Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Norfolk, VA
May 9, 2024 5:30 AM EDT (09:30 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:00 AM Sunset 8:02 PM Moonrise 5:48 AM Moonset 9:18 PM |
ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 404 Am Edt Thu May 9 2024
Through 7 am - SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Today - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S late. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning. Showers likely with a chance of tstms late.
Tonight - E winds 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Fri - NW winds 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. Showers likely.
Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night - SE winds 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Sun - W winds 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 404 Am Edt Thu May 9 2024
Through 7 am - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Today - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se late. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of showers and tstms late.
Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Fri - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. Showers likely.
Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less.
Sat night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Sun - W winds 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sun night - N winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon - W winds 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
FXUS61 KAKQ 090817 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 417 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will slowly push through the region later today through tonight, bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. An upper level trough will bring another round of showers and storms later Friday into Friday night. A chance for showers continues across mainly northern areas over the weekend.
Dry and warmer weather to start next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 340 AM EDT Thursday...
-Key Message:
-SPC has a Slight Risk for Severe for the entire CWA, but SVR weather chances will be lower over the far NE (especially the eastern shore).
A complex WX pattern in place for today, with the weakening remnant of earlier convection over the Tn Valley now pushing through central NC and over south central VA. Still dry across the FA, but expect a few showers to move into the southern zones over the next few hrs. There is no sfc-based CAPE over the local area (an just very limited ML CAPE to ~250 J/Kg over the far southern areas) so these will just be showers with embedded tstms. Some gusty winds to ~40 mph will be possible over the south this morning, but severe WX is not expected this morning.
Expect a few hrs w/ little to no precip late morning/early-mid aftn, followed by PoPs ramping back up by later aftn.
While SPC has a Slight Risk for the entire CWA today, a more southerly position of a developing sfc low/boundary this aftn (in the vicinity of the I-64 corridor), lends to a lower risk for SVR later today to the NE (especially the eastern shore where aftn temps will barely be in the 70s (or cooler) with little to no ML CAPE and no sfc- based instability. This sfc boundary later today will likely act as a focus for re- developing storm activity later this aftn into early this evening, and may provide some localized enhanced directional shear for an isolated spin-up tornado. The last few HRRR runs show 0-3KM SRH values to ~300 m2/s2 by from about 20Z-00Z across the I-64 corridor (give or take ~30 miles). The overall instability appears to be less than what was expected yesterday, but still should approach ML CAPE ~1000 J/Kg to the S of the boundary, along with deep layer shear of 40-50kt so localized damaging winds will be possible. High today will be in the mid/upper 80s in NE NC, but only in the 70s over the N (with readings falling into the 60s near the Atlantic coast of the ern shore).
PoPs remain high chc to likely in the early evening, shifting off to the NE overnight, and diminishing except across the far NE after 06Z. Lows mid/upper 50s N to mid 60s S.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 350 AM EDT Thursday...
-Key Message:
- Another round of showers/storms Fri aftn/evening. Widespread severe not expected, but gusty winds and hail will be possible.
Friday starts off mainly dry (with some lingering low clouds and light rain possible over the MD eastern shore). Scattered showers are expected to redevelop as the upper trough dives SE and swings through. The associated shortwave moves across VA and the Carolinas and has trended stronger so have raised PoPs by late aftn/evening to likely for most areas. With steep mid level lapse rates expected w/ the cold pool aloft, at least scattered tstms are expected for most of the area. SPC does not have the area outlooked for any SVR, but would not be surprised to see some hail and gusty winds given the steep mid level lapse rates Fri evening. Highs on Fri will show a large range, only in the upper 50s to lower 60s MD ern shore to near 80F interior NE NC. Drying out later Fri night and cooler with lows mid/upper 40s W to the lower 50s E.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 400 AM EDT Thursday...
-Key Message:
-Remaining unsettled (especially north) late Sat through Sunday, dry Mon, with rain chances returning Tue-Wed.
The weekend continues to look a bit unsettled, especially across the N/NE portion of the CWA as yet another shortwave drops SE from the wrn Great Lakes, and pushes across the mid Atlantic late Sat through Sunday. This pattern favors increasing clouds Sat afternoon, with low chance PoPs pushing into the NW by late afternoon, spreading through the region Sat night/early Sunday.
