Thursday, April18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Seacliff, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 7:46PM Thursday April 18, 2019 9:50 AM PDT (16:50 UTC) Moonrise 6:09PMMoonset 5:23AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ535 Monterey Bay- 850 Am Pdt Thu Apr 18 2019
Today..NW winds up to 10 kt...becoming W this afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 14 seconds.
Tonight..SW winds up to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 14 seconds.
Fri..W winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves around 3 ft. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Sat..W winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell around 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 5 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft. Locally lower winds and seas across sheltered portions of the bay.
PZZ500 850 Am Pdt Thu Apr 18 2019
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Weakening high pressure over the offshore waters will keep light to moderate northwest winds through Thursday night. High pressure will rebuild over the eastern pacific on Friday resulting in increasing northwest winds over the coastal waters that will last through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Seacliff, CA
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location: 36.97, -121.91     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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Fxus66 kmtr 181630
afdmtr
area forecast discussion
national weather service san francisco bay area
930 am pdt Thu apr 18 2019

Synopsis Warmer temperatures are forecast for today,
especially inland areas where widespread highs in the lower to mid
80s are expected. A cooling trend is then expected to begin
Friday and continue into the weekend as onshore flow redevelops
and strengthens. This will be followed by renewed warming for the
first part of next week. No precipitation is expected through the
forecast period.

Discussion As of 09:23 am pdt Thursday... High pressure over the
bay area started out a little stronger this morning than expected.

As such cloud cover over most land locations has been non-
existent. A few clouds are lingering in some isolated pockets of
coastal location, but should dissipate for a while late morning
into early afternoon.

Most sites have been running about 3 to 6 degrees over yesterday,
so far this morning. We continue to expect a rise of the mercury
into the 70s (coastal) and 80s (inland) for nearly all locations.

The main change to the forecast this morning was to bump up the
temps away from the coast by a degree or two. Just a touch warmer
than the early morning forecast. Enjoy the day as we will cool a
bit going into the weekend and increase cloud cover a bit as a
system clips our area.

Prev discussion As of 02:42 am pdt Thursday... GOES satellite fog
product reveals mostly clear skies around the bay area overnight
with a few exceptions: developing stratus over the coastal
waters, patchy low clouds developing along portions of the
immediate coastline and patchy fog low clouds north bay valleys.

Current forecast will have some patchy low clouds fog possible
early this morning, but impacts will be minimal.

The bigger weather story for the day will be the noticeable warm
up. Synoptically speaking, a large upper level ridge currently
along the west coast will strengthen as it moves eastward. The
building ridge can be seen by looking at increasing 500 mb heights
and warming temperatures at 850 mb. Observed highs on Wednesday
were upper 50s to upper 60s near the coast and 70s to near 80
inland. Generally speaking a modest 5 to 10 degrees of warming
will be seen today with a few spots approaching 15 degrees of
warming compare to Wednesday. In other words, highs in the 60s to
mid 70s along the coast and widespread 80s inland. It's possible
that a few interior locations in monterey san benito counties may
eclipse 90 degrees. Temperatures this warm are about 5 to 10
degrees above normal for mid april. One limiting factor for really
warm weather is the lack of offshore flow and continued onshore
flow, especially near the coast. From a heat risk standpoint,
there is enough cooling (relief) Thursday night and Friday that
impacts will be minimal. However, today could be the warmest day
so far this year for some locations so some precaution should be
used - stay hydrated, monitor activities during peak heating of
the day, take breaks, etc.

The warm up will be short-lived as the ridge moves east, an upper
level low undercuts the ridge across socal and low level onshore
flow ramps on Friday. A general cooldown of 3 to 5 degrees is
expected on Friday with a slight increase of early morning
clouds patchy fog. Not a full force summer stratus push just yet,
but more of a preview.

