Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Santa Nella, CA
May 7, 2024 12:11 AM PDT (07:11 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:00 AM Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 4:33 AM Moonset 6:59 PM |
PZZ535 Monterey Bay- 834 Pm Pdt Mon May 6 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening - .
.small craft advisory in effect from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening - .
Today - N winds around 5 knots, becoming W 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots this afternoon. Wind waves around 2 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 11 seconds and W up to 2 ft at 19 seconds.
Tonight - NW winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 11 seconds and sw around 2 ft at 20 seconds.
Tue - NW winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 14 seconds and sw up to 2 ft at 19 seconds.
Tue night - NW winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 13 seconds and sw up to 2 ft at 18 seconds.
Wed - NW winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. W swell 6 to 8 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 to 3 ft at 17 seconds.
Wed night - NW winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 6 to 8 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 to 3 ft at 15 seconds.
Thu - NE winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft and sw 2 to 3 ft.
Fri - NW winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft and sw up to 2 ft.
locally lower winds and seas across sheltered portions of the bay.
locally lower winds and seas across sheltered portions of the bay.
PZZ500 834 Pm Pdt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
dry weather to continue through next weekend. West to northwesterly winds will gradually transition northerly overnight tonight into Tuesday. As the high pressure system continues to build and move eastward, winds will strengthen starting Tuesday with gale force gusts Tuesday night through Wednesday night with the strongest gusts located along the big sur coast and northern outer coastal waters. Significant wave heights will build to heights to 15 to 16 feet by mid-week. Conditions will be extremely hazardous for all but the largest vessels Tuesday and Wednesday and extreme caution should be exercised during this time.
dry weather to continue through next weekend. West to northwesterly winds will gradually transition northerly overnight tonight into Tuesday. As the high pressure system continues to build and move eastward, winds will strengthen starting Tuesday with gale force gusts Tuesday night through Wednesday night with the strongest gusts located along the big sur coast and northern outer coastal waters. Significant wave heights will build to heights to 15 to 16 feet by mid-week. Conditions will be extremely hazardous for all but the largest vessels Tuesday and Wednesday and extreme caution should be exercised during this time.
Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 070600 AFDMTR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1100 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 124 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
Seasonal temperatures to start the week with above normal temps expected by Wednesday onward. Warm to end the week with minor Heat Risk.
UPDATE
Issued at 909 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
Other than a few tweaks to the sky grids, the short term forecast is in good shape. Nighttime GOES imagery reveals that marine stratus has crept into western portions of the Bay Area and will gradually invade parts of the East Bay, Santa Clara Valley, Salinas Valley and Monterey Bay areas. The 00 UTC High Resolution Rapid Refresh and a blend of other short-term guidance has captured the evolution quite well and sky grids were updated to account for these trends. VWP and data from our evening sounding does suggest some potential for interior fog development across San Benito County, but I anticipate this to be confined to the most sheltered locations as 925mb winds still appear a bit elevated (10-15 knots) to prevent the PBL from decoupling completely. If winds are lighter than forecast, then the fog potential will increase substantially.
There are signals (40-60% probabilities of visibility below 1 mile) of a greater fog threat across marine zones adjacent to the Santa Cruz County and Monterey County shorelines this evening and the forecast mentions this in the worded products. The chance for fog across the land areas (e.g. SF Peninsula) diminish, though remain around 20%...so we'll have to monitor overnight. At this time, low level flow (again around 10-15 knots) should favor more in the way of low stratus than reduced visibility.
Otherwise, this week is shaping up to be rain-free, but warm.
We'll have more details on the late week heat later tonight/early Tuesday morning.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 124 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
Another mostly clear day across the area with some high clouds streaming through and some shallow cumulus over terrain in a few of the coastal ranges. Similar to days previous, sufficient mid- level stability will prevent anything interesting from happening with the cumulus. Coming off of a chilly morning today, temperatures will be near seasonal averages the next couple of days, warming gradually. Really not much else to talk about in the short term, as it look like a very pleasant couple of days with little weather risk.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 124 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
By Wednesday, high temps will be above average with afternoon highs nearing 80 for inland areas. This trend will continue into the weekend. Thursday and Friday look to be the warmest days where inland locations could see their first 90 degrees of the year.
Most other will see temps in the 80s, while coastal locations will be in the 70s. A bit of uncertainty in regard to the high temp forecast for areas near the coast and bay shoreline, including San Francisco. It appears we'll have a moderate push of offshore winds for inland areas late Wednesday into Thursday morning. We aren't expecting these onshore winds to completely erode the marine layer like some strong events we see in the fall, but they could prove to make Thursday's high temp forecast difficult, especially for SF and the east and north bay shorelines. Current forecast for these areas Thursday is the upper 70s to lower 80s, but these temps may need to be nudged upwards in the event we expect the offshore component to last longer into Thursday. In regard to the offshore winds, it appears to be a fairly short event (<1 day), and any drying that occurs is not expected to reach critical levels.