Cool Sat with highs in the low-mid 60s NE to around 70F over the SW. The airmass will be fairly dry so not expecting much QPF with this system (generally 0.10" or less with a little more possible across the NE). Will have PoPs to ~40% over the N late Sat/Sat night into early Sunday, with PoPs only ~15-20% in NC.
The models still differ with respect to the strength of the upper trough on Sunday, so will maintain PoPs up to 25-30% across the NE, while southern VA and NE NC should be dry.
Remaining cool with highs in the 60s NE to the low-mid 70s SW. It looks dry from Sunday night through Monday with lows in the 40s inland to the 50s near the coast, followed by highs Mon in the mid-upper 70s. Unsettled conditions return Tue as a southern stream system moves ENE twds the mid Atlantic, and across the area Wed. High chc PoPs for now.
AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 200 AM EDT Thursday...
Mainly VFR this morning w/ brief MVFR/IFR restrictions in morning showers (most thunder stays S of the main terminals other than ECG). Shower and thunderstorm chances increase later this aftn into this evening. Any showers/storms may produce brief periods of reduced VSBYs and CIGs . Storms into this evening could be on the stronger side and produce gusty winds (except over SBY where they will mainly just be showers).
Outlook: Drying out from W to E overnight, then VFR Friday, but there will be a chance for showers/isolated tstms redeveloping later Friday afternoon and evening (with flight restrictions expected). Mainly dry Saturday, but another chance for showers Saturday night into Sunday. Dry Mon.
MARINE
As of 345 AM EDT Thursday...
Primary area of low pressure is centered near St. Louis early this morning with a cold front extending down to the S and SW into NE TX.
A stationary front remains draped across the Midwest and eastward along the Mason Dixon line and further NE into another area of low pressure over New England. Winds aloft are largely W-SW with several perturbations/kinks noted in the flow. Winds locally are from the W or SW 5-10 kt with gust to 15 kt. Waves in the bay are 1-2 ft with seas 2-3 ft.
Complex scenario is expected to unfold today with most guidance now showing the stationary front making south and southwestward progress in a backdoor fashion this morning. Winds behind the boundary will generally be easterly 10-15 kt while areas to the south of the front will see continued S or SW flow around 10 kt. One of the aforementioned shortwaves aloft will result in weak surface cyclogenesis inland this afternoon which should cause the boundary to stall across the local waters later this afternoon into the evening hours. Guidance is quite variable regarding the potential for and coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon with substantial convection upstream lending uncertainty regarding the degree of local destabilization this afternoon. Any storms that are able to form will pose a threat for strong winds this afternoon and evening. There is even a chance for tornadoes/waterspouts if a storm is able to ride along the frontal boundary. The front will linger across the area tonight with widely varying wind directions on either side of the boundary. Low pressure develops along the front Friday evening which will steepen the pressure gradient with NE winds increasing to 15-20 kt in the Ches Bay, lower James River, and Currituck Sound while offshore zones see closer to 20-25 kt. SCA headlines are likely Friday night into Saturday before deepening low pressure pulls away from the region. 1-2 ft waves in the bay will persist through most of Friday before increasing to 2-3 ft late Friday into Saturday. Seas generally maintain 3-4 ft through Friday afternoon but increase to 4-6 ft by early Saturday morning.
Improving marine conditions are expected later on Saturday with seas likely falling below SCA thresholds Saturday evening.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 345 AM EDT Thursday...
Coastal Flood Advisories continue for bayside portions of the MD Eastern Shore through 7 am. The subsequent high tide this afternoon is not expected to cause any coastal flooding but the next high tide could see another round of nuisance to minor flooding in these same areas late tonight.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for MDZ021>023.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 417 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will slowly push through the region later today through tonight, bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region. An upper level trough will bring another round of showers and storms later Friday into Friday night. A chance for showers continues across mainly northern areas over the weekend.
Dry and warmer weather to start next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 340 AM EDT Thursday...
-Key Message:
-SPC has a Slight Risk for Severe for the entire CWA, but SVR weather chances will be lower over the far NE (especially the eastern shore).
