Saturday, August19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cape Charles, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 7:52PM Saturday August 19, 2017 2:31 PM EDT (18:31 UTC) Moonrise 2:55AMMoonset 5:24PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 103 Pm Edt Sat Aug 19 2017
Rest of today..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..S winds 5 kt...becoming W late. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..SE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft...subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft...building to 2 to 3 ft after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 103 Pm Edt Sat Aug 19 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front will remain stalled near the mid atlantic coast through tonight. High pressure builds over the area Sunday into early next week. The next cold front is expected to impact the region Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cape Charles, VA
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location: 37.26, -76.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 191747
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
147 pm edt Sat aug 19 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will pass through the area this morning and move
south into north carolina by this afternoon. High pressure
builds in tonight through early next week. The next cold front
will affect the region on Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
Overall thinking remains the same as far as the chances for
rain this afternoon will be limited to the extreme sern part of
the CWA as the cold front continues to slowly sag sewd and
becomes more diffuse over time. The boundary has become harder
to find and at 15z it appears to have made it down into the va
tidewater area and just off the DELMARVA coast. The major
adjustment for this update was to be more optimistic with they
sky cover for this afternoon so have lowered sky values some
especially north of the frontal boundary. The mid level clouds
that had been moving northward are scattering out as they
encounter drier air. From a temperature standpoint, did bump up
temps in NE nc a couple degrees into the lower 90s. Expect to
see heat indices in the 100 to 105 range there. This is just
below advisory criteria so will not add a head line, but it
still will be warm and humid, but not near what was experienced
on Friday afternoon.

Prev discussion...

latest analysis indicating a sfc cold front
pushing through the cwa, earlier convection had been well out
ahead of the front and has now diminished with just a few
lingering showers over mainly eastern sections of the cwa.

Expect these showers to continue to weaken diminish through the
next few hrs with genly dry conditions all areas by sunrise or
shortly thereafter. The front will stall along the SE va NE nc
coast late this morning into the aftn as upper level shortwave
energy currently situated over the mid-ms lower oh valley tracks
east. The combination of the stalled front and deeper moisture
along and to the S SE suggests that at least scattered
showers tstms will redevelop this aftn over the se. Elsewhere
will probably see some increase in clouds for a few hrs this
aftn but airmass will be drier so will keep pops silent at less
than 15%. Highs today will be slightly cooler than fri, but
still quite warm averaging in the upper 80s near the coast and
around 90f inland. Dew pts will be noticeably lower across
inland areas, falling into the 60s this aftn, but will remain in
the 70s across the SE (perhaps even upper 70s along albemarle
sound). Heat indices may approach 105 f for NE nc but will not
be as high as on Fri and will refrain from issuing a heat adsy.

Some clouds may persist this evening and some of the high res
guidance as well as the GFS depicts light QPF over the eastern
shore from 00-06z. Decided to keep pops capped at 14% for now
and just raised cloud cover a bit through 06z, followed by
clearing conditions as sfc high pressure builds in from the nw
overnight. Lows in the upper 60s along west of i-95 to 70-75 f
farther east.

Short term Sunday through Tuesday
High pressure builds over the area Sunday and lingers just off
the coast through Monday. Went with a dry forecast for Sunday
with highs in the mid-upper 80s along the coast and over the
north to around 90 f inland over the central and south.

As the high shifts off the coast on mon, expect temperatures to
rise slightly, with highs mainly upper 80s to lower 90s. Will
have a 20% pop for aftn tstms over the piedmont. Becoming a
little more humid Mon night Tue as the highs shifts farther off
the coast with 20-30% pops by Tue aftn as a weak thermal trough
develops east of the mtns. Highs into the lower 90s most areas
away from the water tue.

Long term Tuesday night through Friday
A cold front is expected to track through the area on
wed... Exiting the coast Thu morning. Conditions will become
increasingly more humid ahead of the front. The frontal passage
wed Wed night will provide a better focus for more organized
thunderstorms to occur. Lingering showers storms possible far se
va NE nc on thu. Otherwise, cool canadian high pressure builds
across the midwest with dry conditions anticipated for the mid
atlantic region Thu night-fri night.

Highs Wed generally upper 80s to lower 90s; low-mid 80s
beaches. Highs Thu Fri low-mid 80s; mid-upper 70s beaches. Lows
tue night generally 70-75f. Lows Wed night mid-upper 60s NW to
70-75f se. Lows Thu Fri nights around 60f NW to around 70f se.

