Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 1:34 AM   Moonset 11:36 AM

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PZZ535 Monterey Bay- 248 Am Pdt Wed May 1 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from 9 am pdt this morning through this evening - ..small craft advisory in effect from Thursday morning through late Thursday night - .
Today - NW winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots - . Increasing to 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots this afternoon. Wind waves 5 to 7 ft - .subsiding to 4 to 5 ft this afternoon. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds and sw around 2 ft at 17 seconds. Tonight - NW winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 5 to 7 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds and sw around 2 ft at 17 seconds. Thu - NW winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. W swell around 2 ft at 11 seconds and sw around 2 ft at 17 seconds. Thu night - NW winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 5 to 7 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds. Fri - NW winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell around 2 ft at 9 seconds. Fri night - W winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. Sat - W winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. SWell sw around 2 ft. A chance of rain. Sun - NW winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. W swell around 2 ft and sw around 2 ft.
locally lower winds and seas across sheltered portions of the bay.

PZZ500 248 Am Pdt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
breezy and gusty winds continue through Friday, with gale force gusts of 40 to 45 knots possible in the outer waters through much of the week. Strong winds will result in hazardous seas and steep wind waves with significant wave heights reaching 10 to 14 feet in the outer waters. Conditions gradually improve over the weekend and into next week as winds begin to ease. Rain chances begin early Saturday as a trough descends over the region.

FXUS66 KHNX 010941 AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 241 AM PDT Wed May 1 2024


KEY MESSAGES

1. High temperatures will change little today, remaining around climatological averages for this time of year.

2. Warming conditions are forecast for the end of the work week with highs around 3 to 7 degrees above normal on Friday.
Probabilities of exceedance for 85 degrees in the San Joaquin Valley are around 50%.

3. Ensemble guidance is trending towards a weekend storm system bringing snowfall to the Sierra Nevada and periods of rainfall to the San Joaquin Valley.

4. High temperatures are forecast to cool to around 10 to 15 degrees below normal by Sunday.

DISCUSSION
Strong wind gusts continue along the Mojave Desert Slopes where a High Wind Warning remains in effect until 5 AM this morning.
The SFO-LAS pressure gradient increased to 12 mb, up from 10 mb 24 hours ago. The Mojave ASOS (KMHV) measured a peak wind gust of 64 mph last evening.

A broad upper trough remains over the west with an upper ridge over the Eastern Pacific. Temperatures changed little on Tuesday with highs right around climatological normals for this time of year. A persistence forecast is for little changes again today.
A subtle increase in heights and thickness values will translate into high temperatures around 2 to 4 degrees above normal. Short wave ridging on Friday nudges max temperatures to 3 to 7 degrees above normal. Probabilities for a high temperature of 84 degrees or higher in the San Joaquin Valley on Friday are generally from 50 to 75 percent.

Ensemble analysis shows an upper low dropping down over northern California on Saturday then shifting east over the Great Basin on Sunday. Precipitation chances develop late Saturday morning and continue through Sunday afternoon. Snow levels begin above 8000 feet on Saturday then lower to 5000 to 6000 feet on Sunday.
The Probabilistic Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI-P) has a 50% chance for moderate winter storm impacts around Yosemite NP this weekend. The Excessive Rainfall Outlook (ERO) has marginal risk (5-14%) painted along the Sierra Foothills of Mariposa, Madera, and Fresno Counties on Saturday. But there is still quite a bit of uncertainty regarding the timing, track, and strength of this system. Based on the current track, temperatures are forecast to cool to 10 to 15 degrees below normal by Sunday.

AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail across central CA for at least the next 24 hours.

AIR QUALITY ISSUES
None.

CERTAINTY

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low
medium
and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.

HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
High Wind Warning until 5 AM PDT early this morning for CAZ338.

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Stockton, San Joaquin River, California, Tide feet

Brandt Bridge
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Wed -- 01:20 AM PDT     0.57 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:38 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:17 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:27 AM PDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:08 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:02 AM PDT     -0.41 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:38 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:59 AM PDT     0.46 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 12:37 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:14 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:27 PM PDT     -1.10 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:56 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:52 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Brandt Bridge, San Joaquin River, California Current, knots

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