A complex WX pattern in place for today, with the weakening remnant of earlier convection over the Tn Valley now pushing through central NC and over south central VA. Still dry across the FA, but expect a few showers to move into the southern zones over the next few hrs. There is no sfc-based CAPE over the local area (an just very limited ML CAPE to ~250 J/Kg over the far southern areas) so these will just be showers with embedded tstms. Some gusty winds to ~40 mph will be possible over the south this morning, but severe WX is not expected this morning.
Expect a few hrs w/ little to no precip late morning/early-mid aftn, followed by PoPs ramping back up by later aftn.
While SPC has a Slight Risk for the entire CWA today, a more southerly position of a developing sfc low/boundary this aftn (in the vicinity of the I-64 corridor), lends to a lower risk for SVR later today to the NE (especially the eastern shore where aftn temps will barely be in the 70s (or cooler) with little to no ML CAPE and no sfc- based instability. This sfc boundary later today will likely act as a focus for re- developing storm activity later this aftn into early this evening, and may provide some localized enhanced directional shear for an isolated spin-up tornado. The last few HRRR runs show 0-3KM SRH values to ~300 m2/s2 by from about 20Z-00Z across the I-64 corridor (give or take ~30 miles). The overall instability appears to be less than what was expected yesterday, but still should approach ML CAPE ~1000 J/Kg to the S of the boundary, along with deep layer shear of 40-50kt so localized damaging winds will be possible. High today will be in the mid/upper 80s in NE NC, but only in the 70s over the N (with readings falling into the 60s near the Atlantic coast of the ern shore).
PoPs remain high chc to likely in the early evening, shifting off to the NE overnight, and diminishing except across the far NE after 06Z. Lows mid/upper 50s N to mid 60s S.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 350 AM EDT Thursday...
-Key Message:
- Another round of showers/storms Fri aftn/evening. Widespread severe not expected, but gusty winds and hail will be possible.
Friday starts off mainly dry (with some lingering low clouds and light rain possible over the MD eastern shore). Scattered showers are expected to redevelop as the upper trough dives SE and swings through. The associated shortwave moves across VA and the Carolinas and has trended stronger so have raised PoPs by late aftn/evening to likely for most areas. With steep mid level lapse rates expected w/ the cold pool aloft, at least scattered tstms are expected for most of the area. SPC does not have the area outlooked for any SVR, but would not be surprised to see some hail and gusty winds given the steep mid level lapse rates Fri evening. Highs on Fri will show a large range, only in the upper 50s to lower 60s MD ern shore to near 80F interior NE NC. Drying out later Fri night and cooler with lows mid/upper 40s W to the lower 50s E.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 400 AM EDT Thursday...
-Key Message:
-Remaining unsettled (especially north) late Sat through Sunday, dry Mon, with rain chances returning Tue-Wed.
The weekend continues to look a bit unsettled, especially across the N/NE portion of the CWA as yet another shortwave drops SE from the wrn Great Lakes, and pushes across the mid Atlantic late Sat through Sunday. This pattern favors increasing clouds Sat afternoon, with low chance PoPs pushing into the NW by late afternoon, spreading through the region Sat night/early Sunday.
Cool Sat with highs in the low-mid 60s NE to around 70F over the SW. The airmass will be fairly dry so not expecting much QPF with this system (generally 0.10" or less with a little more possible across the NE). Will have PoPs to ~40% over the N late Sat/Sat night into early Sunday, with PoPs only ~15-20% in NC.
The models still differ with respect to the strength of the upper trough on Sunday, so will maintain PoPs up to 25-30% across the NE, while southern VA and NE NC should be dry.
Remaining cool with highs in the 60s NE to the low-mid 70s SW. It looks dry from Sunday night through Monday with lows in the 40s inland to the 50s near the coast, followed by highs Mon in the mid-upper 70s. Unsettled conditions return Tue as a southern stream system moves ENE twds the mid Atlantic, and across the area Wed. High chc PoPs for now.
AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 200 AM EDT Thursday...
Mainly VFR this morning w/ brief MVFR/IFR restrictions in morning showers (most thunder stays S of the main terminals other than ECG). Shower and thunderstorm chances increase later this aftn into this evening. Any showers/storms may produce brief periods of reduced VSBYs and CIGs . Storms into this evening could be on the stronger side and produce gusty winds (except over SBY where they will mainly just be showers).
