Tuesday, December18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Mills, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 4:54PM Tuesday December 18, 2018 3:02 PM EST (20:02 UTC) Moonrise 2:10PMMoonset 2:30AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 100 Pm Est Tue Dec 18 2018
This afternoon..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..N winds 5 kt, becoming se in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain likely.
Thu night..SE winds 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain.
Fri..S winds 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 100 Pm Est Tue Dec 18 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure will settle over the region through Wednesday. The next area of low pressure approaches from the southwest Thursday and brings another round of rain Thursday afternoon into early Friday. The low moves into new england by Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Mills, NC
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location: 36.44, -76.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 181910
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
210 pm est Tue dec 18 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will settle over the region through Wednesday.

The next area of low pressure approaches from the southwest late
Wednesday and brings another round of rain Thursday into early
Friday. The low moves into new england by Saturday. High
pressure builds across the local area from the weekend through
early next week.

Near term through tonight
As of 130 pm est Tuesday...

quiet wx and chilly tonight as sfc hi pres arrives over the local
this evening... Then slides very slowly to the coast (well) afer
midnight. Nnw winds become light-vrb by mid-late this evening.

Mainly skc W low from the m-u20s inland to u20s-around 30f se
va-ne nc coastal areas.

Short term Wednesday through Friday
As of 210 pm est Tuesday...

high pres shifts offshore Wed W dry seasonable wx to continue.

Winds become light s. Highs mainly 50-55f. Some increase in
clouds possible late in the day into Wed night. High pres
drifts farther off the coast Wed night while strong
amplification of trough aloft begins over the central and
southern plains. With clear-partly cloudy sky to
start... Temperatures likely to drop off quickly Wed evening
into the m-u30s to l40s... Then become steady overnight as clouds
increase and thicken lower.

Models remain in reasonably good agreement at this stage for
thu Thu night system. Still appears mainly dry until daybreak
for much of the area on thu... Though did maintain increase to
chc pop over the SE into Thu morning. Deep-layered ssw flow and
increase forcing will result in pops ramping up quickly s-n thu
(to 60-90% by afternoon). Widespread ra... Possibly mdt hvy...

is expected Thu night. Some concern that highest QPF will once
again near the coast (esp SE va-ne nc) W lower amounts inland
(like the most recent event this past weekend. Right now... Going
w storm total thu-thu night 1-2". Too early for any flood
watches... But will mention potential heavy rainfall in hwo (for
late thu-thu night). Highs Thu in the 40s NW to the l60s se.

Temperatures largely steady or rising (esp S and e) Thu night.

Main area of ra lifts quickly nne into new england fri... While
sharp trough aloft tracks through the oh valley to al-ga. Expecting
vrb clouds-partly cloudy on Fri and warmer W sct shras. Highs
in the l60s NW to the u60s-around 70f se.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
As of 210 pm est Tuesday...

trailing upper level trough crosses the region Fri night into
early Sat accompanied by sct pcpn. Drying out and cool for the
weekend as the lo pres departs into the far NRN atlantic. 12z 18
gfs ECMWF both have another area of lo pres tracking by N of the
region mon... Pushing a moisture starved (at this point) cold
front across the fa. Otherwise... Hi pres and dry seasonable wx
is expected early next week.

Lows Fri night in the l-m40s. Highs highs Sat 50-55f. Lows sat
night in the l-m30s W to the u30s-around 40f at the coast. Highs
sun in the u40s-around 50f N to the m50s far s. Lows Sun night
again from the l-m30s inland to the u30s-around 40f at the
coast. Highs Mon and Tue in the u40s N to the l50s s.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
As of 1205 pm est Tuesday...

vfr conditions expected through the 18z TAF forecast period. Nnw
winds remaining gusty to about 20 kt until late this afternoonbecoming
light vrb tonight then light ssw wed. High pres prevails through wed.

Sfc lo pres approaches from the SW late wed-thu and will bring
another round of lowered ceilings and eventually some flight
restrictions (cigs and vsby) in increasing rain chances
beginning Thu aftn and continuing into fri.VFR conditions then
quickly return for the weekend.

Marine
As of 210 pm est Tuesday...

seas still 4-5 ft across the NRN cstl wtrs and 5-6 ft across
the south so extended the SCA for a few more hrs for seas. Otw,
no headlines as high pressure builds over the waters tonight
then off the coast wed. Southerly winds remain blo SCA levels
through thu.

S-se wind begin to ramp back up into SCA levels ahead of an apprchg
system from the south thurs nite. A prolonged period of sca's are
possible as a series of lows track north across the region Fri and
fri night with the trailing cold front not expected until early sat.

Seas will build during this period as well (7-10 ft), then be slow
to subside over the weekend.

In addition, look for another round of marine fog to develop thurs
night and Fri as rain and higher dew points overspread the cooler
water temps.

Hydrology
As of 210 pm est Tuesday...

flood warning for richmond-westham will be coming down shortly
as the level continues to fall (below flood stage). Will be
monitoring the appomattox river at matoaca for a possible flood
warning as the level slowly rise through tonight.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for anz650-
652-654.

Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for anz656-
658.

Synopsis... Mam
near term... Alb
short term... Alb mam
long term... Alb
aviation... Alb mam
marine... Mpr
hydrology... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 23 mi38 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 47°F 48°F1020.1 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 31 mi32 min WNW 7 G 9.9 46°F 1020.3 hPa
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 34 mi32 min N 12 G 14 43°F 47°F1019.9 hPa
FRFN7 34 mi122 min 4 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 35 mi38 min 46°F1020.3 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 35 mi32 min 47°F5 ft
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 37 mi38 min WNW 11 G 12 44°F 1020.7 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 37 mi38 min Calm G 1 48°F 1019.8 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 37 mi32 min NW 7 G 8.9 42°F 1018.8 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 39 mi47 min 51°F6 ft
44064 40 mi32 min N 5.8 G 7.8 42°F 1020.4 hPa
44087 41 mi32 min 45°F1 ft
CHBV2 42 mi38 min NNW 5.1 G 7 42°F 1019.4 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 45 mi32 min 48°F4 ft

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC14 mi68 minN 710.00 miFair48°F26°F42%1020.2 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi82 minno data10.00 miFair46°F28°F49%1020.3 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA15 mi67 minNW 710.00 miFair46°F19°F35%1020.7 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA23 mi67 minNW 610.00 miFair48°F24°F41%1021 hPa

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW11W8SW6W5W6SW7W7W7W8NW9N9N10N9N9NW9N8N11N7N10N11N11N8N10N7
1 day agoW14
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W8W7W6W5NW7NW9NW9NW8NW8NW9W6W6W5W4SW6W5SW8W11W10W13W10
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2 days agoCalmE4E5SE5S3S3S5SW9SW7W11SW14SW7SW6SW8SW9SW6S5S5SW11SW13SW14SW14W16
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Tide / Current Tables for False Cape, Virginia
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False Cape
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Tue -- 02:28 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:20 AM EST     3.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:46 AM EST     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:36 PM EST     3.22 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:48 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.63.33.63.53.12.51.710.50.40.71.322.73.13.22.92.21.40.70.200.3

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:28 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:15 AM EST     3.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:41 AM EST     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:31 PM EST     3.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:43 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.53.13.43.32.92.31.60.90.50.40.71.322.6332.721.30.60.100.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.