Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bonny Doon, CA
May 14, 2024 1:12 PM PDT (20:12 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:58 AM Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 10:55 AM Moonset 12:49 AM |
PZZ560 Coastal Waters From Pigeon Point To Point Pinos California Out To 10 Nm- 858 Am Pdt Tue May 14 2024
Today - SW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 8 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy dense fog early this morning.
Tonight - W wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Wed - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Wed night - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 13 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds.
Thu - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 13 seconds and sw 3 ft at 19 seconds.
Thu night - SW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 13 seconds and sw 3 ft at 18 seconds.
Fri - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Fri night - SW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Sat - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft in the afternoon.
Sat night - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
PZZ500 858 Am Pdt Tue May 14 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
rough seas are abating today as the pressure gradient slackens and winds decrease. A moderate nw swell will continue to keep significant wave heights elevated and small craft advisories active in the far nw coastal zone. Otherwise, favorable conditions will persist into the weekend, with stronger nw winds expected next week.
rough seas are abating today as the pressure gradient slackens and winds decrease. A moderate nw swell will continue to keep significant wave heights elevated and small craft advisories active in the far nw coastal zone. Otherwise, favorable conditions will persist into the weekend, with stronger nw winds expected next week.
Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 141755 AFDMTR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1055 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
New AVIATION, MARINE
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1217 PM PDT Mon May 13 2024
Relatively quiet pattern persists through the forecast period with morning marine stratus and clear skies elsewhere. Inland temperatures warm into the 70s and 80s each afternoon with a persistent marine layer keeping coastal highs in the 60s.
UPDATE
Issued at 839 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
Satellite shows low clouds along the coast as well as in the valleys this morning. The marine layer currently remains deep (1,600-2,000 feet) this morning near Ft. Ord and some drizzle has been reported near the coast. Clouds should start to clear late morning, when diurnal heating starts to warm the surface. Comparing the last 24 hours, the temperatures appears to be relatively the same as yesterday morning. With no drastic pattern changes today, expect similar max temperatures today with low to mid 60s along the coast, and upper 70s to low 80s inland. No changes to the forecast, as conditions remain on track.
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1217 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
Low pressure aloft will migrate from SoCal into the Desert Southwest as an expansive high pressure ridge encompasses much of the northeast Pacific. Our area will remain on the eastern periphery of the upper ridge with minimal changes to our sensible weather. A relatively deep marine layer around 1.5-2 kft was evident via area profilers early this morning, with low stratus clouds spilling inland across most of the area. Expect the top of the marine layer inversion to remain relatively steady this morning before compressing slightly as high pressure gains a bit more influence.
However despite these modulations it's mostly a rinse and repeat forecast. Cloudy skies for the coast and marine influenced valleys overnight with a gradual clearing towards the beaches during the late morning to early afternoon hours. High temperatures will range from the 60s along the coast and bays to the upper 70s and 80s for the warmest inland locations. As mentioned in the previous discussion some of the model temperature guidance seems a touch too warm when compared to observations over the past few days, so followed the previous forecast philosophy of trending slightly cooler for readings in areas which are likely to see a stronger marine influence. Otherwise not much else to add with overnight lows remaining seasonal in the upper 40s and 50s.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1217 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
The upper level ridge will gain slight prominence through midweek, however we will remain along its periphery with a minimal increase in temperatures inland. Readings will range from the 60s along the coast to the upper 80s for the warmest inland valleys. A few hot spots may crack the 90 degree mark. Lows will be mostly in the 50s.
The daily ebb and flow of coastal clouds will continue, with coverage spreading inland each night with a gradual retreat towards the coast by afternoon. The upper level pattern may transition more towards troughing by early next week but dry weather still looks to be the most probable forecast outcome.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1042 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
The stratus extent was very similar to yesterday. Not surprisingly, the burn off time has also been pretty close to yesterday, with most sites either back to VFR or well on their way within the hour. Some strong onshore winds will develop this afternoon before stratus returns overnight.
Vicinity of SFO...The stratus has cleared from SFO, SJC, and OAK.
Onshore winds will develop early this afternoon and persist through the evening. The models have been underperforming with the sea breeze lately and the TAFs are a few knots higher this afternoon as a result. Stratus will return overnight with similar ceilings expected as weak low pressure aloft maintains a fairly deep marine layer.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...MRY and SNS are still dealing with IFR stratus this morning. The skies are expected to clear by 19 UTC.
The VFR window will only last for about 8 hours before the low clouds make an early return this evening. According to GFSLAMP probabilities, MRY has a 50% chance of regaining an IRF ceiling as early as 02Z. The visibility may briefly drop as well, but some gentle winds overnight may help prevent that.
MARINE
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1042 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
Rough seas are abating today as the pressure gradient slackens and winds decrease. A moderate NW swell will continue to keep significant wave heights elevated and small craft advisories active in the far NW coastal zone. Otherwise, favorable conditions will persist into the weekend, with stronger NW winds expected next week.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1055 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
New AVIATION, MARINE
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1217 PM PDT Mon May 13 2024
Relatively quiet pattern persists through the forecast period with morning marine stratus and clear skies elsewhere. Inland temperatures warm into the 70s and 80s each afternoon with a persistent marine layer keeping coastal highs in the 60s.
