Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Scotland, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:19PM Monday May 29, 2017 1:08 PM EDT (17:08 UTC) Moonrise 8:53AMMoonset 11:12PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ637 James River From Jamestown To The James River Bridge- 1252 Pm Edt Mon May 29 2017
This afternoon..W winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. Isolated showers and tstms late.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A slight chance of showers and tstms early in the evening. A chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Tue..E winds 5 kt...becoming S in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning...then a slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw late. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..NW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1252 Pm Edt Mon May 29 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front approaches from the northwest on memorial day and stalls near the coast into Tuesday. A stronger cold front pushes across the waters Wednesday night. High pressure builds over the region then moves off the coast Thursday into Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Scotland, VA
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location: 37.21, -76.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 291439
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1039 am edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
A cold front approaches from the northwest this memorial day
and stalls north of the region Tuesday into Wednesday.

Meanwhile, weak low pressure tracks across north carolina
tonight and off the outer banks Tuesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Latest surface analysis places weak low pressure now well off
the DELMARVA coast, with associated sfc warm front lifting
across central va at midday. To the west, a slow moving cold
front crossing the central appalachians from the mid-south ohio
valley.

Stratus fog has largely eroded with arrival of drier air
from the w-sw, bringing a partly to mostly sunny late
morning early afternoon for most of the area, with decreasing
cloudiness across the md eastern shore over the next few hours.

Forecast highs today still look good... And range mainly in the
mid upper 80s for central SRN SE va and NE nc. Temperatures will
be lower over the ERN shore where stratus will be slower to
erode, with highs generally in the mid 70s to near 80, and only
upper 60s to around 70 for the md beaches.

Still little support among hi-res cams for widespread
showers t-storms during the day today. However, some isolated
pulse-type convection remains possible in association with
sea bay-breeze initiating over the ERN shore and WRN shore of
the bay by early afternoon, and therefore have a 20% pop along
and east of i-95 for the mid to late aftn hours. Sky cover
averages partly to mostly sunny early, with increasing clouds
late. Bumped up cloud cover over the south in anticipation of
some convective debris clouds getting shunted in our direction
by late afternoon in w-sw flow.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday
Lull in precipitation early in the evening. However, expect
showers to re-develop by mid to late evening, owing to low
pressure lifting across central nc toward SE va NE nc
w associated shortwave energy pushing across the southern third
of the area within wsw flow aloft. Forecast pops area generally
20-40% across SRN SE va nc nc, with thunder maintained
overnight due to the presence of some mid- level instability.

Partly to mostly cloudy with lows ranging through the 60s.

00z 29 guidance continues to show that the cold front becomes
aligned parallel to wsw flow aloft Tuesday, stalling immediately
n of the region and perhaps pushing into the md ERN shore.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned weak surface low pushes off the
outer banks Tuesday morning. The chc for aftn evening
showers tstms will diminish Tuesday, though will continue with
20-40% pops in far SRN and SE va NE nc, and 20-30% for the nrn
neck ERN shore. Highs Tuesday range from the mid 70s to around
80 at the coast to the mid 80s inland, after morning lows
ranging through the 60s.

There will be little change in conditions Tuesday night into
Wednesday. An upper level trough will sharpen over the great
lakes Wednesday, but there is a lack of any trigger for
convective development Wednesday aftn. Lows Tuesday night range
through the 60s, followed by highs Wednesday in the upper
70s around 80 at the coast to the mid 80s inland.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
The long term period beginning Wednesday night will start off mainly
dry with high pressure over the mid atlantic states Thursday. The
high will merge with the bermuda high pressure ridge. This will
promote a slight warming trend and an increase of moisture. A
frontal boundary will settle over northern portions of the mid
atlantic states and help to trigger scattered mainly afternoon and
evening thunderstorms over the region.

High temperatures will range from 80 to 85 but slightly cooler at
the beaches. Lows of 60 to 65 Thursday and Friday mornings warm to
the mid to upper 60s Saturday and Sunday mornings.

