Tuesday, March19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Olmsted, IL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 7:09PM Tuesday March 19, 2019 2:55 AM CDT (07:55 UTC) Moonrise 5:42PMMoonset 6:24AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Olmsted, IL
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location: 37.18, -89.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Paducah, KY
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Fxus63 kpah 190708
afdpah
area forecast discussion
national weather service paducah ky
208 am cdt Tue mar 19 2019

Short term (today through Thursday night)
issued at 208 am cdt Tue mar 19 2019
latest surface map indicates high pressure centered over the ohio
river valley with a surface low over southeastern colorado. Aside
from some high clouds streaming in from the west, it was a quiet
night across the area. This quiet weather should continue today,
as we remain on the western edge of the aformentioned surface
high.

Meanwhile, the surface low in southeast colorado will move
northeast across kansas during the day today. We will likely see
an increase in cloud over portions of the area, as plenty of
mid high clouds are seen upstream. However, we should stay dry as
a cold front associated with the surface low reaches the central
plains by 00z Wednesday. We will see some decent warm air
advection at 850mb which should help boost temperatures into the
mid to upper 50s despite the increase in cloud cover. In fact,
some of the latest guidance suggests 60 degrees is attainable in
some locations.

By tonight, the front will move into western and central parts of
missouri. A few showers may sneak into far northwestern and or
western parts of the CWA prior to 12z, but the bulk of the
precipitation is progged to stay just to our west. During the day on
Wednesday, the front will traverse west to east across the area,
bringing our next chance for rain. During the morning hours, most of
the rain will impact southeast mo, southern il and parts of
southwest in and far west ky. The eastern half of the area will then
see the best chance for rain during the afternoon hours. Qpf
continues to look rather light and generally be a quarter inch or
less at any one given location. Models continue to differ though on
exact amounts, but at least this event appears to bring only
minimal rainfall amounts. Temperatures should hold in the 50s for
highs on Wednesday. In addition, winds could become gusty out of
the southwest ahead of the fropa. Still does not look like much in
the way of thunderstorms for this event as parameters point to
mainly rain.

Lingering rain showers will likely be impacting the eastern half of
the area (southwest in west ky mainly from the lakes eastward)
during the evening hours on Wednesday. Most model solutions agree
that most areas should be dry after 06z Thursday after a
secondary upper trough cold front pushes through.

Dry weather is forecast for Thursday as high pressure builds in.

Clouds will be on the decrease, but it will be rather breezy day
before the gradient relaxes later on, as the center of the high
moves into the south central plains by Thursday night.

Long term (Friday through Monday)
issued at 208 am cdt Tue mar 19 2019
the main forecast concern in the long term is the potential for
showers late in the weekend and early next week. Confidence in the
forecast is higher than average throughout, but decreases some by
early next week with some differences in timing among models.

Dry weather will start off the long term period with a ridge of high
pressure both at the surface and aloft positioned from the northern
plains and upper midwest south through the mississippi river valley
to the gulf coast. This ridge will shift slowly east through the end
of the week, keeping dry conditions in place through at least
Saturday.

As early as Saturday night and especially by Sunday, upper level
energy will begin to stream east from the plains as an area of low
pressure approaches. The combined increase in moisture and forcing
for ascent will result in a chance for showers on Sunday and Monday.

At this time, the best chance for rain appears to be focused around
Monday as the low passes near or just south of the region. The
chance on Sunday is lower, partly due to differences in model
timing. While the GFS and ECMWF are faster with the onset of rain,
the slower cmc holds off any substantial rain until late Sunday
night and Monday.

At this time, forecast rainfall amounts of generally a half inch or
less do not appear to be enough to cause concern for flooding. Also,
the potential for severe weather appears to be low given the low's
track near or south of the region and overall limited instability.

There is, however, some potential for thunder, especially by Monday.

If that persists in later model runs, later shifts may need to
consider adding thunder for Monday.

Temperatures will gradually rise from near to slightly above normal
through the period. Highs should range from around 60 to the lower
60s. Lows are forecast to rise from the upper 30s Friday night into
the 40s through the weekend and into early next week.

Aviation
Issued at 208 am cdt Tue mar 19 2019
the tafs areVFR with light winds through the period. Cirrus will
overspread the region overnight, and then lower to the mid-levels
late Tuesday afternoon and into the evening.

Pah watches warnings advisories
Il... None.

Mo... None.

In... None.

Ky... None.

Short term... Cw
long term... Rjp
aviation... Drs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cairo Regional Airport, IL11 mi61 minN 010.00 miFair39°F32°F75%1028.8 hPa
Metropolis Municipal Airport, IL17 mi81 minN 010.00 miFair33°F26°F74%1029.1 hPa
Paducah, Barkley Regional Airport, KY18 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair35°F25°F67%1028.8 hPa

Wind History from CIR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3CalmN4CalmN3N5NE3E3E3E6CalmSW4S6SW4SW3E5E4E3CalmCalmE4CalmE3Calm
1 day agoS4S3S4S4S3SW6SW5SW5SW6SW6W6W13W9N10N5N9N5N5NE6N5CalmN3CalmN4
2 days agoCalmW3W4CalmCalmNW3N7N6NE3NW7W7SW7SW8W7NW6N7N3CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Paducah, KY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Paducah, KY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.