Saturday, March25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carrollton, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 7:23PM Saturday March 25, 2017 9:40 AM EDT (13:40 UTC) Moonrise 4:35AMMoonset 3:54PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ638 James River From James River Bridge To Hampton Roads Bridge-tunnel- 631 Am Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SW winds 10 kt...becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...diminishing to 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Wed..NW winds 5 kt...becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 631 Am Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure is well offshore with a series of surface low pressure systems located northwest of the mid atlantic region today through Monday night. A cold front will cross the waters late Tuesday night. Weak high pressure builds over the region Wednesday and Thursday. Onshore winds develop Thursday and are expected to persist into Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrollton, VA
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location: 36.97, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 251053
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
653 am edt Sat mar 25 2017

Synopsis
High pressure remains offshore the mid-atlantic coast through
Monday. An upper level disturbance lifts over the region
Sunday. A cold front crosses the region Tuesday night.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
Sfc hi pres has become established off the SE CONUS coast and
will remain so today. Deep layered SW flow in place... And will
result in continued warming. Starting out in the 50s to around
60f... And despite periods of high level clouds... Temperatures
expected to rise well into the 70s to around 80f... W/ exception
to right near the coast/on the eastern shore where highs will be
in the u60s-m70s. Dewpoints noticeable higher today than
fri... Mainly will average from the u40s-l50s... And SW winds will
be gusty to 20-25 mph in the early-mid afternoon.

Short term /6 pm this evening through Monday/
Remaining dry/mild tonight ahead of low pres lifting ene from
the mid ms valley into the WRN oh valley. A weak sfc boundary
will settle over the ERN shore by late tonight resulting in
light onshore winds and possible bkn st. Otherwise... S winds
will prevail under mainly bkn-ovc ci. Lows m-u40s on the ern
shore to the l-m50s elsewhere.

Weakening low pres (sfc-aloft) will continue to track NE the
great lakes sun-sun night... Pushing a weak low level boundary
into/across the fa. Only slgt forcing aloft w/ this
system... Which will likely limit pcpn coverage. Otherwise... Vrb
clouds and mild w/ pops mainly confined to I 95 on W (20-30%) by
late Sun afternoon/sun night. Highs Sun from the l-m60s along
the coast/on the ERN shore to the l-m70s inland (in va/ne nc).

Lows Sun night in the u40s- around 50f on the ERN shore to the
l-m50s elsewhere.

Initial system lifts into/through new england mon... Leaving fa
w/ continued mild/warm conditions as hi pres (sfc-aloft) remains
invof SE CONUS coast. Vrb clouds Mon w/ pops mainly AOB 20%.

Highs mainly in the 60s on the ERN shore to the l-m70s
elsewhere.

Long term /Monday night through Friday/
Medium range period will remain mild, courtesy of warm southerly
flow from lingering high pressure just offshore of the mid-atlantic
coast. Other main weather feature of note will be a rather
progressive mid-level shortwave traversing the western/central conus
late sat-Monday, before lifting e-ne across the mid-south toward the
local area on Tuesday. High end chance pop remains in place for
showers and sct t-storms. While the system will be weakening, given
decent instability and favorable diurnal timing, will continue
thunder wording for all but far NE zones (later timing). Shortwave
ridging behind the wave will bring slightly cooler, albeit still
mild, and drying wx Wed and thu. Forecast highs mainly in the 60s to
near 70 far north and along the immediate coast... 70s to near 80
west of the bay on Tuesday, 60s to mid 70s on Wednesday... With temps
trending back to around climo normal for the latter half of next
week. Next chance of rain comes by the end of the period late next
week in association with another weakening southern stream upper low
traversing the southern tier of the country. For now, rain chances
are re-introduced by late on thu/fri.

Aviation /12z Saturday through Wednesday/
Vfr conditions through the 12z TAF period. Ssw winds average
10-15 kt... Gusty to 20-25 kt early/mid this afternoon and
bkn/ovc ac-ci.

With weak sfc boundary pushing S to near sby tonight... Low prob
for ifr (in st and/or patchy fog) late tonight/early sun.

Otherwise... Isold- sct shras possible by late Sun into mon... W/
only brief periods of reduced aviation conditions possible
during times of precipitation.