Aviation 14z Monday through Friday
The current analysis shows low pressure off the DELMARVA coast,
with a weak ridge of surface high pressure over the piedmont.

Stratus and fog developed across much of the area overnight, but
conditions should improve from sw-ne as drier conditions arrive
from the wsw as low pressure departs to the NE today. Ifr
conditions will likely persist the longest at sby, until ~16z,
with the other terminals improving by 14z. There is a slight
chc of mainly sea bay- breeze showers tstms this aftn. Low
pressure tracks off the nc outer banks later tonight into
Tuesday bringing a chc of showers and embedded tstms to SE va ne
nc. Mainly dry conditions are then expected to prevail
Wednesday through Friday. Patchy fog or stratus is possible each
morning within a few hours of sunrise.

Marine
Latest surface analysis centers weak low pressure just offshore
the delmarva, with a frontal boundary stretching along the
coast and into northeast north carolina. Winds are generally
northwest to west at 5-15 knots. Seas average 2-3 feet and waves
1 foot. Low pressure pushes farther offshore today as the north
carolina front lifts northward. A weakening cold front
approaches from the west. Light flow persists through the
afternoon, becoming onshore and increasing to 10-15 knots this
evening tonight as the front reaches the coast. Seas build to
2-4 feet (highest northern coastal waters) tonight. Waves 1-2
feet. The front stalls washes out along the coast Tuesday as
another weakening front approaches from the west. Winds
generally south of the south at 5-10 knots. The front pushes
just offshore late Tuesday night as flow becomes west to
northwest at 10-15 knots. Seas 2-3 feet. Another cold front
approaches from the west Wednesday, crossing the waters
Wednesday night. Weak cold advection behind the front results in
continued sub-sca conditions. High pressure builds over the
waters for the end of the work week.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajz alb
near term... Ajz mam
short term... Ajz alb
long term... Lsa
aviation... Ajz
marine... Sam


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44041 - Jamestown, VA 1 mi38 min NW 5.8 G 5.8 76°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 15 mi98 min NNE 1 75°F 1014 hPa68°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 17 mi50 min NW 2.9 G 5.1 75°F 70°F1013 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 24 mi50 min E 4.1 G 4.1 74°F 1012.7 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 26 mi50 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 76°F 1013.3 hPa
44072 28 mi38 min Calm G 1.9 71°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 30 mi50 min SW 2.9 G 4.1 75°F 1013.3 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 31 mi50 min 71°F1013.5 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 33 mi50 min NNE 6 G 8 74°F 1013 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 38 mi38 min E 5.8 G 7.8 71°F 1013.6 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 39 mi50 min NW 5.1 G 9.9 80°F 71°F1013.1 hPa
44064 40 mi38 min 3.9 G 5.8 72°F 1013.6 hPa
CBBV2 - 8638863 - Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA 40 mi50 min NNE 6 G 7 70°F 67°F1013.2 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 43 mi50 min NNW 2.9 G 2.9 69°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 46 mi50 min N 5.1 G 5.1 71°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 47 mi50 min N 6 G 6 1014 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA4 mi73 minN 010.00 miFair82°F69°F66%1013.2 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA10 mi70 minNNW 510.00 miFair80°F68°F67%1012.8 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA16 mi2.2 hrsWNW 910.00 miFair77°F66°F71%1012.2 hPa
Wakefield Municipal Airport, VA19 mi74 minW 610.00 miA Few Clouds81°F66°F61%1013.1 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA22 mi73 minWNW 310.00 miFair78°F66°F69%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from JGG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3W8CalmSW5Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW11
G17
CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNW13
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W5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Jamestown Island, James River, Virginia
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Jamestown Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:26 AM EDT     2.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:29 AM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:58 PM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:35 PM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.81.52.22.52.52.21.71.10.50-0.2-0.20.20.81.522.121.61.20.60.2-0.1-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Hog Point, James River, Virginia
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Hog Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:43 AM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:29 AM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:15 PM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:36 PM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.52.22.62.72.521.30.70.1-0.2-0.20.20.81.522.22.21.81.30.80.2-0.1-0.10.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.