Wednesday, June28, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Middles, KY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 8:56PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 10:07 PM EDT (02:07 UTC) Moonrise 10:21AMMoonset 11:37PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Middles, KY
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location: 36.66, -83.74     debug

Area Discussion for - Jackson, KY
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Fxus63 kjkl 282319 aaa
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service jackson ky
719 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Issued at 719 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017
mainly some thin cirrus is currently passing overhead.

Temperatures are starting to drop off in the more sheltered
valleys, and given the drier low level air still in place, will
lower the valley temperatures somewhat, allowing for some mid 50s.

Broader valleys and ridgetops will only cool off to the low to
mid 60s, which the current forecast has well handled. Updates will
be out shortly.

Short term (this evening through Thursday night)
issued at 413 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017
high pressure remained in control for the day as it continues to
shift eastward away from the region. Strong S to SW return flow
is now in place across the region. This will allow for warmer
temperatures and higher humidity values to start advecting into
the region after this point. Some high clouds may also continue to
advect into the region from the NW associated with a system
currently over the northern mississippi valley. This should not
hamper some valley fog development once more tonight, mainly in
near bodies of water. For tomorrow, temperatures will rise to at
or above seasonable normals, in the mid and upper 80s, but higher
humidities will make it feel warmer.

An upper level low is expected to become closed off along the
gulf of mexico coast overnight as it slowly shifts northeast
through the day Thursday. This disturbance will combine with the
warm, moist, and unstable flow during the day tomorrow, producing
showers and thunderstorms across much of the deep south,
especially along the gulf coast. Model trends are continuing to
pull this shower and thunderstorm potential northward along the
best moisture flow, possibly reaching the south central portion of
ky during the day Thursday. This could result in some isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms across our far SW CWA during
the day Thursday, tapering off again with loss of daytime heating
in the evening. Mild conditions return for Thursday night, with
lows in the mid and upper 60s, with cooler temps expected for the
deeper valleys.

Long term (Friday through Wednesday)
issued at 354 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017
the extended portion of the forecast begins on Friday with a
fairly active upper level pattern in place. Expect a shortwave
trough to be diving southeast into the oh valley. Southwesterly
flow near the surface will bring ample moisture into the lower
levels with precip chances on the increase by Friday afternoon and
increased forcing as the front approaches. As the potent shortwave
and increased forcing approaches, increased moisture evident by
the lower 70 degree dew points entering the area by Saturday
afternoon, will greatly destabilize the airmass with roughly 2000
j kg expected. This will also be the best chance for showers and
thunderstorms across the area on Saturday into Saturday evening.

At this point for Saturday, based upon the model profiles, there
certainly is a possibility for a few strong storms. Waning
instability will mean the thunderstorm potential will dissipate
with only showers expected for Saturday night into Sunday.

Much lessened instability ahead of the slowed and weakened front
for Sunday will allow just enough for a few thunderstorms and
mainly shower activity as CAPE values will struggle to reach 500.

Stout ridging nudging into the lee side of the appalachians will
keep the weakened boundary parked over the appalachian range and a
slight chance of thunderstorms for Sunday evening through Monday
evening. The super blend shows a lot of agreement in this pattern
with the newest run of the euro. The final day of the extended on
Tuesday seems to feature the models showing a break down in the
pattern as precip chances will be pending on a strong wave
undercutting the western ridge and moving into the area from the
mid ms valley. Overall, a pretty active pattern is in store for
the extended.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Thursday evening)
issued at 719 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017
vfr conditions will generally continue through the period. Some
patchy MVFR or worse fog will likely occur once again between 06
and 12z; however, this will be confined to the deepest river
valleys. Warm and moist return flow will bring some scattered
cumulus back into the area during the afternoon. A few afternoon
showers and storms will be possible mainly along and west of i-75;
however, given the more limited areal coverage, will continue to
not mention at loz and sme. Light south winds through Thursday
morning will become south southwest at near 10 kts by the
afternoon hours.

Jkl watches warnings advisories

Update... Geogerian
short term... Jmw
long term... Shallenberger
aviation... Geogerian

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Middlesboro, Middlesboro-Bell County Airport, KY3 mi72 minN 010.00 miFair72°F59°F63%1020 hPa

Wind History from 1A6 (wind in knots)
Last 24hrNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS6S4S5S3SE4S3S4W3W5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4E4S4NW9N8NW7W6CalmN6N3W4W3
2 days agoW6SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7SW5NW6NW10NW5W3NW6NW7NW3NW3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Jackson, KY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.