Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth City, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 5:56PM Saturday February 24, 2018 5:00 AM EST (10:00 UTC) Moonrise 12:23PMMoonset 1:54AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 335 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
.dense fog advisory in effect until noon est today...
Today..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Areas of dense fog early this morning with vsby 1 nm or less.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely.
Mon night..NE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely in the evening.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth City, NC
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location: 36.25, -76.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 240925
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
425 am est Sat feb 24 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will slowly lift north through the local area
this morning as another front slowly drops into northern
portions of the area late in the day. High pressure prevails
off the southeast coast tonight and Sunday. A cold front
crosses the mid atlantic Sunday night and settles across north
carolina Monday.

Near term through tonight
A weak frontal bndry remains over the area this morning, and
with light winds and moist low- levels, fog is widespread across
the area. Greatest chance for vsbys AOB 1 4 mi will be over se
areas and the lwr eastern shore where dewpts are higher. The fog
should end over most areas by mid morning. Another frontal
bndry is expected to drop into northern portions of the fa late
in the day, and with some increase in WAA and deep moisture, -ra
is psbl over the NW half of the fa. Pops range from near 30% at
ric sby to 60% farthest NW areas. Temp forecast again tricky
today due to the widespread low CIGS expected early in the day
and uncertainty over how far north the clearing makes it. For
now will forecast highs near 60 over the lwr md eastern shore to
the mid upr 70s southern half of the fa. Remaining mild with
lows in the 50s to around 60. Best chances for light rain again
over northern areas.

Short term Sunday through Monday
A cold front approaches from the W Sunday morning. This front
should be slow to cross the area given the strength of the
ridge, so have opted for an evening frontal passage. Very warm
Sunday with high temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s, with
low mid 70s over the ERN shore, and locally mid upper 60s for
the md beaches. See the climate section for record highs. The
best upper level forcing lifts well N of the area, so pops at
this time are only 30-50% ahead of and along the front.

The cold front drops across the area Sunday night and settles
over nc Monday. A secondary low pressure tracks along the front
along with some mid-level energy and this could bring a period
of light rain, mainly across the SRN va and NE nc. Cooler behind
the front, but still above normal with lows Sunday night in the
50s and highs Monday in the upper 50s to lower 60s, but these
values could fall during the day.

Long term Monday night through Friday
The cold front pushes offshore with some lingering shwrs along
the SE coast Mon eve. Pt cldy cooler. Lows in the mid 30s to mid
40s.

High pressure over the area Tue shifts offshore Tue nite and
wed. Dry thru 18z Wed with isltd shwrs psbl across the piedmont
wed aftrn as moisture returns from the sw. Highs Tue mid 50s-lwr
60s. Lows Tue nite 40-45. Highs Wed upr 50s-mid 60s.

Low pressure moves NE into the gt lakes region mid week with
the advancing warm front lifting north across the region wed
nite and trailing cold front thurs. Models show a decent
moisture feed into the systm from the SW so will carry likely
pops (shwrs) for both periods. Kept thunder out of forecast as
that will depend on the actual timing of the cold frontal
passage. Lows Wed nite mid 40s-lwr 50s. Highs Thu upr 50s-
upr60s. Chc pops Thu nite as upr level systm is slow to track
across the NRN mid atlantic region. Lows in the 40s.

Cyclonic flow Fri will usher in a drier cooler airmass but
shwrs linger across the ERN shore as the upr level systm slowly
pulls offshore. Highs in the 50s to near 60 se.

Aviation 10z Saturday through Wednesday
A warm front will remain over the region early this morning.

Widespread ifr to lifr ceilings have developed along and north
of the boundary. Expect for the low stratus to persist through
through the morning hours, gradually improving from south to
north as the front lifts through the region. Ceilings are
generally expected to improve toVFR by this afternoon, but ifr
ceilings may linger across the north (including sby) for much
of the day. Visibilities have also fallen off at many of the
sites near the coast, and the patchy fog will likely spread
further inland. Expect visibilities in the 1 to 3 nm range at
all TAF sites with periods of lower visibilities, especially
near the coast. Visibilities are expected to gradually improve
later this morning. The warm front eventually lifts north of
the region by tonight early Sunday. Generally light and
variable winds overnight, becoming southwest later this
morning.