UPDATE
Issued at 839 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
Satellite shows low clouds along the coast as well as in the valleys this morning. The marine layer currently remains deep (1,600-2,000 feet) this morning near Ft. Ord and some drizzle has been reported near the coast. Clouds should start to clear late morning, when diurnal heating starts to warm the surface. Comparing the last 24 hours, the temperatures appears to be relatively the same as yesterday morning. With no drastic pattern changes today, expect similar max temperatures today with low to mid 60s along the coast, and upper 70s to low 80s inland. No changes to the forecast, as conditions remain on track.
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1217 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
Low pressure aloft will migrate from SoCal into the Desert Southwest as an expansive high pressure ridge encompasses much of the northeast Pacific. Our area will remain on the eastern periphery of the upper ridge with minimal changes to our sensible weather. A relatively deep marine layer around 1.5-2 kft was evident via area profilers early this morning, with low stratus clouds spilling inland across most of the area. Expect the top of the marine layer inversion to remain relatively steady this morning before compressing slightly as high pressure gains a bit more influence.
However despite these modulations it's mostly a rinse and repeat forecast. Cloudy skies for the coast and marine influenced valleys overnight with a gradual clearing towards the beaches during the late morning to early afternoon hours. High temperatures will range from the 60s along the coast and bays to the upper 70s and 80s for the warmest inland locations. As mentioned in the previous discussion some of the model temperature guidance seems a touch too warm when compared to observations over the past few days, so followed the previous forecast philosophy of trending slightly cooler for readings in areas which are likely to see a stronger marine influence. Otherwise not much else to add with overnight lows remaining seasonal in the upper 40s and 50s.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1217 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
The upper level ridge will gain slight prominence through midweek, however we will remain along its periphery with a minimal increase in temperatures inland. Readings will range from the 60s along the coast to the upper 80s for the warmest inland valleys. A few hot spots may crack the 90 degree mark. Lows will be mostly in the 50s.
The daily ebb and flow of coastal clouds will continue, with coverage spreading inland each night with a gradual retreat towards the coast by afternoon. The upper level pattern may transition more towards troughing by early next week but dry weather still looks to be the most probable forecast outcome.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1042 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
The stratus extent was very similar to yesterday. Not surprisingly, the burn off time has also been pretty close to yesterday, with most sites either back to VFR or well on their way within the hour. Some strong onshore winds will develop this afternoon before stratus returns overnight.
Vicinity of SFO...The stratus has cleared from SFO, SJC, and OAK.
Onshore winds will develop early this afternoon and persist through the evening. The models have been underperforming with the sea breeze lately and the TAFs are a few knots higher this afternoon as a result. Stratus will return overnight with similar ceilings expected as weak low pressure aloft maintains a fairly deep marine layer.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...MRY and SNS are still dealing with IFR stratus this morning. The skies are expected to clear by 19 UTC.
The VFR window will only last for about 8 hours before the low clouds make an early return this evening. According to GFSLAMP probabilities, MRY has a 50% chance of regaining an IRF ceiling as early as 02Z. The visibility may briefly drop as well, but some gentle winds overnight may help prevent that.
MARINE
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1042 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024
Rough seas are abating today as the pressure gradient slackens and winds decrease. A moderate NW swell will continue to keep significant wave heights elevated and small craft advisories active in the far NW coastal zone. Otherwise, favorable conditions will persist into the weekend, with stronger NW winds expected next week.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 46092 - MBM1 | 18 mi | 78 min | W 3.9 | 52°F | 53°F | 29.99 | ||
| 46279 | 19 mi | 46 min | 52°F | 56°F | 2 ft | |||
| MLSC1 - Moss Landing, South Harbor, CA | 22 mi | 42 min | 50°F | |||||
| ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA | 24 mi | 87 min | WNW 5.1 | 55°F | 29.95 | 51°F | ||
| 46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) | 28 mi | 76 min | 56°F | 3 ft | ||||
| MEYC1 | 30 mi | 96 min | 56°F | 29.96 | ||||
| RTYC1 - 9414523 - Redwood City, CA | 35 mi | 54 min | N 5.1G | 62°F | 68°F | 29.92 | ||
| 1801583 | 46 mi | 102 min | W 5.2G | 51°F | 54°F | 8 ft | 29.98 | 49°F |
| 46239 - Point Sur, CA (157) | 46 mi | 42 min | 52°F | 53°F | 8 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KWVI WATSONVILLE MUNI,CA | 18 sm | 19 min | SW 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 57°F | 52°F | 82% | 29.95 |
Santa Cruz
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:48 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:54 AM PDT 4.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:00 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:30 AM PDT 0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:54 AM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:45 PM PDT 4.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:43 PM PDT 2.90 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:48 AM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:54 AM PDT 4.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:00 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:30 AM PDT 0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:54 AM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:45 PM PDT 4.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:43 PM PDT 2.90 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Santa Cruz, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.5 |
| 1 am |
| 3.9 |
| 2 am |
| 4.2 |
| 3 am |
| 4.3 |
| 4 am |
| 4.1 |
| 5 am |
| 3.6 |
| 6 am |
| 2.8 |
| 7 am |
| 1.9 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.1 |
| 11 am |
| 0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 3 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Santa Cruz, Monterey Bay, California (sub), Tide feet
San Francisco Bay Area, CA,
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