Monday, October23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cape Charles, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 6:18PM Monday October 23, 2017 9:32 AM EDT (13:32 UTC) Moonrise 9:43AMMoonset 8:06PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 914 Am Edt Mon Oct 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 pm edt this afternoon through Tuesday afternoon...
Rest of today..SE winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft...building to 2 to 3 ft late.
Tonight..S winds 20 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the late evening and early morning. Showers likely late.
Tue..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft... Subsiding to 2 to 3 ft late. Showers likely.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft... Subsiding to 1 to 2 ft in the late evening and overnight. A chance of showers early in the evening.
Wed..NW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft...subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 914 Am Edt Mon Oct 23 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front will approach from the west today and push through the waters Tuesday and Tuesday night. High pressure will slowly build into the area from the southwest Wednesday and Thursday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cape Charles, VA
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location: 37.26, -76.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 231322
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
922 am edt Mon oct 23 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will approach from the west today... Then slowly
push through the local area on Tuesday. High pressure builds
across the gulf of mexico Wednesday and Thursday... As low
pressure lingers from the great lakes to new england.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Current analysis indicates sfc high pressure well off the coast,
with low pressure over eastern ky tn. Moist low levels calm
winds that led to widespread fog well inland is slowly mixing
out now, with vsbys now at or above 1 2sm at all reporting
sites. While some spotty dense fog will linger through 14-15z,
have allowed the dense fog advisory to expire with conditions
continuing to improve over the next 1-2 hrs. Otherwise, sse
winds will slowly increase and become gusty this aftn. More
clouds than the past few days, but still only a limited chance
for rain until late aftn (mainly over the far west). Highs in
the u70s-around 80f central and (interior) E to the l-m70s w
(where clouds begin to thicken lower earlier in the afternoon).

Highs also in the low-mid 70s at the immediate coast.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday
Latest 00z 23 GFS nam ECMWF remain fairly similar W the
overall timing of the next cold front... Now depicting the best
lift forcing for likely to categorical pops (60-90%) from about
06z Tue through 18z Tue (lingering into Tue evening along the
ern shore). Strong low level jet and sfc dew pts in the
60s... Will allow for some locally heavy downpours and possible
isold tstms by late tonight Tue morning... Mainly for far SRN se
va-ne nc. Instability markedly limited (and generally confined
to far SRN SE and near the immediate coast) despite increasing
low level winds. SPC has slgt risk svr for ssw parts of the
local area (shifting to the ERN shore Tue morning). Hi res
models depict a few bands of convection (which weaken gradually
break up) moving into the region from the wsw tonight from
03-06z inland, and 06-12z closer to the coast Tue morning. Will
continue the mention of locally heavy rain and strong gusty
winds in the hwo.

Partial clearing expected Tue by late morning W and by late
aftn e... And have continued W lowering pop trend w-e. Still
mild through Tue W lows Mon night in the 60s... Then highs tues
in the 70s to near 80 f SE as cold air lags well behind off to
the NW of the local area.

Cold front reaches the coast early Tue night and is expected
to exit the coast by daybreak Wed morning. Any ra tapers ends
at the coast Tue evening. Temperatures falling from the 60s in
the evening to 50f inland and upper 50s closer to the coast by
wed morning. Dewpoints also fall from the lower 50s NW to lower
60s SE in the evening to 40-45f inland and 45f to around 50f by
morning. On wed... Local area looks to remain in between the sfc
cold front well offshore and deeper moisture cold pool aloft to
our wnw. Cooler Wed W highs mainly in the m-u60s.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
Dry conditions Wed night as exiting cold front moves well
offshore. Upper level trough swings through the region thu
morning... Mainly kick off isold -shras (mainly delmarva) thu
morning. Otherwise, dry conditions prevail Thu through at least
sat as sfc high pressure builds in from the SW Thu and shifts
off the mid atlantic coast during fri. The high then tracks up
off the new england coast for sat. Model consensus diverges sat
night into sun. ECMWF has a coastal low developing near the
area... While the GFS not only has a coastal low developing near
the area but also a deepening sfc low over the great lakes
region into ontario. Incoming precip differs greatly between
models, therefore have leaned closer to climatology during this
time.

Temperatures at to slightly below normal for Wed night with
lows in the 40s (upper 30s possible far NW counties). Temps
slow to rebound on Thu as upper trough swings through and more
stable NW flow aloft develops over the area. Highs 60-64f. High
pressure slides into the region Thu night and then temperatures
slowly moderate. Lows Thu night in the 40s (around 50f beaches).

