Thursday, June29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Suffolk, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 8:30PM Thursday June 29, 2017 12:00 PM EDT (16:00 UTC) Moonrise 10:53AMMoonset 11:41PM Illumination 30% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ638 James River From James River Bridge To Hampton Roads Bridge- Tunnel- 935 Am Edt Thu Jun 29 2017
Rest of today..S winds 10 kt...increasing to 15 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Sun..SW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 5 kt...becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Mon..NW winds 5 kt...becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 935 Am Edt Thu Jun 29 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure slowly slides off the coast through today...and will then remain anchored offshore through early next week. A slow-moving cold front will weaken north of the local area over the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Suffolk, VA
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location: 36.73, -76.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 291415
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1015 am edt Thu jun 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will reside off the mid atlantic coast through
Friday. A trough of low pressure will set up over the area for
late Friday night through Saturday.

Near term through tonight
Sfc high pressure was centered just off the mid atlc coast late
this morning. The high will push farther out to sea through
tonight with dry wx prevailing. Ssw flow will increase this aftn
resulting in warmer and slightly more humid conditions. Mostly
sunny with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Mostly clear tonight
with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

Short term Friday through Saturday
High pressure remains centered offshore Friday and Saturday,
resulting in warm afternoons with increased humidity levels.

Dry wx will prevail thru at least the first part of Friday for
the entire region. An isolated shower or TSTM could affect the
far southern tier of the area Fri aftn eve. Then, isolated to
sctd showers or tstms will be possible Sat aftn into sat
evening, as a trough of low pressure sets up over the region.

Highs on Fri will range from the mid 80s to lower 90s. Lows fri
night mainly in the lower 70s. Highs on Sat in the upper 80s to
lower 90s.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
Long term period will feature a fairly typical summertime pattern
with a cold front weakening near or just N of the area Sat night sun
morning. Still capping pops at 20-40% Sat night (highest n) as
more significant forcing stays NW closer to the decaying front.

Sunday will see the front wash out across the local area, will
maintain 20% pops N NW and 30% pops most other areas (up to 40%
over northeast nc). Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Mon tue
will see the local area generally in light flow and minimal
forcing. It will be very warm and humid with enough aftn early
evening instability for ~20% pops most areas (and with a little
more instability will keep pops to near 30% for interior NE nc)
highs 90-95 f inland and mid- upper 80s lower 90s near the
coast. Lows generally 70-75 f. Gfs ECMWF diverge with respect to
details late Tue wed, the ECMWF suggesting building heat and
lower pops while the GFS supports slightly cooler wx and a higher
chance for daily tstms. Have genly split the difference and
just carried 20 to 30% pops during climo favored timeframe (late
aftn and evening). Highs continue to be 90-95 f inland and
upper 80s around 90 f along the coast.

Aviation 14z Thursday through Monday
High pressure moves off the coast today allowing for more of a
southerly flow. A cold front over the midwest will approach
this weekend and then stall to the north of the area.

High confidence thatVFR conditions will continue through the 12z
taf period. Mainly clear skies and variable to light S winds
are anticipated overnight. Scattered cumulus, around 6000 feet,
develops mainly after 16z. Winds increase a bit out of the south
by this afternoon, occasionally gusting to 15-20 knots.

Outlook: afternoon evening showers and thunderstorms will be
possible Saturday through Monday.

Marine
Latest weather analysis features sfc high pressure now centered
along and just offshore the SE va coast. Low-level sse flow
continues this morning ~10-15 kt. A weak surge has allowed winds
to increase over the past few hours, but are still predominately
sub-sca.

After a brief lull this morning through early afternoon, expect
a slightly stronger surge as pressure gradient tightens between
high pressure offshore and low pressure crossing the upper great
lakes southern ontario. SCA headlines for S surge (wind gusts to
20 to 25 kt) now in place for all of the
ches bay from this afternoon through late this evening, and through
early Friday morning for bay zones N of new pt comfort. Timing of
strongest winds appears slightly earlier per both hi-res cams and
synoptic models coming with the initial surge from mid to late afternoon
through midnight tonight.

