Wednesday, June19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Viola, AR

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 8:25PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 11:42 AM CDT (16:42 UTC) Moonrise 9:36PMMoonset 6:49AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Viola, AR
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location: 36.34, -92     debug


Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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Fxus64 klzk 191152
afdlzk
area forecast discussion
national weather service little rock ar
652 am cdt Wed jun 19 2019

Aviation 19 12z TAF cycle
ongoing convection ovr WRN ar wl cont to weaken this mrng, with
tempo groups included for some MVFR conds. Otherwise,VFR conds
wl prevail thru much of today. Another round of storms is fcst to
develop late today ovr w-cntrl ar, eventually affecting cntrl srn
parts of the fa tngt. Opted to go with prob30 groups aft 20 00z as
timing and areal coverage of convection still not certain. 44

Prev discussion (issued 412 am cdt Wed jun 19 2019)
short term... Today through Thursday night
sctd convection was noted earlier acre N ar, but has since
dissipated. Meanwhile, cont to monitor MCS apchg WRN ar early this
mrng. Convection acrs ERN ok conts to show a gradual weakening trend.

Hi-res model data has also been consistent in showing this as well.

Otherwise, benign wx conds noted acrs the fa this mrng.

The ongoing MCS to our west is cont to weaken thru the mrng hrs as
the remnants work further into ar. However, the hi-res model data
cont to offer varying solutions regarding convective trends later
today and tngt, resulting in a less than stellar confidence lvl with
this fcst.

With the expected weakening trend of the apchg convection later this
mrng, have trended pops downward acrs the fa durg the late mrng into
the early aftn hours. Opted to lower high temps today a few degrees
fm current fcst, as plenty of higher lvl clouds are expected to
limit aftn heating somewhat.

Heading into late aftn, another round of storms is fcst to form,
primarily in the vcnty of any leftover bndrys fm the mrng storms.

The south half of the fa still appears to be the focus for later
development, where greater instability wl be maximized. Damaging
wind gusts and large hail looks to the primary concerns.

Rain chances wl gradually diminish over the fa later tngt and Thu as
the aforementioned upr trof shifts E of ar, and a weak cdfnt drops
into ar fm the n.

Long term... .Friday through Tuesday
not too many changes are needed to the current long term forecast as
the models remain in decent agreement in the synoptic scale. Per
usual, the models are having some timing and intensity issues with
the smaller scale and a blend of models will continue to be used.

Pattern will definitely be turning more summer like during the first
part of the period as upper level ridging starts to build over the
southeast united states and becomes the dominant weather feature.

The ridge axis is looking to set up just to the east of the area in
the central gulf with southerly flow getting pretty much locked in.

This will keep very warm and humid conditions over the area with
afternoon heat indices very close to the century mark. Pattern is
not conducive to producing widespread precipitation but isolated to
widely scattered convection can not be discounted during peak
heating.

Rain chances ramp up Saturday night and into Sunday morning as the
models continue to hint at a complex of thunderstorms trying to get
organized. Specific details with this complex continue to change but
its evolution will be watched.

Overall pattern starts to become more active Sunday night when the
next trough moves out of the rockies and into the central plains.

Thunderstorms return Sunday night through the remainder of the
period. Model differences preclude introducing pops greater than the
chance category.

Lzk watches warnings advisories None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Baxter County Airport, AR25 mi49 minVar 310.00 miFair75°F68°F79%1006.5 hPa

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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE6SW3S4S5CalmCalmS4CalmCalm3
1 day agoCalmCalm3SW5N5--E5E3CalmCalmS3SE4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3Calm4
2 days agoCalmCalmSW45SW534CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmSW4SW6S4SW4CalmSW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Little Rock, AR (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Springfield, MO
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.