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Marine Weather and Tides Aulander, NC Version 3.4

What's New / NOTES 6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported. 5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive. 5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

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Sunrise 6:13AM

Sunset 8:20PM

Friday July 28, 2017 9:08 AM EDT (13:08 UTC)

Moonrise 10:41AM

Moonset 10:47PM

Illumination 24%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts

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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 710 Am Edt Fri Jul 28 2017 Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms this morning, then a chance of showers and tstms this afternoon. Tonight..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely. Sat..W winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely. Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. Sun..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Sun night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the evening. Mon..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aulander, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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Fxus61 kakq 281115 afdakq area forecast discussion national weather service wakefield va 715 am edt Fri jul 28 2017 Synopsis Low pressure affects the region today through Saturday... With a cold front slowly pushing across the region tonight into Saturday morning. The front pushes southeast of the area by Sunday with an upper low sitting overhead through at least Monday night. Near term through tonight Lee trough tightens and develops into a meso-low late in the day as a cold front drops down from the nnw. Ongoing convection early this morning should primarily move offshore shortly after sunrise with pockets of showers lingering through mid morning. After which, daytime heating within the warm sector ahead of the front will destabilize the atmosphere and allow more storms to develop this aftn; initially where shortwave energy interacts with the lee trough and then as conditions become more unstable. Meanwhile, an open trough over the upper great lakes will dig into the ohio valley today and help to slowly push the cold front across the area from late this aftn through tonight. Widespread thunderstorms should be anticipated tonight. Slow movement of the front, weak sfc-upper level winds, small mbe vectors, and pwats increasing from roughly 1.50 inches to around 2.00 inches (or 150-175 percent of normal) by this evening, all indicate that heavy rainfall will impact the region. Additionally as the upper low interacts with the sfc meso-low, a deformation zone will develop and enhance rainfall rates in an already moisture- laden atmosphere... Primarily across the maryland lower eastern shore, northern neck, middle peninsula, and accomack county in va. Have really ramped up 6hr QPF amounts in these areas (00z model guidance in better agreement) and expanded the flash flood watch to include the aforementioned va areas. While there is still some uncertainty about how far south the deformation axis will set up, the general trend keeps the best area for enhancement across the north. Storm total qpf amounts from today through 18z Sat range from 2.00 to almost 3.50 inches within flash flood watch area. Convective processes will be capable of pushing these amounts higher locally under stronger, slow-moving storm cores. SPC now has the mid atlantic region within a marginal risk for severe storms today tonight. As such, any thunderstorms that develop in this timeframe will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall, locally strong wind gusts, frequent lightning, and localized flooding. Short term Saturday through Sunday night The cold front is expected to stall over far SE va NE nc on Saturday before shifting southeast of the area late Saturday night. Overall, sfc high pressure builds across the midwest as the upper low opening trough sits over the mid atlantic coast through at least Monday night before shifting ewd and away from the coast. Showers storms will be focused along the coast with more widely scattered storms possible farther inland due to elevated lift present with the upper low. Precip chances expected to wane late Saturday night into Sunday as the front gets shunted farther se. Once again, primary threats from any thunderstorms Sat sat night will be moderate to heavy rainfall, locally strong wind gusts, and frequent lightning. Widespread precipitation, cloud cover, and cooler canadian air with the upper trough will keep temperatures 5-10 degrees below normal Saturday. Highs Sat in the mid-upper 70s NW to lower 80s se. Low temperatures cool off nicely with lows each night in the lower 60s NW to mid-upper 60s se. Long term Monday through Thursday Low confidence forecast early next week as the models continue to offer up different solutions on just how slow and far off the coast the cut off low tracks. Rather breezy over eastern sections with continued marine issues early next week. Otw, high pressure over the mts keeps the rest of the fa dry. Highs Mon in the upr 70s- lwr 80s except mid 70s at the beaches. Lows in the 60s to near 70 sern beach areas. High pressure builds across the region for the mid week period. Highs Tue in the mid-upr 80s except upr 70s at the beaches. Lows in the mid 60s-lwr 70s. Highs Wed Thu 85-90. Moisture returns from the west Thu afternoon. Added slight chc diurnal pops to the piedmont.