Marine
High pressure is well offshore with a weak wedge left in the lee
of the appalachians. This feature should delay the onset of rain
until mid to late morning as a cold front continues to advance
on the area... Effectively outrunning (or getting ahead of) the
precipitation by late morning/early aftn. Weak troughing along
the coast will cause the pressure gradient to tighten INVOF the
cold front. Meanwhile, weak warm air advection will act to hamper
the development of stronger winds. Overall, winds become s-sw
10-15kt (up to 20kt NRN coastal waters) by early aftn; peaking
during the cold frontal passage. Seas build to 2-4ft; waves to
2ft. Little change to the airmass tonight behind the front as
warmer air stays in place with strengthening high pressure
building well north of the waters through Sun night. N winds
tonight through Sun AOB 15kt... Becoming ne-e and diminishing to
aob 10kt Sun night. Seas average 2-3ft; waves average 1-2ft.

Main high pressure slides over NRN new england/canadian maritimes
on mon. E-se AOB 10kt. Weak wedging remains in place in the lee
of the mts as a very strong low pressure system tracks into the
upper great lakes Mon and across ontario/quebec Mon night. The
pressure gradient tightens up late Mon night into Tue aftn ahead
of the front and S winds will increase to 15kt bay and 15-20kt
all coastal waters. Seas generally build to 3-4ft in this
timeframe (up to 5ft possible coastal waters north of parramore
island). Waves generally 2ft; occasionally up to 3ft. SCA flags
are not anticipated.

Akq watches/warnings/advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Alb/ess
near term... Alb
short term... Alb
long term... Mam
aviation... Alb/lsa
marine... Bmd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 1 mi40 min WSW 9.9 G 12 56°F 1026 hPa (+1.4)
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 6 mi40 min WSW 16 G 17 56°F 1026.3 hPa (+1.3)
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 6 mi40 min 49°F1025.8 hPa (+1.3)
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 7 mi40 min WSW 8.9 G 20 62°F 1025.8 hPa (+1.5)
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 15 mi40 min WSW 8 G 13 62°F 54°F1026.1 hPa (+1.4)
CBBV2 - 8638863 - Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA 17 mi40 min WSW 19 G 22 59°F 47°F1025.4 hPa (+1.7)
44072 18 mi30 min WSW 9.7 G 16 55°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 18 mi40 min WSW 11 G 17 61°F 48°F1024.9 hPa (+1.2)
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 20 mi40 min WSW 14 G 17 59°F 1024.6 hPa (+1.6)
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi40 min SW 12 G 19 61°F
44041 - Jamestown, VA 25 mi30 min WSW 14 G 19 60°F
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi40 min SW 8 G 11 46°F
44096 33 mi49 min 46°F2 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi70 min SW 1.9 60°F 1026 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 38 mi28 min 48°F2 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 42 mi30 min W 12 G 16 57°F 1025.2 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi40 min S 16 G 17 1025.4 hPa (+1.3)

Wind History for Dominion Terminal Associates, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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E4
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NE12
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G6

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA8 mi1.7 hrsSW 11 G 2010.00 miMostly Cloudy59°F48°F69%1026.2 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA9 mi1.7 hrsSW 1410.00 miFair59°F50°F75%1026.1 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi46 minWSW 1310.00 miFair61°F51°F70%1025.6 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA13 mi49 minSW 14 G 2110.00 miFair63°F51°F65%1025.7 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA15 mi1.7 hrsSW 710.00 miFair59°F49°F72%1025.4 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA22 mi65 minSW 10 G 1510.00 miFair60°F51°F75%1027.1 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA22 mi45 minSW 910.00 miFair60°F50°F71%1026.7 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA23 mi44 minWSW 16 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F50°F65%1026.1 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA24 mi65 minWSW 5 G 1610.00 miFair61°F51°F72%1026.1 hPa

Wind History from NGU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7SW8SW8
G14
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SW10SW14
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SW9SW9SW8SW13
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SW11--SW10SW12SW13
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1 day agoNE13NE10NE10NE10E65NE6NE7E6E5SE5SE5S5S6E3S5S5S6SE7S5S4S5S5S8
2 days agoN18
G24
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NE11N11NE14N16N12
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NE9NE10NE12NE12NE9NE11
G19
NE15
G21
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G19
NE13

Tide / Current Tables for Newport News, James River, Virginia
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Newport News
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Sat -- 01:58 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:35 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:17 AM EDT     2.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:29 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:33 PM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.30.10.30.71.422.52.72.72.31.710.50.10.10.511.72.32.62.62.31.8

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:04 AM EDT     -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:16 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:52 AM EDT     0.90 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:08 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:31 PM EDT     -1.32 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:47 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:15 PM EDT     0.85 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:28 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1-1.2-1.1-0.7-0.20.40.80.90.80.50.1-0.5-1-1.3-1.3-1-0.50.10.60.80.80.60.2-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.