Wednesday, October18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mountain Home, AR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:23AMSunset 6:32PM Wednesday October 18, 2017 11:52 AM CDT (16:52 UTC) Moonrise 5:03AMMoonset 5:16PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mountain Home, AR
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location: 36.34, -92.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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Fxus64 klzk 181126 aaa
afdlzk
area forecast discussion... Update
national weather service little rock ar
630 am cdt Wed oct 18 2017

Aviation
MostlyVFR flight conditions will be seen over the next 24 hours.

Patchy fog may form early this morning near bodies of water, but
will dissipate after sunrise. Winds will be light and variable to
light southeast to start, then become southeast at 5 to 10 mph
except some gusts over northwest ar to 15 to near 20 mph. Winds will
lower again after sunset Wednesday. (59)

Prev discussion issued 313 am cdt Wed oct 18 2017
main concerns in this forecast cycle are low in the short term,
with a dry forecast and warming trend. Fire weather concerns
continue with continued overall dry weather for several weeks and
low amounts of rain. The ar forestry commission has a moderate to
high wildfire danger over ar with several burn bans in counties. Some
chance of rain will be in the forecast over the weekend to early
next week with a possible weather system affecting the region.

Currently, surface high pressure is the main feature over the
region, while aloft some upper high pressure ridge was also near
the region. This has kept the dry weather conditions, with cooler
than normal weather. Skies were clear this morning with
temperatures in the 40s to some 50s. A dry atmosphere was also
over ar, with dew point temperatures in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

The 00z klzk sounding had a precip water value of less than half
an inch. Light and variable to light southeast winds were seen
over the area.

Short term Today through Thursday night
the forecast will stay dry in the short term with overall high
pressure the main influence over the region. Minimum relative
humidity values today will be in the 30s to 40s percent. Moisture
levels will gradually increase the next few days with a south
wind flow into ar, and dew point temperatures will reach the 50s
by Friday. Aloft, the pattern will show an upper high pressure
ridge to build into the region Thursday to Friday. This will help
warm temperatures to above normal values. Wildfire concerns will
continue.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
an upper ridge will be shifting east at the start of the long term
period... With SW flow aloft increasing over the region. Moisture
levels will begin to increase as a result. By sat... An upper level
shortwave trough will move east across the plains... With a cold
front moving into arkansas from the NW on sun. The potential for
shra tsra will increase into the high chance to likely category for
sun as the front traverses the state... Being the best chances for
precip for the entire forecast.

Beyond sun... The forecast becomes more uncertain as med range model
guidance solutions diverge. The ECMWF is the more progressive... With
the front and upper trough exiting the state by early mon.

However... The GFS closes off an upper low to the south of the
state... With the front slowing over ar. The storm system doesn't
exit the region until Tue according to this solution. Have leaned
towards the ECMWF solution... Though keep some chances for precip
lingering into Mon night as a blend of the ECMWF gfs. The GFS would
result in a wetter setup for the natural state... Which would be
somewhat welcome for some areas with a current rainfall deficit.

By the end of the forecast... More certainty exists in the overall
pattern. Drier and cooler conditions will be seen as high pressure
moves into the region as a strong upper trough dives SE into over
the ERN conus.

Preliminary point temps pops
Batesville ar 76 49 79 51 0 0 0 0
camden ar 79 48 81 52 0 0 0 0
harrison ar 76 49 78 52 0 0 0 0
hot springs ar 77 50 79 53 0 0 0 0
little rock ar 77 50 80 53 0 0 0 0
monticello ar 77 49 79 53 0 0 0 0
mount ida ar 77 47 79 51 0 0 0 0
mountain home ar 76 48 78 52 0 0 0 0
newport ar 76 48 79 50 0 0 0 0
pine bluff ar 77 49 80 52 0 0 0 0
russellville ar 76 49 79 52 0 0 0 0
searcy ar 77 47 79 50 0 0 0 0
stuttgart ar 77 49 80 53 0 0 0 0

Lzk watches warnings advisories None.

Short term... 59 long term... 62


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mountain Home, Baxter County Regional Airport, AR5 mi59 minSW 810.00 miFair64°F46°F52%1022.2 hPa

Wind History from BPK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5--S644CalmSE4SE3SE3S3S4S4S4CalmSE3------S3SE3SE4S5S5SW8
1 day ago3E6E7E6CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S3SW5
2 days agoNW8NW7
G14
566N7N66N4Calm3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm34

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Little Rock, AR (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Springfield, MO
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.