Aviation 18z Saturday through Thursday
WidespreadVFR conditions are anticipated through the 18z forecast
besides the potential for some patchy fog early Sunday morning.

Scattered cumulus have developed behind a frontal boundary this
afternoon with bases generally at or above 3500 feet. Generally
clear skies are expected overnight and into tomorrow morning. There
is the potential for some patchy MVFR fog, mainly after 06z, at the
typical fog-prone locations (sby ecg phf). All fog should quickly
dissipate after sunrise. Generally light northwest winds are
expected this afternoon ranging from 5 to 10 knots. Winds become
light and variable overnight before becoming southeasterly on
Sunday.

Outlook: generallyVFR conditions through Monday as high pressure
builds back into the region. There will once again be the potential
for some patchy fog early on Monday morning. The next front
approaches the region late Tuesday and into Wednesday. Sub-vfr
conditions and showers thunderstorms will be possible on
Wednesday.

Marine
No headlines in the short term today thru Sun night. A cold
front will cross the waters this morning, and then stall near
the mid atlc coast thru Sat night. Wsw winds 5 to 15 kt early
this morning, will become NW or N later this morning thru
midday, then become SE or S early this evening. Ssw winds 5 to
10 kt tonight, will become wnw by early Sun morning.

High pressure will build over the area during sun, then slides
offshr and out to sea for Mon and tue. Nnw winds 5 to 10 kt
becoming NE or E during sun, then ese Sun night. Ese 5 to 10 kt
becoming SE or S during mon. S winds 5 to 15 kt on tue, then ssw
10 to 20 kt Tue night, as a cold front approaches fm the wnw.

The cold front will drop acrs the waters Wed into Wed night.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Ess lkb
short term... Ess lkb
long term... Bmd
aviation... Ajb
marine... Tmg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 7 mi44 min NW 11 G 12 81°F
44072 14 mi32 min NE 7.8 G 7.8 82°F 81°F1 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 17 mi44 min ENE 8 G 8.9 83°F 1013.8 hPa
44064 18 mi32 min 82°F 81°F1 ft1013.2 hPa (+0.0)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 19 mi44 min NW 8 G 8 1014 hPa
CBBV2 - 8638863 - Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA 21 mi44 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 81°F 81°F1013.2 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi44 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 83°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 24 mi44 min E 6 G 7 84°F 83°F1013 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 25 mi32 min ENE 7.8 G 7.8 82°F 83°F1 ft1013.8 hPa (+0.3)
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 25 mi50 min NE 6 G 7 81°F 1013.5 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 27 mi44 min 82°F1013.4 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 29 mi62 min 80°F2 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 30 mi44 min ESE 5.1 G 7 85°F 85°F1012.9 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 30 mi44 min ESE 5.1 G 9.9 84°F 1013.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 31 mi44 min NE 4.1 G 5.1 85°F 1013.1 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi44 min NNW 4.1 G 7 87°F 84°F1012.8 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 38 mi62 min N 1 87°F 1015 hPa71°F
44041 - Jamestown, VA 41 mi32 min Calm G 0 86°F

Wind History for Kiptopeke, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Langley Air Force Base, VA21 mi94 minENE 710.00 miFair85°F70°F61%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from LFI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW12SW14SE8S13S11S11S8N8NE3W12
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1 day agoSE9SE6SE8SE9SE7SE6S8S8S9S10S10S8S10S10S11S12S9S10SW13SW10SW9S10S8SW9
2 days agoNE8E8E6SE7S4SE3SE4SE3SE4S4S3S5SW5SW5SW3SW4CalmCalmSW3S4S5S5SE7E9

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Charles Harbor, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Cape Charles Harbor
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:41 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:31 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:46 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT     3.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.10.10.40.91.62.12.42.42.21.71.10.50.1-00.30.81.62.42.932.92.51.8

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:09 AM EDT     -1.37 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:11 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:27 AM EDT     0.85 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 09:23 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:06 PM EDT     -1.55 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:12 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:50 PM EDT     1.22 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:39 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.2-1.4-1.2-0.8-0.10.50.80.80.50.2-0.3-0.9-1.3-1.6-1.4-0.9-0.20.61.11.210.70.3-0.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.