Outlook: Drying out from W to E overnight, then VFR Friday, but there will be a chance for showers/isolated tstms redeveloping later Friday afternoon and evening (with flight restrictions expected). Mainly dry Saturday, but another chance for showers Saturday night into Sunday. Dry Mon.
MARINE
As of 345 AM EDT Thursday...
Primary area of low pressure is centered near St. Louis early this morning with a cold front extending down to the S and SW into NE TX.
A stationary front remains draped across the Midwest and eastward along the Mason Dixon line and further NE into another area of low pressure over New England. Winds aloft are largely W-SW with several perturbations/kinks noted in the flow. Winds locally are from the W or SW 5-10 kt with gust to 15 kt. Waves in the bay are 1-2 ft with seas 2-3 ft.
Complex scenario is expected to unfold today with most guidance now showing the stationary front making south and southwestward progress in a backdoor fashion this morning. Winds behind the boundary will generally be easterly 10-15 kt while areas to the south of the front will see continued S or SW flow around 10 kt. One of the aforementioned shortwaves aloft will result in weak surface cyclogenesis inland this afternoon which should cause the boundary to stall across the local waters later this afternoon into the evening hours. Guidance is quite variable regarding the potential for and coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon with substantial convection upstream lending uncertainty regarding the degree of local destabilization this afternoon. Any storms that are able to form will pose a threat for strong winds this afternoon and evening. There is even a chance for tornadoes/waterspouts if a storm is able to ride along the frontal boundary. The front will linger across the area tonight with widely varying wind directions on either side of the boundary. Low pressure develops along the front Friday evening which will steepen the pressure gradient with NE winds increasing to 15-20 kt in the Ches Bay, lower James River, and Currituck Sound while offshore zones see closer to 20-25 kt. SCA headlines are likely Friday night into Saturday before deepening low pressure pulls away from the region. 1-2 ft waves in the bay will persist through most of Friday before increasing to 2-3 ft late Friday into Saturday. Seas generally maintain 3-4 ft through Friday afternoon but increase to 4-6 ft by early Saturday morning.
Improving marine conditions are expected later on Saturday with seas likely falling below SCA thresholds Saturday evening.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 345 AM EDT Thursday...
Coastal Flood Advisories continue for bayside portions of the MD Eastern Shore through 7 am. The subsequent high tide this afternoon is not expected to cause any coastal flooding but the next high tide could see another round of nuisance to minor flooding in these same areas late tonight.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for MDZ021>023.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KORF NORFOLK INTL,VA | 2 sm | 39 min | SW 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 64°F | 78% | 29.69 | |
| KNGU NORFOLK NS (CHAMBERS FLD),VA | 6 sm | 31 min | SW 07 | 9 sm | Partly Cloudy | 73°F | 64°F | 73% | 29.70 | |
| KNTU OCEANA NAS /APOLLO SOUCEK FIELD/,VA | 11 sm | 34 min | WSW 08 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 72°F | 68°F | 88% | 29.69 | |
| KLFI LANGLEY AFB,VA | 15 sm | 35 min | WSW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 68°F | 78% | 29.68 | |
| KNFE FENTRESS NALF,VA | 16 sm | 34 min | var 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 64°F | 78% | 29.70 | |
| KPVG HAMPTON ROADS EXECUTIVE,VA | 17 sm | 34 min | WSW 03 | 7 sm | Clear | 66°F | 66°F | 100% | 29.71 | |
| KCPK CHESAPEAKE RGNL,VA | 19 sm | 15 min | SSW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 68°F | 64°F | 88% | 29.71 | |
| KPHF NEWPORT NEWS/WILLIAMSBURG INTL,VA | 22 sm | 36 min | WSW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 70°F | 64°F | 83% | 29.69 |
Tide / Current for Windmill Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Windmill Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:11 AM EDT 1.64 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:00 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 06:59 AM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:31 PM EDT 1.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:50 PM EDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:03 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:20 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:11 AM EDT 1.64 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:00 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 06:59 AM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:31 PM EDT 1.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:50 PM EDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:03 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:20 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Windmill Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.6 |
| 1 am |
| 1.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1.4 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0.3 |
| 6 am |
| 0 |
| 7 am |
| -0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 0 |
| 7 pm |
| -0 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.2 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sewells Point, Hampton Roads, Virginia, Tide feet
Wakefield, VA,
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