Seasonal normal highs Fri in the upper 60s to around 70f. Lows
fri night in the upper 40s inland to 50-55f immediate coast.

Highs Sat in the lower 70s (upper 60s beaches). Lows Sat night
generally in the 50s (upper 40s eastern piedmont). Highs sun
generally in the upper 60s to around 70f (mid 60s eastern
piedmont).

Aviation 13z Monday through Friday
Lo pres and an associated cold front will track through the
oh tn valleys today. Fg is once again a concern... Mainly at
ric sby phf W vrb CIGS vsbys (lifr ifr)... Persisting until
about 13-14z 23.VFR conditions and increasing mid high clouds
are expected to prevail after 13z 23... W a SE wind increasing
to 10-15 kt... Gusts up to 20-25 kt possible during the
aftn eve (into tonight). The cold front is expected to track
through the region tonight into Tue morning. This front will
bring the potential for MVFR ifr conditions in ra and lo cigs.

MainlyVFR Tuesday aftn evening through fri.

Marine
A cold front will approach the region allowing for increasing winds
through the day today. Southeast winds will start out around 10
knots this morning, increasing to 15 to 20 knots by this evening as
the front approaches.

The cold front and associated low pressure areas will approach from
the west tonight and push across the waters Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning. The pressure gradient will lead to increasing se
and then S flow ahead of the front this evening through Tuesday
morning. Winds shift to the wnw behind the front Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning. Small craft advisories are in effect for all of
the waters Monday night through Tuesday afternoon (for the rivers)
and lingering into Tuesday evening for the chesepeake bay and
currituck sound. Small craft advisories over the coastal waters will
continue through Wednesday. South winds of 15 to 25 knots with
higher gusts will occur Monday night into Tuesday evening.

Seas will build to 5 to 9 feet with waves of 3 to 4 feet in the bay.

Winds become west to northwest at 10 to 15 knots behind the front
Wednesday night through Thursday. High pressure builds back into the
region Thursday.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 1 pm edt
Tuesday for anz635>638.

Small craft advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 5 pm edt
Tuesday for anz630>632-634.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 7 pm edt
Tuesday for anz633.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 7 pm edt
Wednesday for anz650-652-654-656-658.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Alb lkb
short term... Alb lkb
long term... Bmd
aviation... Alb
marine... Ajb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 7 mi44 min ESE 8 G 8.9 68°F
44072 14 mi32 min ESE 9.7 G 12 70°F 69°F1 ft
CHBV2 16 mi50 min ESE 7 G 8 70°F 69°F1022.6 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 17 mi44 min SE 9.9 G 11 70°F 1023.9 hPa
44064 18 mi32 min 7.8 G 9.7 69°F 69°F1 ft1023.4 hPa (-0.7)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 19 mi44 min ESE 8.9 G 11 1024.4 hPa
44096 20 mi41 min 69°F2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi44 min E 6 G 7 69°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 24 mi44 min SSE 4.1 G 5.1 68°F 69°F1023.1 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 25 mi32 min SSE 7.8 G 9.7 69°F 69°F1 ft1023.9 hPa (-0.5)
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 25 mi44 min SE 7 G 8 69°F 1023.2 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 27 mi44 min 69°F1023.3 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 29 mi32 min 70°F2 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 30 mi44 min SE 5.1 G 7 69°F 68°F1024.1 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 30 mi44 min ESE 6 G 7 69°F 1023.5 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 31 mi44 min SE 5.1 G 6 68°F 1023.3 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi44 min SE 2.9 G 4.1 69°F 71°F1023.2 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 38 mi62 min SE 1 65°F 1024 hPa65°F
44041 - Jamestown, VA 41 mi32 min E 1.9 G 3.9 69°F

Wind History for Kiptopeke, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Langley Air Force Base, VA21 mi96 minN 07.00 miPartly Cloudy61°F61°F100%1024 hPa

Wind History from LFI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4NE5E5E6E5--E7--E7SE6SE4SE4CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmSE4
1 day agoCalmCalmE4E8NE6E6E4E6E6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN5N10
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N7E7NE6E4E3E5E3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalm2CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Charles Harbor, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Cape Charles Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:54 AM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 06:34 PM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.11.81.30.80.40.40.611.62.22.62.82.62.31.81.20.70.50.40.71.11.62

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:42 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:11 AM EDT     -1.11 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:32 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:08 AM EDT     0.90 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:27 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:55 PM EDT     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:26 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:37 PM EDT     0.57 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.2-0.1-0.5-0.9-1.1-1-0.8-0.30.30.70.90.80.50.2-0.2-0.7-1-1.1-1-0.7-0.20.20.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.