Saturday, June23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Coinjock, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:27PM Saturday June 23, 2018 5:13 PM EDT (21:13 UTC) Moonrise 3:19PMMoonset 1:54AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 409 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
.severe Thunderstorm watch 205 in effect until 8 pm edt this evening...
Through 7 pm..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. Showers and tstms likely.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. Showers and tstms likely early in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms late in the evening.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..NE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 409 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weakening front over the appalachians moves over the area tonight and disipates. Meanwhile, a stronger cold front will pass through the waters Sunday night. High pressure builds across the waters early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coinjock, NC
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location: 36.34, -75.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 232025
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
425 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018

Synopsis
A trough will pass across the region tonight. A cold front will
approach from the northwest late Sunday, then drop across the
area Sunday evening into Monday morning. High pressure will
build in from the north Monday afternoon into Tuesday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
As of 400 pm edt Saturday...

a shortwave trough is tracking across the region this aftn,
with scattered showers tstms developing along a surface trough.

Effective shear is 40-50kt, with MLCAPE ranging from 1500-
2500j kg. Mid-level lapse rates are marginal. However, there is
a severe threat based on the shear and instability with a severe
tstm watch in effect through 8 pm for ERN va and NE nc. The
main threats are hail and damaging wind gusts. Convection should
diminish this evening. However, there is a lingering potential
for showers overnight as another subtle shortwave trough tracks
across the region. Warm and humid tonight with lows in the 70s.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Tuesday
As of 400 pm edt Saturday...

very warm and still rather humid on Sunday, as winds will be
more wsw in advance of an actual cold front approaching fm the
nw. Partly to mostly sunny with highs generally 90-95f.

Dewpoints should remain in the mid 70s during peak heating for
ne nc adjacent to the albemarle sound and this will result in
heat indices of 105-108f and a heat advisory has been issued. It
could be close in far SE va as well, so the heat advisory may
need to be expanded. Isolated to scattered showers tstms
(20-30%) are possible later Sunday aftn evening, with a
lingering chc of showers into Monday morning. Lows Sunday night
will range from the upper 60s to mid 70s. Monday will be dry for
most of the area and slightly less humid, as high pressure
starts to build in from the north. Iso-sct (20-30%) sea-breeze
convection is possible in NE ne. Highs will mainly be in the mid
to upper 80s.

High pressure is forecast to build into the region Monday night
into Tuesday resulting in pleasant and dry conditions. Lows
Monday night range through the 60s to around 70f far se,
followed by highs Tuesday in the low mid 80s.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 415 pm edt Saturday...

the big story in the extended will be the warming trend as a
strong and anomalous ridge centers itself over the NE states
through the end of next week. After temperatures close to normal
on Wednesday and Thursday with an upper trough moving through,
expect temps to rise into the middle 90s Friday and Saturday in
response to the 595+ dm high centered over new england. Other
than the chance of showers and storms Wed night into Thursday
with the frontal passage, expect mainly diurnally driven
afternoon evening pop up thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. Will
need to maintain chance pops each day Fri Sat to account for
these storms, but it certainly does not look like widespread
rainfall these days.

Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
As of 220 pm edt Saturday...

sct showers tstms are developing as of 18z in vicinity of a
trough over the piedmont. Otherwise, sct-bkn CU with bases
~3-5kft and a SW wind of 8-12kt. Any showers tstms will be
capable of producing brief ifr conditions in heavy rain along
with strong wind gusts. Showers tstms should dissipate this
evening, with a slight chc of showers lingering overnight. Wsw
flow prevails Sunday, with sct CU and a 20-30% chc of
aftn evening tstms.

A cold front finally drops through the region Monday. Mainly dry
with a northerly wind. However, there is a slight chc of aftn
sea-breeze showers tstms at ecg. High pressure and drier air
prevail Monday night into Tuesday. High pressure moves offshore
by Wednesday and Thursday with a chc of aftn evening
showers tstms by Thursday.

Marine
As of 415 pm edt Saturday...

have opted to drop the SCA for the northern coastal waters.

Latest guidance and current observations suggest the seas will
stay at or below 4 ft tonight into Sunday. Otherwise, south
winds tonight of 10-20kt will shift to the SW and weaken late
tonight into Sunday. A cold front moves through Sunday night
allowing winds to shift to the north. May see wind gusts to 15
to 20 kt behind the front, especially Monday night as the high
builds in. The high shifts offshore by Wednesday which will
allow winds to turn southerly.

Hydrology
The river flood warning for the rivanna at palmyra has been
cancelled as the water level has dropped below flood stage. A
flood warning is also in effect for the north anna and upper
pamunkey rivers due to the combination of heavy rainfall and
increased dam releases at lake anna. The increased dam releases
have been terminated, but it will still take some time for the
water to flow through the basin. Therefore, the warning has been
extended at least through this evening.

Tides coastal flooding
Another round of minor coastal flooding near bishops head with
this evenings high tide, and coastal flood advisory has been
issued. After tonight, it does not look like additional coastal
flooding is expected.

A moderate rip current risk continues along the eastern shore
beaches with low risk at va beach and the northern ob.

Climate
Ric ended up with 7.61 inches of rain Friday. See rerric for details.

This is the second all time daily rainfall record at ric. The all-
time daily rainfall record at ric is 8.79 inches set on august 12,
1955 associated with hurricane connie.

In addition, orf set a new daily rainfall record of 2.28 inches Friday.

See rerorf for details.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory from 9 pm this evening to 4 am edt
Sunday for mdz021>023.

Nc... Heat advisory from 11 am to 8 pm edt Sunday for ncz015>017-031-
032-102.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajz tmg
near term... Ajz
short term... Ajz tmg
long term... Mrd
aviation... Ajz
marine... Mrd
hydrology...

tides coastal flooding...

climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 15 mi44 min SW 8.9 G 12 88°F 73°F1009.4 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 16 mi44 min 77°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 20 mi29 min 80°F4 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 36 mi44 min WSW 8 G 12 81°F 83°F1009 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 41 mi44 min S 8.9 G 12 86°F 1007.2 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 42 mi44 min 79°F3 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 43 mi44 min WSW 12 G 15 89°F 1008.7 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 43 mi50 min S 20 G 23 85°F 85°F1010.1 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 46 mi44 min 81°F1008.7 hPa
44064 46 mi34 min SW 14 G 18 86°F 1008.3 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 48 mi44 min WSW 16 G 18 85°F 1007.9 hPa
CHBV2 48 mi50 min SW 9.9 G 18 88°F 1007.8 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC5 mi39 minno data10.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F75°F71%1010.2 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC13 mi20 minS 610.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity82°F77°F85%1009.5 hPa

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:33 AM EDT     3.12 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:37 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:12 PM EDT     4.05 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:39 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.71.32.12.83.13.12.82.21.30.60.20.10.51.22.23.13.843.93.42.51.60.80.4

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:42 AM EDT     2.85 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:40 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:17 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:21 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:44 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.61.21.92.52.82.82.621.30.60.20.10.411.92.83.43.73.63.22.41.50.80.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.