Inland areas will see very limited RH recovery going into Thursday, but should bounce back by Friday morning and into the weekend as winds return to onshore. Guidance brings temps down slightly into the weekend, but still above normal. All in all should be a very nice second half of the week for everyone. That being said, folks should still exercise caution when enjoying time outdoors as this swing from below normal to above normal temperatures can catch people off guard. Plan to pack some extra water and sun protection if you're planning to spend time outdoors. And the most important preparation if you're going to the coast or relaxing poolside...SUNSCREEN!!!
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1059 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
In the overnight hours tonight and into Tuesday morning, low clouds will bring MVFR/IFR conditions to a select few terminals, but otherwise widespread VFR is expected. Onshore winds continue to ease at this hour and will do so throughout the night. Terminals around the greater SF Bay will see low clouds intermittently bringing MVFR conditions, however, this is expected to cease towards sunrise, with VFR conditions returning as clouds mix out. Further south towards Monterey Bay, IFR CIGs are expected to develop and last through sunrise. Northwest winds increase in the afternoon Tuesday to become moderate once more, gusting to around 20-25 knots for terminals near coastal gaps.
Vicinity of SFO...Intermittent MVFR conditions are expected as low clouds persist around the terminal. Have included a TEMPO in the TAF to reflect the intermittent nature of MVFR CIGs tonight.
Otherwise, VFR is expected to return Tuesday morning right around sunrise, to perhaps just beyond. VFR then lasts through the remainder of the TAF period with gusty NW winds building in the afternoon and lasting through the early evening of Tuesday.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...MVFR/IFR conditions last through sunrise as low clouds build around the terminal, but clear to become VFR shortly after. VFR lasts through the remainder of the TAF period.
Breezy northwest winds expected in the afternoon of Tuesday once more, then easing into the evening to become light.
MARINE
(Tonight through next Sunday)
Issued at 909 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
Dry weather to continue through next weekend. West to northwesterly winds will gradually transition northerly overnight tonight into Tuesday. As the high pressure system continues to build and move eastward, winds will strengthen starting Tuesday with gale force gusts Tuesday night through Wednesday night with the strongest gusts located along the Big Sur Coast and northern outer coastal waters. Significant wave heights will build to heights to 15 to 16 feet by mid-week. Conditions will be extremely hazardous for all but the largest vessels Tuesday and Wednesday and extreme caution should be exercised during this time.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM PDT Tuesday for Mry Bay.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 3 AM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 3 PM PDT Tuesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
Gale Warning from 3 PM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1100 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 124 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
Seasonal temperatures to start the week with above normal temps expected by Wednesday onward. Warm to end the week with minor Heat Risk.
UPDATE
Issued at 909 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
Other than a few tweaks to the sky grids, the short term forecast is in good shape. Nighttime GOES imagery reveals that marine stratus has crept into western portions of the Bay Area and will gradually invade parts of the East Bay, Santa Clara Valley, Salinas Valley and Monterey Bay areas. The 00 UTC High Resolution Rapid Refresh and a blend of other short-term guidance has captured the evolution quite well and sky grids were updated to account for these trends. VWP and data from our evening sounding does suggest some potential for interior fog development across San Benito County, but I anticipate this to be confined to the most sheltered locations as 925mb winds still appear a bit elevated (10-15 knots) to prevent the PBL from decoupling completely. If winds are lighter than forecast, then the fog potential will increase substantially.
There are signals (40-60% probabilities of visibility below 1 mile) of a greater fog threat across marine zones adjacent to the Santa Cruz County and Monterey County shorelines this evening and the forecast mentions this in the worded products. The chance for fog across the land areas (e.g. SF Peninsula) diminish, though remain around 20%...so we'll have to monitor overnight. At this time, low level flow (again around 10-15 knots) should favor more in the way of low stratus than reduced visibility.
Otherwise, this week is shaping up to be rain-free, but warm.
We'll have more details on the late week heat later tonight/early Tuesday morning.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 124 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
Another mostly clear day across the area with some high clouds streaming through and some shallow cumulus over terrain in a few of the coastal ranges. Similar to days previous, sufficient mid- level stability will prevent anything interesting from happening with the cumulus. Coming off of a chilly morning today, temperatures will be near seasonal averages the next couple of days, warming gradually. Really not much else to talk about in the short term, as it look like a very pleasant couple of days with little weather risk.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 124 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
By Wednesday, high temps will be above average with afternoon highs nearing 80 for inland areas. This trend will continue into the weekend. Thursday and Friday look to be the warmest days where inland locations could see their first 90 degrees of the year.