Aviation 11z Friday through Tuesday A lee trough tightens and develops into a meso-low late in the day as a cold front drops down from the nnw. Ongoing convection early this morning should primarily move offshore shortly after sunrise with pockets of showers lingering through mid morning. After which, scattered storms will develop this aftn and become more widespread tonight as the cold front slowly tracks across the area. Storm movement will be slow, therefore the main impacts to airfield operations today will be very heavy rainfall, locally strong wind gusts, frequent lightning, localized flooding (best potential at ksby), and ifr CIGS vis (brief periods of lifr possible under stronger storm cores). The cold front is expected to stall over far SE va NE nc on Saturday before shifting southeast of the area late Saturday night. Overall, sfc high pressure builds across the midwest as an upper low sits over the mid atlantic coast through at least Monday night before shifting ewd and away from the coast. Showers storms will be focused along the coast with more widely scattered storms possible farther inland due to elevated lift present with the upper low. Precip chances expected to wane late Saturday night into Sunday as the front gets shunted farther se. Once again, primary threats from any thunderstorms Sat sat night will be moderate to heavy rainfall, locally strong wind gusts, and frequent lightning. With rainfall intensity waning, any brief cig vis reductions will likely be MVFR. Marine Relatively quiet in the near term for the marine area, some enhancement of the winds with showers tstms with brief gusts to 20-25 kt, but outside of any convection winds are mainly 15 kt or less. Similar conditions through today into this evening with S SW winds mainly 10-15 kt outside of convection, slowly shifting to the W NW late tonight early sat. Seas avg 2-4 ft and bay waves up to 2 ft. The main story continues to be a strong cold frontal passage sat Sat night (by mid summer standards). Latest nam GFS ecwmf gem have now trended much closer with respect to timing and the overall position of the primary features, lending to increasing confidence in the marine forecast. At least SCA headlines will be needed, but given that it will be a late 3rd 4th period (and beyond) event, its too early to issue any SCA headlines with the morning package. Did issue a gale watch for coastal waters N of cape charles for late Sat sat night given an area of 850 mb u-anomaly (easterly) winds of 4 std dev from nj to the delmarva. If it does occur this would be of the marginal gale variety (i.E. Sustained winds 25-30 kt with gusts to 35 kt). In any event, a decent surged noted to develop by Sat aftn from N to s across the waters as sfc low deepens along just off the delmarva coast, followed by strong caa, especially Sat night. Seas build to 7-10 ft for coastal waters by Sat night sun, with 4-5 ft waves for the bay. Conditions slowly improve Sun night Monday, but ongoing sca's will persist due to lingering NE swell will likely result in marine issues through at least late Mon or tue. Tides coastal flooding Water levels have slowly diminished with no additional statements needed. However, at least minor flooding may be possible Sunday Mon along the coast and in the lower bay with the strong N NE flow behind the departing sfc low and associated cold front. Akq watches warnings advisories Md... Flash flood watch from 2 pm edt this afternoon through Saturday afternoon for mdz021>025. Nc... None. Va... Flash flood watch from 2 pm edt this afternoon through Saturday afternoon for vaz064-075>078-084>086-099-517>522. Marine... Gale watch from Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night for anz650-652-654. Synopsis... Bmd near term... Bmd short term... Bmd long term... Mpr aviation... Bmd marine... Lkb tides coastal flooding... Akq

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	54 mi	50 min	S 6 G 8	75°F	82°F		1011 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA	57 mi	50 min	SSW 8 G 11	76°F			1010.8 hPa

Wind History for Money Point, VA

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Ahoskie, Tri-County Airport, NC	4 mi	78 min	N 0	0.75 mi	Heavy Rain	71°F	70°F	98%	1011.8 hPa

Wind History from ASJ (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Nansemond River, Virginia

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Suffolk Click for Map Fri -- 03:02 AM EDT     4.13 feet High Tide Fri -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise Fri -- 09:10 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide Fri -- 11:39 AM EDT     Moonrise Fri -- 03:33 PM EDT     4.17 feet High Tide Fri -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset Fri -- 09:39 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide Fri -- 11:45 PM EDT     Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

12am	1am	2am	3am	4am	5am	6am	7am	8am	9am	10am	11am	12pm	1pm	2pm	3pm	4pm	5pm	6pm	7pm	8pm	9pm	10pm	11pm
2.3	3.2	3.9	4.1	3.9	3.2	2.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.9	1.8	2.8	3.6	4.1	4.1	3.7	2.9	1.9	1	0.5	0.4	0.8

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Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Virginia

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Suffolk Click for Map Fri -- 03:02 AM EDT     4.12 feet High Tide Fri -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise Fri -- 09:11 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide Fri -- 11:39 AM EDT     Moonrise Fri -- 03:34 PM EDT     4.18 feet High Tide Fri -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset Fri -- 09:43 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide Fri -- 11:45 PM EDT     Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

12am	1am	2am	3am	4am	5am	6am	7am	8am	9am	10am	11am	12pm	1pm	2pm	3pm	4pm	5pm	6pm	7pm	8pm	9pm	10pm	11pm
2.2	3.2	3.9	4.1	3.9	3.2	2.2	1.2	0.3	-0	0.1	0.8	1.7	2.7	3.6	4.1	4.1	3.7	2.9	1.9	1	0.4	0.3	0.7

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Weather Map and Satellite Images

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Weather Map

IR Satellite Image from GEOS GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (9,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.