Sunrise 6:06 AM   Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 3:38 AM   Moonset 4:32 PM

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PZZ535 Monterey Bay- 847 Am Pdt Sun May 5 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .
Today - NW winds 10 to 15 knots - .increasing to 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots this afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft - . Building to 3 to 4 ft this afternoon. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 9 seconds and W around 2 ft at 15 seconds. Tonight - NW winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 9 seconds and W around 2 ft at 17 seconds. Mon - NW winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 11 seconds and W 2 to 3 ft at 17 seconds. Mon night - NW winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 10 seconds and W around 2 ft at 19 seconds. Tue - NW winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 6 to 8 ft at 13 seconds and W up to 2 ft at 19 seconds. Tue night - NW winds 15 to 25 knots. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 7 to 9 ft at 13 seconds and W 2 to 3 ft at 18 seconds. Wed - NW winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 7 to 9 ft and W 3 to 5 ft. Thu - NW winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 1 ft. W swell 6 to 8 ft and W 2 to 4 ft.
locally lower winds and seas across sheltered portions of the bay.

PZZ500 847 Am Pdt Sun May 5 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
isolated rain showers linger over the coastal waters with shower potential diminishing heading into the late morning. Dry conditions return by Sunday afternoon and prevail through the forecast period. Moderate to fresh winds continue in portions the southern waters with a coastal jet developing from point pinos to point piedras blancas. Elsewhere, moderate northwesterly breezes prevail through tomorrow. Winds strengthen and become more northerly Tuesday through Thursday as surface higher pressure builds and moves eastward. Significant wave heights will begin building on Monday, posing hazardous conditions for small craft through Thursday.

FXUS66 KMTR 051923 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1223 PM PDT Sun May 5 2024

New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1134 AM PDT Sun May 5 2024

Conditions clearing out today in the wake of yesterday's front.
Cool weather to kick off the week, but a notable warm up is on the way for the latter half of the week into this weekend.

SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1134 AM PDT Sun May 5 2024

Visible satellite showing ample clearing across much of the area in the wake of the cold front yesterday. Some isolated cumulus continue to form over complex terrain areas as a result of daytime heating and a hint of lingering low level instability.
However, don't expect much in the way of additional precip in these areas. There is still a bit of a hindrance in the form of some capping stability in the low to mid levels. Some areas in the highest peaks of the Santa Lucia and Santa Cruz Mtns can't rule out a sprinkle or two this afternoon, but anything outside of that seems to be a very low chance. The weather remains quiet into Monday with clear and dry conditions. Overnight temperatures into Monday morning will be on the chilly side once again, similar to last night, but we will warm up from here.

LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1134 AM PDT Sun May 5 2024

Beyond Monday, the pattern shifts to become dominated by a longwave ridge settling in over the Western US. The region will remain dry through the rest of the week with temperatures gradually heating up into the weekend. As it stands, Thursday and Friday look to be the warmest as afternoon highs are forecast to rise into the mid-80s across inland valleys and 70s elsewhere.
Once again, with temps above seasonal averages by the end of the week and coming off the heels of an anomalously cold system, it is important to remind ourselves that these quick changes in temperatures can still result in heat-related illness, even with highs in the 80s. As a result, much of our area below about 3500 feet and off the immediate coast will be under a minor Heat Risk Wednesday into the weekend. This primarily affects individuals who are extremely sensitive to heat, especially when outdoors without effective means of cooling or adequate hydration.

In the longer term, any chance for rain is dismal as we inch closer to our typical summertime pattern, and a there is a slight chance that above normal temperatures persist into the following week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1055 AM PDT Sun May 5 2024

VFR through the TAF period. Gusty west to northwest winds return this afternoon and continue into the evening with light to moderate winds expected overnight. Satellite shows cumulus clouds developing in the South Bay and along the Central Coast. MVFR CIGs are tempoed for SNS and SJC until 19-20Z with moderate to high confidence that as CIGs continue to rise VFR conditions will prevail for the rest of the TAF period.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR through the TAF period. Gusty west to northwest winds with gusts up to 25 knots continue through the late evening with guidance indicating gusts drop off between 04-6Z.
Moderate to confidence that gusts will not exceed 25 knots with probabilistic guidance indicating a low probability (0-10% chance)
of gusts greater than 25 knots.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR through the TAF period. Gusty west to northwest winds with gusts up to 20 knots possible through the late evening. Satellite shows cumulus clouds developing over MRY and SNS.
Tempoed MVFR conditions from 18-20Z at SNS due to increasing thickness of cloud coverage but 5 minute observations show rising CIG heights which increases confidence that VFR conditions will return by 20Z.

MARINE
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 1055 AM PDT Sun May 5 2024

Isolated rain showers linger over the coastal waters with shower potential diminishing heading into the late morning. Dry conditions return by Sunday afternoon and prevail through the forecast period. Moderate to fresh winds continue in portions the southern waters with a coastal jet developing from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas. Elsewhere, moderate northwesterly breezes prevail through tomorrow. Winds strengthen and become more northerly Tuesday through Thursday as surface higher pressure builds and moves eastward. Significant wave heights will begin building on Monday, posing hazardous conditions for small craft through Thursday.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Monday for Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PDT this evening for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Monday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

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Elkhorn
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Sun -- 03:18 AM PDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:37 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:07 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:34 AM PDT     4.22 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:07 PM PDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:31 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:59 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:39 PM PDT     5.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Elkhorn, California (2), Tide feet

Point Pinos
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Sun -- 01:30 AM PDT     -0.87 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:38 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:10 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:09 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:07 AM PDT     0.75 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:09 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:52 PM PDT     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:15 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:32 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:00 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:12 PM PDT     0.75 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:08 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Pinos, California Current, knots

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