Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shaver Lake, CA
May 3, 2024 9:34 PM PDT (04:34 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:59 AM Sunset 7:50 PM Moonrise 3:33 AM Moonset 2:56 PM |
Area Discussion for - San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
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FXUS66 KHNX 032230 AFDHNX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 330 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024
KEY MESSAGES
1. The ongoing warming trend will continue today with daytime highs rising to 4 to 7 degrees above normal.
2. The Winter Weather Advisory has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning due to an increase in expected snowfall, with 5 to 10 inches of snow expected above 5,000 feet and 12 to 18 inches above 7,000 feet. The highest elevations above 9,000 feet are expected to see 1 to 2 feet of snow.
3. High temperatures are forecast to cool to around 10 to 15 degrees below normal by Sunday.
4. Dry weather and a warming trend will take place Monday through Friday.
DISCUSSION
A small ridge set up over California will lead to the continuation of the warming trend that has lasted throughout the week, with highs today 4 to 7 degrees above normal. This will come to an end as a late season storm system is expected to impact Central California tomorrow. A trough aloft is expected to drop down south and bring with it a low pressure system with a strong cold front that will sweep through the area. This will lead to periods of light to moderate rainfall for the valley and the Sierra Nevada foothills, and heavy snow for the Sierra Nevada mountains above 5,000 feet. Travel will be very difficult in these areas beginning Saturday morning.
The Winter Weather Advisory for the Sierra Nevada has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning due to the increase in expected snowfall. It will be valid from 11 AM Saturday through 8 AM Sunday. Total snowfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches are expected above 5,000 feet and 12 to 18 inches are expected above 7,000 feet. The highest elevations, above 9,000 feet, are expected to see 1 to 2 feet.
The cold front will come through Saturday morning, which will lead to afternoon highs that day and Sunday to drop to 10 to 15 degrees below seasonal norms. The system will exit the area by early Sunday morning, with ridge-building beginning right after.
This ridge will lead to dry weather and a warming trend for the next week, leading to temperatures by next Friday increasing into around 7 to 10 degrees above seasonal norms. Long term ensemble models show the ridge will continue to sit over the western portion of the CONUS through next weekend and into the following week.
AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail across the central CA interior for at least the next 24 hours.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ISSUED: 05/02/2024 15:17 EXPIRES: 05/03/2024 23:59 None.
CERTAINTY
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low
medium
and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Winter Storm Warning above 5000 feet from 11 AM Saturday to 8 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ323-326.
Winter Storm Warning above 5000 feet from 2 PM Saturday to 8 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ327>330.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 330 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024
KEY MESSAGES
1. The ongoing warming trend will continue today with daytime highs rising to 4 to 7 degrees above normal.
2. The Winter Weather Advisory has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning due to an increase in expected snowfall, with 5 to 10 inches of snow expected above 5,000 feet and 12 to 18 inches above 7,000 feet. The highest elevations above 9,000 feet are expected to see 1 to 2 feet of snow.
3. High temperatures are forecast to cool to around 10 to 15 degrees below normal by Sunday.
4. Dry weather and a warming trend will take place Monday through Friday.
DISCUSSION
A small ridge set up over California will lead to the continuation of the warming trend that has lasted throughout the week, with highs today 4 to 7 degrees above normal. This will come to an end as a late season storm system is expected to impact Central California tomorrow. A trough aloft is expected to drop down south and bring with it a low pressure system with a strong cold front that will sweep through the area. This will lead to periods of light to moderate rainfall for the valley and the Sierra Nevada foothills, and heavy snow for the Sierra Nevada mountains above 5,000 feet. Travel will be very difficult in these areas beginning Saturday morning.
The Winter Weather Advisory for the Sierra Nevada has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning due to the increase in expected snowfall. It will be valid from 11 AM Saturday through 8 AM Sunday. Total snowfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches are expected above 5,000 feet and 12 to 18 inches are expected above 7,000 feet. The highest elevations, above 9,000 feet, are expected to see 1 to 2 feet.
The cold front will come through Saturday morning, which will lead to afternoon highs that day and Sunday to drop to 10 to 15 degrees below seasonal norms. The system will exit the area by early Sunday morning, with ridge-building beginning right after.
This ridge will lead to dry weather and a warming trend for the next week, leading to temperatures by next Friday increasing into around 7 to 10 degrees above seasonal norms. Long term ensemble models show the ridge will continue to sit over the western portion of the CONUS through next weekend and into the following week.
AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail across the central CA interior for at least the next 24 hours.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ISSUED: 05/02/2024 15:17 EXPIRES: 05/03/2024 23:59 None.
CERTAINTY
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is medium.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low
medium
and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Winter Storm Warning above 5000 feet from 11 AM Saturday to 8 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ323-326.
Winter Storm Warning above 5000 feet from 2 PM Saturday to 8 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ327>330.
Airport Reports
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San Joaquin Valley, CA,
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