Thursday, November23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Mills, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 4:53PM Thursday November 23, 2017 11:02 PM EST (04:02 UTC) Moonrise 10:51AMMoonset 9:15PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 653 Pm Est Thu Nov 23 2017
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..NW winds 10 kt...becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..SW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 653 Pm Est Thu Nov 23 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure will remain over the region through Friday. Low pressure will linger off the southeast coast Friday through Saturday morning. Another cold front will cross the area late Saturday night, with high pressure building back in from the northwest Sunday and Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Mills, NC
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location: 36.44, -76.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 240053
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
753 pm est Thu nov 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will remain over the region through Friday. Low
pressure will linger off the southeast coast Friday through
Saturday morning. Another cold front will cross the area late
Saturday into Saturday night, with high pressure building back
in from the northwest Sunday and Monday.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
Latest wx analysis reveals broad area of surface high pressure
extending from the western gulf coast into the NRN mid atlc
region. Aloft, a trough axis was in place from the ERN great
lakes south into the gulf of mexico. To the south, a weak
surface low pressure lifting NE over central fl.

Only minor changes needed to the grids on this thanksgiving
evening. Surface high pressure will remain in control through
the overnight, keeping moisture associated with low pressure
over fl shunted off to our sse, although we'll continue to see
some sct-bkn cirrus over SE sections through this evening.

Adjusted lows down slightly with temperatures already in the
upper 20s to low 30s inland. Early morning lows will range fm
the low-mid 20s far NW to near 30 most areas (lower to mid 30s
over coastal SE va and NE nc).

Short term 6 am Friday morning through Sunday
Latest GFS nam ECMWF remain in good agreement with the pattern
through the weekend, with enough northern stream trough energy
passing by to our NE Fri morning aftn to keep sfc low pressure
and associated moisture off the SE and mid atlc coasts and
sse of the local area. Sfc high pressure more or less to stay
entrenched over the region thru fri, gradually shifting off the
mid atlc coast Fri evening night. Bufkit soundings again depict
fairly limited shallow mixing for fri, so even with significant
rises in 850 mb temps, actual high temperatures at the sfc will
not warm all that much, mainly into the mid 50s. Mostly sunny,
except for some increasing clouds over the far se.

Next upper trough moves into and thru the great lakes fri
night sat. Still looks like bulk of moisture from low pressure
off the SE and mid atlc coasts stays well ese and offshore, as
it lifts ene. Not quite as cold Fri night with lows mostly
ranging fm the mid 30s to around 40. Sfc cold front approaches
from the west late Fri night into midday sat, then crosses the
area late Sat into Sat night. A SW flow to develop and will see
a milder day with highs around 60 N to the mid 60s se. Clouds
will increase during the aftn, and become mostly cloudy across
the nw. Sfc cold front and a lagging shortwave trough aloft to
cross the region Sat evening and push offshore Sat night. System
remains moisture starved, but will carry 20% pops over the N ne,
gfs is stronger with the forcing than the ecmwf. Lows Sat night
ranging fm the mid 30s NW to the lower 40s SE va and NE nc.

Mostly sunny and turning cooler sun, as sfc high pressure
returns fm the w. Highs mainly 50-55.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
Medium range period characterized by departing east coast trough,
and building upper level ridge over the rockies sliding east through
midweek. Temperatures will be slightly below climo to start the
period, but will moderate through the period, warming back into the
60s for mid to late week.

Rain chances remain low through Wednesday, with low chance pops by
Thursday as a southern stream system pushes east from the southern
plains toward the southeast Wed night thu.

Aviation 01z Friday through Tuesday
Vfr conditions expected this aftn into Fri aftn with just some
sct-bkn high clouds thru the period, esply at phf orf ecg. North
winds 5-7 kt early this aftn, will become light variable by
early this evening. Sfc high pressure will maintainVFR
conditions into sat. Winds will strengthen a bit from the ssw
sat ahead of a cold front, and turn to the NW for Sat night and
sun, with high pressure building back in from the wnw. Sky may
become mostly cloudy Sat aftn evening, with isolated showers
possible, butVFR conditions will prevail.

Marine
High pressure will remain over the region tonight, and then
gradually slides off the mid-atlantic coast Friday. Meanwhile,
low pressure will linger off the southeast coast. This area of
low pressure will gradually push farther offshore Friday night
into Saturday, as a cold front approaches from the NW by
Saturday. The wind will be northerly AOB 10kt for much of the
marine area tonight, but will become NE 10-15kt S of CAPE henry
late tonight. The wind will gradually become NE then E Friday,
with speeds AOB 10kt, before becoming SW 10-15kt late Friday
night into Saturday ahead of the approaching cold front. Seas
remain 3-4ft tonight into Friday and then subside to 2-3ft
Friday night into Saturday. The cold front crosses the region
Saturday night followed by a subsequent CAA surge late Saturday
night into midday Sunday with a NW wind of 15-25kt. Seas build
to 4-6ft, with 3-4ft waves in the bay. High pressure returns
Sunday night into Monday and then slides off the southeast coast
Tuesday.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Mam tmg
short term... Lkb tmg
long term... Mam
aviation... Tmg
marine... Ajz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 23 mi44 min SW 1 G 1.9 39°F 56°F1018.5 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 31 mi44 min WSW 1.9 G 1.9 40°F 1018.5 hPa
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 34 mi44 min NNW 5.1 G 8 46°F 58°F1018 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 35 mi32 min 60°F4 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 35 mi44 min 53°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 37 mi50 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 43°F 1018.6 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 37 mi44 min NE 1 G 1.9 42°F 1019 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 37 mi44 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 41°F
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 39 mi77 min 60°F4 ft
44064 40 mi32 min NNW 3.9 G 7.8 44°F 1018.7 hPa
CHBV2 42 mi50 min NW 5.1 G 6 44°F 55°F1017.4 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 45 mi32 min 59°F3 ft
44096 48 mi41 min 57°F3 ft

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC14 mi68 minNNE 510.00 miFair43°F37°F80%1018.7 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi62 minN 010.00 miFair38°F36°F93%1018.6 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA15 mi67 minN 07.00 miFair33°F31°F95%1019 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA23 mi67 minN 010.00 miFair34°F32°F94%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9N10N9N11N12N11NW11NW7NW7N11N11N7N6N4N6NE6NE5E3E5E4E4E4N5N4
1 day agoSE4SE7SE7CalmS3SE6E4N3CalmNW12NW6NW9N14N16
G20
N11N11N9N9N10N10N11N12N8N8
2 days agoS3S5S5S3S5CalmS3S3S4S4W5W4NW5SW3SW3SE6SE6SE9SE9SE8SE8SE12E6E7

Tide / Current Tables for Deep Creek Entrance, Elizabeth River, Virginia
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Deep Creek Entrance
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Thu -- 05:53 AM EST     0.41 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:51 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:17 PM EST     3.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:41 PM EST     0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:14 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.62.421.50.90.50.40.61.11.72.32.8332.62.11.40.80.50.40.71.11.72.2

Tide / Current Tables for Money Point, South Bridge, Elizabeth River, Virginia
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Money Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:45 AM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:51 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:14 PM EST     2.83 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:31 PM EST     0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:14 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.42.21.81.20.70.30.30.511.52.12.62.82.72.31.71.10.60.30.30.611.52

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.