An even bigger cooldown is expected on Saturday as an upper level
low swings through norcal bringing increasing clouds, cooler 850
mb temps and possible precipitation to ca. 00z model suite
continues to show mixed results on potential precip impacting the
bay area on Saturday. Current forecast will remain dry at this
point as best chance still remains N and E of the forecast area.

Will keep a close eye on this and precip may added to the forecast
later. High temperatures will be cool and mostly in the 60s an
lower 70s. Interesting to see the temp swing from above normal on
Thursday to below normal for Saturday.

Similarly to the initial warm up, the cooldown will be short-
lived as well. High pressure is forecast to re-build over the
region Sunday into Monday. The warming trend is forecast to
continue well into next week. If some of the medium range models
and ensembles are correct the second round of warming may be even
warmer than the Thursday warm up. Interior locations may hit the
upper 80s to lower 90s next Wednesday and Thursday.

Longer range forecast indicate that the wet season may be ending
and the dry season is beginning. The latest 8 to 14 day cpc
outlook has much of norcal drier than normal through may 1.

Aviation As of 4:32 am pdt Thursday... Ifr due to patchy low
clouds and fog along the coast otherwiseVFR.

Vicinity of ksfo...VFR. Wind becoming w-nw near 10 knots by 21z
today, light wind by 04z tonight.

Sfo bridge approach... Similar to ksfo.

Monterey bay terminals... Patchy ifr nearby this morning otherwise
vfr, wind becoming w-nw near 10 knots by late morning or early
afternoon.

Marine As of 09:23 am pdt Thursday... Weakening high pressure
over the offshore waters will keep light to moderate northwest
winds through Thursday night. High pressure will rebuild over the
eastern pacific on Friday resulting in increasing northwest winds
over the coastal waters that will last through the weekend.

Mtr watches warnings advisories
Tday None.

Public forecast: bfg mm
aviation: canepa
marine: rowe st
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA 14 mi65 min SSW 1 59°F 1020 hPa55°F
46092 - MBM1 16 mi96 min 53°F 54°F1020.3 hPa (+0.0)
46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) 24 mi80 min 57°F3 ft
MEYC1 25 mi74 min 57°F1020.1 hPa
46042 - MONTEREY - 27NM West of Monterey Bay, CA 29 mi60 min N 9.7 G 12 51°F 54°F7 ft1020.1 hPa (+0.0)
46114 - West Monterey Bay, CA 29 mi50 min 53°F7 ft
RTYC1 - 9414523 - Redwood City, CA 40 mi50 min E 1.9 G 2.9 59°F 65°F1021.4 hPa (+0.3)
46239 - Point Sur, CA (157) 44 mi50 min 7 ft

Wind History for Monterey, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Watsonville, Watsonville Municipal Airport, CA7 mi57 minN 010.00 miFair58°F51°F78%1020.5 hPa

Wind History from WVI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalm3SW9W7SW6W5W5SW5S6S5SE6SE4CalmN3N4CalmNW4CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNW4W5SW8SW8SW7SW8SW10SW7S3SE6E5E6CalmCalmN3N4N3CalmCalmN4N3CalmNE3Calm
2 days agoS33W9W7W11
G18
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W10W8W4SW3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3N3N3

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Cruz, California
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Santa Cruz
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Thu -- 04:14 AM PDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:22 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:30 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:39 AM PDT     4.69 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:20 PM PDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:10 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:45 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:52 PM PDT     5.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.22.91.50.4-00.10.81.82.93.94.64.74.13.11.80.80.30.4123.24.355.3

Tide / Current Tables for Point Pinos, California Current
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Point Pinos
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Thu -- 12:03 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:55 AM PDT     -0.94 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:22 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:30 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:30 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:27 AM PDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:32 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:17 PM PDT     -0.87 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:46 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:09 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:44 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:40 PM PDT     0.82 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0-0.5-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.6-0.20.20.60.80.80.60.3-0.2-0.7-0.9-0.8-0.6-0.30.10.50.80.80.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.