of the central bay. Water levels should remain
elevated all all sites throught the weekend, but given that the
swell is not as large as what it has been, they should stay just
below flood after tomorrow. Will need to watch for additional
flooding next week, especially in the bay, as the swell from
maria moves into the area.

High risk for rip currents for all beaches adjacent to coastal
waters continues today and possibly tomorrow as swell nearshore
waves will be slow to subside.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 7 am edt this morning for
mdz021>023.

Nc... None.

Va... Coastal flood advisory until 6 am edt early this morning for
vaz075-077-078-084>086.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 6 pm edt
Saturday for anz650-652-654-656-658.

Synopsis... Ess jdm
near term... Jdm
short term... Ajb jdm
long term... Alb
aviation... Ajb
marine... Ajz alb
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 25 mi44 min ESE 5.1 G 6 73°F 75°F1017.1 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 27 mi74 min 76°F4 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 33 mi39 min 74°F5 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi44 min SSW 1.9 G 2.9 70°F 77°F1017.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 45 mi44 min SSW 5.1 G 7 72°F 1017.5 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 47 mi44 min ENE 4.1 G 6 72°F 78°F1017.3 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 48 mi44 min 76°F1017.6 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 48 mi44 min SSW 6 G 7 71°F

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC2 mi80 minN 010.00 miFair67°F66°F97%1017.7 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi79 minN 010.00 miFair68°F66°F95%1017.9 hPa
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC24 mi89 minN 010.00 miFair72°F67°F86%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3CalmW3W4CalmCalmNW6NW6N5N7N53N5E9E8E5E5E5E6E6E4SE3CalmCalm
1 day agoW7W7W8W6W7W8W9W10NW10NW12NW15
G20
NW12NW11NW9NW8NW5W3CalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalm
2 days agoN15N14NW16N14NW10NW12NW13NW12NW14NW13NW15
G22
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NW13NW13NW14
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NW8NW7W7W6W7W6W7

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:15 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:32 AM EDT     4.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:46 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:45 PM EDT     4.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.51.40.50.10.20.81.8344.54.54.13.22.11.10.50.30.71.42.33.33.943.7

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:20 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:37 AM EDT     4.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:49 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:51 PM EDT     3.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.41.40.50.10.20.71.52.63.54.14.13.83210.40.20.51.122.93.53.73.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.