Most other will see temps in the 80s, while coastal locations will be in the 70s. A bit of uncertainty in regard to the high temp forecast for areas near the coast and bay shoreline, including San Francisco. It appears we'll have a moderate push of offshore winds for inland areas late Wednesday into Thursday morning. We aren't expecting these onshore winds to completely erode the marine layer like some strong events we see in the fall, but they could prove to make Thursday's high temp forecast difficult, especially for SF and the east and north bay shorelines. Current forecast for these areas Thursday is the upper 70s to lower 80s, but these temps may need to be nudged upwards in the event we expect the offshore component to last longer into Thursday. In regard to the offshore winds, it appears to be a fairly short event (<1 day), and any drying that occurs is not expected to reach critical levels.
Inland areas will see very limited RH recovery going into Thursday, but should bounce back by Friday morning and into the weekend as winds return to onshore. Guidance brings temps down slightly into the weekend, but still above normal. All in all should be a very nice second half of the week for everyone. That being said, folks should still exercise caution when enjoying time outdoors as this swing from below normal to above normal temperatures can catch people off guard. Plan to pack some extra water and sun protection if you're planning to spend time outdoors. And the most important preparation if you're going to the coast or relaxing poolside...SUNSCREEN!!!
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1059 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
In the overnight hours tonight and into Tuesday morning, low clouds will bring MVFR/IFR conditions to a select few terminals, but otherwise widespread VFR is expected. Onshore winds continue to ease at this hour and will do so throughout the night. Terminals around the greater SF Bay will see low clouds intermittently bringing MVFR conditions, however, this is expected to cease towards sunrise, with VFR conditions returning as clouds mix out. Further south towards Monterey Bay, IFR CIGs are expected to develop and last through sunrise. Northwest winds increase in the afternoon Tuesday to become moderate once more, gusting to around 20-25 knots for terminals near coastal gaps.
Vicinity of SFO...Intermittent MVFR conditions are expected as low clouds persist around the terminal. Have included a TEMPO in the TAF to reflect the intermittent nature of MVFR CIGs tonight.
Otherwise, VFR is expected to return Tuesday morning right around sunrise, to perhaps just beyond. VFR then lasts through the remainder of the TAF period with gusty NW winds building in the afternoon and lasting through the early evening of Tuesday.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...MVFR/IFR conditions last through sunrise as low clouds build around the terminal, but clear to become VFR shortly after. VFR lasts through the remainder of the TAF period.
Breezy northwest winds expected in the afternoon of Tuesday once more, then easing into the evening to become light.
MARINE
(Tonight through next Sunday)
Issued at 909 PM PDT Mon May 6 2024
Dry weather to continue through next weekend. West to northwesterly winds will gradually transition northerly overnight tonight into Tuesday. As the high pressure system continues to build and move eastward, winds will strengthen starting Tuesday with gale force gusts Tuesday night through Wednesday night with the strongest gusts located along the Big Sur Coast and northern outer coastal waters. Significant wave heights will build to heights to 15 to 16 feet by mid-week. Conditions will be extremely hazardous for all but the largest vessels Tuesday and Wednesday and extreme caution should be exercised during this time.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM PDT Tuesday for Mry Bay.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 3 AM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 3 PM PDT Tuesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
Gale Warning from 3 PM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA | 47 mi | 86 min | SSE 1 | 51°F | 30.09 | 48°F | ||
| MLSC1 - Moss Landing, South Harbor, CA | 50 mi | 41 min | 52°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
No data
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Kirby Park
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:56 AM PDT -1.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:37 AM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:05 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:44 AM PDT 4.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:38 PM PDT 1.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:24 PM PDT New Moon
Tue -- 10:54 PM PDT 6.15 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:56 AM PDT -1.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:37 AM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:05 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:44 AM PDT 4.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:38 PM PDT 1.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:24 PM PDT New Moon
Tue -- 10:54 PM PDT 6.15 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kirby Park, Elkhorn Slough, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 5 |
| 1 am |
| 3.5 |
| 2 am |
| 1.8 |
| 3 am |
| 0.2 |
| 4 am |
| -0.9 |
| 5 am |
| -1.2 |
| 6 am |
| -0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 1.2 |
| 9 am |
| 2.4 |
| 10 am |
| 3.5 |
| 11 am |
| 4.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 4 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 3 |
| 8 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 5.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 5.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 6.1 |
Elkhorn Slough railroad bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:56 AM PDT -1.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:37 AM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:05 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:51 AM PDT 4.42 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:38 PM PDT 1.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:24 PM PDT New Moon
Tue -- 11:01 PM PDT 6.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:56 AM PDT -1.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:37 AM PDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:05 AM PDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:51 AM PDT 4.42 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:38 PM PDT 1.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM PDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:24 PM PDT New Moon
Tue -- 11:01 PM PDT 6.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Elkhorn Slough railroad bridge, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 5 |
| 1 am |
| 3.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.3 |
| 4 am |
| -0.7 |
| 5 am |
| -1 |
| 6 am |
| -0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 1.2 |
| 9 am |
| 2.4 |
| 10 am |
| 3.5 |
| 11 am |
| 4.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 4 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 4 |
| 9 pm |
| 5 |
| 10 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 6 |
San Francisco Bay Area, CA,
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