Friday, June22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Mills, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:27PM Friday June 22, 2018 6:55 AM EDT (10:55 UTC) Moonrise 2:21PMMoonset 1:24AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 630 Am Edt Fri Jun 22 2018
Today..SE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A slight chance of tstms early this morning. A chance of showers this morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 630 Am Edt Fri Jun 22 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A front stalls across the waters today then lifts back north as a warm front Saturday morning. A cold front crosses the region on Sunday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Mills, NC
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location: 36.44, -76.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 220849
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
449 am edt Fri jun 22 2018

Synopsis
A frontal boundary located just north of the virginia north
carolina border early this morning, will gradually lift back
north as a warm front later today into Saturday morning. A cold
front will drop across the area Sunday night into Monday
morning.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 450 am edt Friday...

early this morning, area of showers and a few tstms was pushing
ene thru the cwa. This activity was associated with shortwave
energy lift along and north of the frontal boundary. This pcpn
will lift into NRN NE counties thru the morning hrs, with a
break in the pcpn for the remainder of the area into this aftn.

Then, more showers and tstms will re-develop later this aftn
and evening and move nne acrs the region, as the front lifts
nwrd thru the cwa. SPC has portions of central and SE va in a
slight risk for severe tstms, due to increased low-level shear
possibly near the frontal boundary. So, the main threats will be
damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. Otherwise, any stronger
storms could contain heavy rainfall, with localized flooding
possible. Warm and humid today with highs ranging fm the mid to
upper 70s nne, to the mid to upper 80s s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Sunday
As of 400 am edt Friday...

the frontal boundary will lift north of the area Sat morning.

The highest pops will shift to the NRN counties late tonight
into Sat morning. Ssw winds will pick up acrs the region sat
aftn, helping to warm temps into the upper 80s to lower 90s over
most areas. A shortwave trough is progged to cross the region
in the aftn evening that could touch off a line of mainly
diurnally driven tstms. A sfc trough weak cold front will move
acrs the area late Sat night thru Sun morning, with an actual
cold front then dropping acrs the region Sun night into mon
morning. Have maintained low end pops (20-30%) with the trough
overhead possibly kicking off isolated to widely sctd
showers tstms. Highs on Sun in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
As of 340 pm edt Thursday...

a potent shortwave (coupled with an area of surface low pressure) is
still projected to dive southeastward from canada to the
northeastern us on late Sunday into Monday. This system will bring a
chance for showers t-storms to the region as a cold front moves
through the CWA late Sunday into Monday. Both the latest 21 12z gfs
and ECMWF move the frontal boundary south of the CWA by Monday
afternoon. Scattered showers thunderstorms will overspread much of
the region (with the greatest coverage south east of the richmond
metro) Sunday night-Monday am. GFS shows some re-development across
se va NE nc Monday afternoon evening. The ECMWF and cmc are
forecasting dry weather for the entire CWA on Monday. Decided to
maintain chance pops Sunday night-Monday due to the scattered nature
of the t-storms. Behind the cold front, high pressure builds in
north of the area on Tuesday and moves offshore on Wednesday. This
will bring drier and cooler conditions to the region Monday night
through Wednesday. Moisture returns to the region as an area of
surface low pressure tracks to our north late next week, leading
to shower t-storm chances on Thursday and Friday.

Forecast highs are in the mid-upper 80s on Monday with low-mid 80s
expected on Tuesday. Expect a slow warming trend from Wednesday
through the end of next week (highs back to around 90 by Thursday)
after the area of high pressure moves offshore. Expect morning lows
between 70-75 on Monday cooling into the low-mid 60s for
Tuesday Wednesday. Lows warming to between 66-72 on Thursday.

Aviation 09z Friday through Tuesday
As of 155 am edt Friday...

early this morning, a frontal boundary was laying west to east
near the va nc border. This boundary will gradually lift nwrd
acrs the area today into Sat morning, then lifts well north of
the region Sat aftn, as low pressure moves fm the oh valley ne
into the great lakes. As a result, there will continue to be at
least chc to likely pops for showers or tstms into late tonight.

So, expect mainly MVFR CIGS at ric sby phf during this time
period with ifr CIGS possible thru this morning at ric and phf,
and into Sat morning at sby. Expect mainly MVFR orVFR CIGS at
orf ecg.

Just sctd aftn evening showers tstms will be possible Sat and
sun. Drier conditions potentially arrive early next week.

Marine
As of 330 am edt frisday...

went ahead and extended the sca's for the rest of the ches bay
(except mouth) based on latest wind gusts AOA 20 kts on back
side of the frontal boundary located along the james river to
orf va beach. This boundary progged to meander across the waters
today before lifting back north as a warm front late tonight and
sat morning. Expect diminishing winds once the onshore e-se winds
shift back to the south. This could be as early as this afternoon
across the southern ches bay but kept the headline up through 20z
due to the uncertainity. Seas slow to respond to the onshore winds,
bust expect them to reach arnd 5 ft across the northern coastal
waters. Kept the SCA ending time over the coastal waters as late
tonight as I expect a several hr period of seas blo 5 ft Sat morn
before bumping up again later in the day.

The southerly flow returns Saturday as the warm front lifts
north of the waters. A small craft advisory may once again be
needed Sat night due to a strong ssw push and seas arnd 5 ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 am edt Saturday for anz650-652.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt this afternoon for anz631-
632.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for anz630.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Tmg
short term... Jdm tmg
long term... Eri
aviation... Tmg
marine... Ajb mpr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 23 mi37 min ESE 4.1 G 6 76°F 83°F1008.3 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 31 mi37 min ESE 7 G 9.9 76°F 1008.4 hPa
FRFN7 34 mi175 min 1 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 34 mi43 min E 11 G 12 78°F 80°F1008.2 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 35 mi25 min 81°F2 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 35 mi37 min 79°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 37 mi37 min E 17 G 19 76°F 1007.6 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 37 mi43 min ESE 7 G 12 77°F 1008.5 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 37 mi43 min E 17 G 18 75°F 1007.2 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 39 mi40 min 80°F2 ft
44064 40 mi25 min ESE 18 G 21 75°F 1008.6 hPa
CHBV2 42 mi43 min ESE 14 G 18 75°F 1008.1 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 45 mi25 min 77°F2 ft

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC14 mi61 minS 410.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1008.4 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi80 minno data10.00 miFair65°F63°F97%1008.5 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA15 mi60 minESE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F72°F95%1008.5 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA23 mi80 minESE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F74°F100%1008.5 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4SW5W5W7SW6SW6W8W8W7W6NE16
G22
E11E7NE9E7E6CalmE6CalmSE5SE6S3E5S4
1 day agoN7NW4NW5N4Calm435SE8E10E6SE8E5NE5S13W5S9S6S4SW6W6S5S3W4
2 days agoW9W8W7W6NW94N5SW4W4W8W3SW8SW6SW4W6N9N12NW8NW6NW7NW5NW6NW6W4

Tide / Current Tables for Deep Creek Entrance, Elizabeth River, Virginia
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Deep Creek Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:43 AM EDT     2.83 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:46 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:17 PM EDT     3.29 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.61.11.82.42.72.82.621.30.60.20.10.30.91.72.433.33.22.82.11.30.7

Tide / Current Tables for Money Point, South Bridge, Elizabeth River, Virginia
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Money Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:27 AM EDT     2.73 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:45 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:06 PM EDT     3.15 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.61.11.82.42.72.72.41.91.30.70.20.10.40.91.72.42.93.132.621.30.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.