Outlook: a cold front crosses the region Sunday night into Monday
bringing the potential for ceiling and visibility restrictions along
with periods of light rain. High pressure settles over the area
Tuesday and slides offshore Wednesday.

Marine
Light S winds early this morning, with warm moist air over the
colder waters continuing to lead to areas of dense fog.

Maintaining dense fog advisory and have added remaining upper
james york rappahannock rivers through 10 am for all zones (this
may need to be extended in time across the north where fog is
expected to be slower to dissipate).

Otherwise, offshore high and ssw winds dominate today into
tonight, though with another backdoor cold front sagging south
into the northern waters late this aftn into tonight (winds
will shift to the E in these areas). Front lifts back n
overnight Sun morning with a breezy SW flow on Sunday. Expect
the warm airmass over cold water inversion to keep mixing
limited, but still may see some gusts to around 20 kt during the
day over much of the area. Marginal SCA headlines may be issued
as needed. The next cold front crosses the waters Sun night
with a wind shift back to the n-ne for mon. No real CAA surges
noted behind the front, so kept winds seas below SCA levels, but
will probably have a few hrs worth of elevated winds early
Monday behind the front, and again Mon night early Tue as sfc
high pressure builds into the area from the wnw.

Climate
Very warm temperatures will return today and especially Sunday,
record highs are listed for today Sat 2 24. For Sun 2 25, both
record highs and record high mins are listed:
* record highs... ... ..Record highs rec high mins
* site: Sat 2 24... ... Sun 2 25
* ric: 82 (1985)... ..83 (1930)... 54 (1930)
* orf: 82 (2012)... ..81 (2017)... 59 (1930)
* sby: 77 (2012)... ..80 (1930)... 52 (1930)
* ecg: 79 (1985)... ..78 (2017)... 54 (1985)

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Dense fog advisory until 10 am est this morning for anz630>638-
650-652-654-656-658.

Synopsis... Mas
near term... Mas
short term... Ajz mas
long term... Ajb mpr
aviation... Ajb mas
marine... Lkb
climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 25 mi43 min WSW 8.9 G 9.9 57°F 46°F1023.5 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 27 mi61 min 46°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 33 mi76 min 46°F4 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi43 min SW 5.1 G 8 60°F 50°F1023 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 45 mi43 min SSW 6 G 8 58°F 1022.8 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 47 mi49 min S 7 G 8 54°F 55°F1023.9 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 48 mi43 min 48°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 48 mi43 min SSW 6 G 9.9 57°F

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC2 mi67 minSW 80.50 miFog60°F60°F100%1023.9 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi61 minSW 60.50 miFog54°F53°F99%1024 hPa
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC24 mi66 minSSW 57.00 miOvercast63°F62°F100%1024.4 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9N8N8N9N6N6NW5N4N5N5CalmW4NE3E3SE9SE7SE6S4CalmS5S6S6S7SW8
1 day agoSW5S5S7SW6S8S8SW10SW10SW12
G20
SW8W8SW8SW10SW3S3CalmCalmNE16
G24
NE12N8N10N11N9N10
2 days agoS6S6S6SW7SW7SW8SW10SW13SW13
G20
SW12SW11SW12SW7S4S5S9S8S10S9S8S8SW6S4S5

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:34 AM EST     3.86 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:52 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:40 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:04 AM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:21 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:00 PM EST     3.03 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:07 PM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.33.83.83.52.821.20.50.20.40.81.52.22.832.82.41.70.90.1-0.2-00.51.4

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:33 AM EST     3.52 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:51 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:10 AM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:21 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:00 PM EST     2.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:11 PM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
33.43.53.22.61.91.10.50.20.30.71.322.52.72.62.21.60.90.2-0.10.10.51.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.