Monday, January22, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Middles, KY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:38AMSunset 5:51PM Monday January 22, 2018 9:08 PM EST (02:08 UTC) Moonrise 10:58AMMoonset 11:16PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Middles, KY
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location: 36.66, -83.74     debug

Area Discussion for - Jackson, KY
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Fxus63 kjkl 222356 aaa
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service jackson ky
656 pm est Mon jan 22 2018

Issued at 600 pm est Mon jan 22 2018
adjusted timing of pops to show current precip line in eastern
ky quickly moving out of the CWA and a lull before the cold front
to the west moves through with more precip chances around 8pm.

Maintained slight chance of thunder along the front as it
approaches. Ingested current temperature observational trends as
well. The main decrease in temps won't occur until after the front
passes later this evening. Updates have been sent.

Short term (this evening through Tuesday night)
issued at 359 pm est Mon jan 22 2018
rain showers currently cover much of eastern kentucky this
afternoon, with amounts of generally one tenth of an inch or less
thus far. An additional round of showers, and possibly a rumble of
thunder or two, is expected to arrive this evening immediately
ahead of a cold front currently positioned from about springfield,
illinois south through jackson, tennessee. Some partial clearing
has worked into portions of western and central kentucky,
potentially helping to increase what meager instability exists.

Lightning continues to be on the overall downward trend, but will
have to monitor this clearing as the front makes closer approach
downstream of a potent stacked low moving between interstates
70 80 toward illinois. Any updrafts that can sustain themselves in
a high shear low instability environment will have the potential
to develop downdrafts capable of bringing 50+ mph winds within the
lowest 2000 feet off the deck down toward the surface. The
available instability and narrow window of any true surface rooted
storms will keep this possibility limited, although gradient
gusts of 35 mph or so will remain possible through the night.

Showers will taper off through the night as gusty winds and cold
air advection continue in wake of the front as the core of the low
passes across the lower great lakes. Although winds will remain
more west southwesterly behind the front as opposed to
northwesterly due to the lack of a strong surface ridge building
in from the north, an upslope flow component to the low level flow
along with a weak secondary ripple of energy will support isolated
showers lingering through the day. Temperatures will primarily
hold steady in the upper 30s to low 40s with cloud cover holding
strong. Some of this rain will mix with and eventually transition
to light snow showers as temperatures further drop late Tuesday
into Wednesday. Not expecting enough moisture to allow for any
impactful measurable accumulations as shallow saturation
struggles to reach into the dendritic growth zone.

Long term (Wednesday through Monday)
issued at 359 pm est Mon jan 22 2018
the beginning of the extended period will be the coldest part of the
entire period, with a nice warm up expected from Thursday onward.

Isolated snow flurries will be exiting the area from southwest to
northeast on Wednesday, with the last precipitation forecast to be
out of the area by early Wednesday night. After that, we should see
a couple of days of warmer and dry weather on Thursday and Friday,
as a ridge of high pressure builds across the region, and winds
shift around to he south. Highs on Thursday and Friday are forecast
to MAX out in the mid to upper 40s and mid to upper 50s
respectively. The warm weather will continue on Saturday in
persistent southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front.

Another batch of rain showers will accompany this front, as it makes
its way from west to east across the ohio and tennessee valley's
Friday night through Sunday. The best chance for rain will be during
the passage of the front across our area from late Saturday
afternoon through late Sunday afternoon. Precipitation is then
expected to linger across eastern kentucky Sunday night, before
finally moving out of the area by early Monday morning. Temperatures
will gradually cool on Saturday and Sunday, as extensive cloud cover
and precipitation move across the area. Cooler air will spill into
the area behind the front on Sunday, with post frontal precipitation
on tap for Sunday evening and night. Highs on Sunday are expected to
top out in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Monday will be even cooler,
with highs on that day forecast to only reach the low to mid 40s for
most locations. A few snow showers may mix with the rain Sunday
night. Lows should be in the 20s and 30s Wednesday and Thursday
nights, with nightly minimums in the 30s and 40s expected Friday and
Saturday nights. The end of the period will see closer to normal
temperatures in the upper 20s and lower 30s for Sunday night.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Tuesday evening)
issued at 656 pm est Mon jan 22 2018
scattered showers will exit far eastern kentucky in the next hour,
with mainly dry weather expected through early this evening.

Ceilings will remain mainlyVFR, with the exception of loz and
sme, where MVFR clouds look to hold on. A cold front will then
approach and eventually move through the region between 04 and
08z, bringing with it another round of showers. These showers will
exit the area early Tuesday morning, with MVFR ceilings likely
continuing through the day. South to southwest winds of 10 to 15
kts, with gusts of 15 to 25 kts, will veer to the west southwest
behind the cold front.

Jkl watches warnings advisories

Update... Cgal
short term... Guseman
long term... Ar
aviation... Geogerian

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Middlesboro, Middlesboro-Bell County Airport, KY3 mi74 minN 07.00 miOvercast50°F50°F100%1009.5 hPa

Wind History from 1A6 (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmS6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS6CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS8S7S7S7S3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Jackson, KY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.