Sunday, December17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth City, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 4:53PM Sunday December 17, 2017 1:21 AM EST (06:21 UTC) Moonrise 6:22AMMoonset 4:45PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 1250 Am Est Sun Dec 17 2017
Rest of tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..NE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain in the evening.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 1250 Am Est Sun Dec 17 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure will be over the southeast states tonight, then moves off the carolina coast Sunday and Monday. The local area remains in between weak low pressure to the south, and strong low pressure over canada on Tuesday. A cold front crosses the region Tuesday night into Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth City, NC
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location: 36.25, -76.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 170607
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
107 am est Sun dec 17 2017

Synopsis
High pressure along the carolina coast weakens while sliding
offshore this afternoon. The local area remains in between weak
low pressure along the gulf coast and strong low pressure over
canada Monday and Tuesday. A cold front pushes through the region
Tuesday night then stalls over the carolinas on Wednesday. Low
pressure moves along the front and pushes off the southeast
coast Wednesday night into Thursday.

Near term through today
Latest analysis indicating ~1027 mb sfc high pressure centered
along the SE coast from ga to eastern nc. Aloft, a trough is
moving NE through the southern central plains, allowing ridging
to amplify a bit across the tn oh valley. Over the local area,
skies are mainly clear with either light S winds or calm
conditions in some areas. Decent radiational cooling prevails
overall and temperatures range primarily from the the upper 20s
to lower- mid 30s. Expect overnight lows are expected to drop
off just a few more degrees to the mid upper 20s across much of
the rural interior, with low 30s for coastal SE va NE nc and
urban areas of the interior.

High pressure gradually weakens slides offshore later today as
a weak trough pushes across the great lakes. Some upper level
southern stream moisture (basically the remains of the
aforementioned plains trough) will arrive ahead of this wave,
which will result in increasing mid high clouds late this
morning through the aftn and evening. The clouds will gradually
thicken to ovc CIGS of 6-10 k ft by late aftn or early evening.

Expect light southerly flow today but with fairly shallow
mixing. Temperatures will rise rapidly this morning into the
upper 40s lower 50s most areas by late morning, then steady off
as the clouds filter in. Highs look to range from around 50f nw
to the mid 50s se.

Short term tonight through Tuesday
Decreasing clouds Sunday night with lows ranging from the
mid upper 30s N to the low 40s se. High pressure remains
offshore Monday as the flow aloft remains zonal. Mostly sunny
early Monday and then becoming partly sunny as a dampening srn
stream wave pushes into the tennessee valley by the aftn. Mild
Monday with highs generally 55-60f.

The 16 12z model consensus keeps this system suppressed well s
of the local area Monday night and it quickly moves offshore
Tuesday as a NRN stream wave dives across the great lakes.

Meanwhile, surface high pressure is forecast to be centered off
the southeast coast. Partly cloudy Monday night and Tuesday with
the airmass continuing to warm. Forecast lows Monday night
range from the upper 30s N to mid 40s se. Quite warm Tuesday
with highs in the 60s, and even potentially close to 70f if
enough Sun prevails.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
The extended period will begin Tuesday night Wednesday with
progressive split zonal flow continuing to prevail over the
central and ERN conus. A NRN stream wave passes across new
england Tuesday night, which will push a cold front through the
mid- atlantic. Meanwhile, a SRN stream wave will track across
the tennessee valley Wednesday and off the carolina coast
Wednesday night. 16 12z ECMWF gfs cmc demonstrate decent
agreement with this system. However, the best forcing is progged
to be S of the local area, so pops for rain are only 20-30%
across far SRN va and 30-40% for NE nc. Cooler behind the front
Wednesday with highs generally 50-55f (upper 40s far ne), after
morning lows in the upper 30s N to mid 40s se. Drier air pushes
in from the NW late Wednesday night into Thursday with lows
Wednesday night ranging from the low 30s N to upper 30s s,
followed by highs Thursday in the upper 40s N to low 50s s. The
large scale trend by Friday Saturday is for a trough over the
great lakes and a ridge off the southeast coast. However, model
agreement is lacking on the details, specifically with respect
to the location of the cold front between these two features.

Pops are trended toward or slightly above climo for the very end
of the forecast period, with temperatures generally remaining
above normal.

Aviation 06z Sunday through Thursday
MainlyVFR conditions are expected through the 06z TAF period,
though some patchy ground fog will be possible at ksby early
this morning and included MVFR vsbys there. High pressure
slides offshore later today, allowing for increasing mid high
clouds that will gradually lower a bit thicken late this aftn
this evening. CIGS will remainVFR however and only lower to
6-9k ft this evening. Skies clear out later tonight Mon morning.

Outlook: high pressure remains near the southeast coast Monday
through Tuesday withVFR conditions prevailing along with
occasional mid to high level clouds. Low pressure passes S of
the region late Wednesday with high pressure building north of
the region Thursday. Could see some flight restrictions across
southern va nc Wed aftn into Thu morning.

Marine
No headlines in the short term tonight thru mon. High pressure
will be over the SE states tonight, then moves off the coast for
sun into mon. Expect winds mainly SW or W thru Mon with speeds
15 kt or less. A cold front will cross the waters Tue night into
early Wed morning, with winds shifting to the NW at least 10-15
kt. High pressure will be to the north and low pressure will
track south of the area and off the coast Wed aftn thru thu.

North then NE winds 5-15 kt.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Lkb
short term... Ajz lkb
long term... Ajz
aviation... Ajb lkb
marine... Tmg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 25 mi52 min WSW 8 G 8 42°F 52°F1024.4 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 27 mi52 min 54°F1 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 33 mi37 min 54°F2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi58 min WSW 4.1 G 6 38°F 47°F1024.3 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 45 mi52 min SW 4.1 G 7 39°F 1024.1 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 47 mi58 min SW 7 G 9.9 43°F 46°F1025 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 48 mi52 min 45°F1024.1 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 48 mi52 min SW 8.9 G 12 40°F

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC2 mi28 minSSW 410.00 miFair34°F30°F85%1024.9 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi22 minSSW 310.00 miFair32°F28°F87%1025.1 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W6CalmW3W4W3NW4NW5W4W4NW3W4SW6SW7SW5SW5S5S6SW5SW5SW5SW6SW4SW4
1 day agoN6N7N6N6N6N8N6N5NW3E7SE11SE9SW15
G22
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W12NW10W9W7W6W4W5
2 days agoS15SW14
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NW9NW3NE11NE10NE9N10NE8N10N6N8N8

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:09 AM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:21 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:38 AM EST     4.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:04 PM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:44 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:52 PM EST     3.10 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
00.20.71.62.63.544.13.731.910.30.10.20.81.62.433.12.92.41.50.7

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:16 AM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:41 AM EST     3.81 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:10 PM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:44 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:55 PM EST     2.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.20.61.42.43.23.73.83.52.81.910.30.10.20.71.42.22.72.92.72.21.50.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.