Farther south in the bay and across the rivers, the gradient
slackens a bit faster and therefore expect SCA winds to end a bit
sooner, thus the midnight end time. Farther north, nwps and wavewatch
indicate seas increasing to near SCA threshold this evening, mainly
north of parramore island. Wavewatch nwps blend suggests mainly 4 ft
seas in these areas with the potential for seas approaching 5 ft
out 20 nm offshore. Given that timing is into the second period, and
any SCA over the northern coastal zones would be short-lived and
marginal, will hold off on SCA headline over the coastal waters for
now. Farther south should stay at or below 3-4 ft through the
period. Similar conditions Fri aftn evening, with another surge
expected Friday afternoon and evening. However, guidance still
maintains that this surge will be slightly slightly weaker compared
to Thu night. A slow moving cold front approaches from the NW sat
but weakens by the time it reaches the local area on Sunday. Outside
of any tstms, good boating conditions expected over the
upcoming holiday weekend, with sub-sca conditions expected with
winds 10-15 kt or less and seas mainly 2-3 ft and waves 1-2 ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until midnight edt tonight for anz632-634.

Small craft advisory until 4 am edt Friday for anz630-631.

Synopsis... Jdm
near term... Jdm tmg
short term... Jdm
long term... Lkb
aviation... Ajb jdm
marine... Mam


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 15 mi43 min S 6 G 8.9 80°F 79°F1022.9 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 17 mi43 min S 6 G 9.9 80°F 1023.1 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 18 mi43 min SW 8.9 G 9.9 78°F 1023.3 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 20 mi43 min 78°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 22 mi43 min WSW 8.9 G 11 78°F 1023 hPa
CBBV2 - 8638863 - Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA 30 mi43 min WSW 9.9 G 11 78°F 77°F1023 hPa
44064 32 mi31 min 5.8 G 9.7 79°F 1023.1 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 33 mi43 min SSW 6 G 8.9 80°F
44041 - Jamestown, VA 34 mi31 min SW 7.8 G 12 79°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 35 mi43 min WSW 8.9 G 13 79°F 79°F1022.3 hPa
44072 37 mi31 min SW 12 G 14 79°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 38 mi43 min WSW 11 G 13 79°F 1023 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 43 mi43 min SW 7 G 8 75°F
44096 46 mi40 min 69°F1 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 47 mi31 min 72°F1 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 48 mi91 min SW 1.9 78°F 1024 hPa63°F

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA4 mi66 minSW 610.00 miFair81°F58°F48%1024 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA15 mi66 minS 37.00 miFair79°F61°F55%1023.7 hPa
Franklin / J B Rose, VA17 mi87 minSSW 810.00 miFair79°F59°F51%1023.7 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA21 mi62 minSSW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F59°F44%1023.7 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA23 mi70 minSSW 1010.00 miFair83°F57°F43%1023.1 hPa

Wind History from SFQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4CalmW4CalmE3SE3E8E8E4CalmSE3CalmSE3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4SW3S5S6
1 day agoNE7N3CalmCalmNW5W6NW6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4N3N3N5NE9E4N4
2 days agoCalmSE5SW5SW7SW6SW6SW5SW4CalmSE3SE3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5NW3N3N4

Tide / Current Tables for Suffolk, Nansemond River, Virginia
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Suffolk
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Thu -- 12:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:34 AM EDT     4.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:46 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:08 PM EDT     4.00 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:10 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.72.83.64.14.13.72.81.70.70.1-0.10.31.12.133.743.83.22.31.30.60.20.4

Tide / Current Tables for Hollidays Point (bridge), Virginia
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Hollidays Point (bridge)
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:47 AM EDT     3.30 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:16 AM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:22 PM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:41 PM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.92.63.23.332.41.60.80.2-0.1-00.51.32.12.83.13.12.72.11.30.60.20.10.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.