Thursday, May25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
New Kent, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:51AMSunset 8:21PM Thursday May 25, 2017 2:13 PM EDT (18:13 UTC) Moonrise 4:58AMMoonset 7:12PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ636 York River- 1221 Pm Edt Thu May 25 2017
This afternoon..SW winds 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Scattered showers and tstms.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms early in the evening...then a slight chance of showers in the late evening and early morning.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of tstms early in the evening. A chance of showers.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..SW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1221 Pm Edt Thu May 25 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front will pass through the waters later today. High pressure slowly builds in from the southwest Friday. A weak area of low pressure affects the area over the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Kent, VA
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location: 37.4, -76.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 251440
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1040 am edt Thu may 25 2017

Synopsis
Unsettled conditions will continue this afternoon as an upper
level trough crosses the local area from the west. Conditions
improve on Friday. Warmer temperatures and chance for showers
and thunderstorms will return over the weekend. A cold front
will approach from the west on memorial day.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Complex lo pres was found over the ERN conus... One center invof
oh... The other just off the delmarva. A dry slot has surged ne
into the fa this morning... Resulting in at least partial
clearing and diminished pops. Upper level low will be tracking
by just N of the local area... W a trough crossing the region
this afternoon evening... Which will steepen lapse rates and lead
to development of isold-sct convection. Fa remains under
marginal risk svr from spc... Main threats from any stms will be
gusty winds hail. Otherwise... Vrb clouds partly sunny... And
warmer W SW winds 10-20 mph. Highs in the m70s W of i-95 to
the u70s to around 80f across eastern portions of the fa.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Saturday
The upper low continues to lift NE across ERN pa ny new england
late tonight into fri. Drier conditions finally arrive as deep
layered wnw flow develops over the region. Some lingering mid-
level energy could result in sct-bkn CU mid afternoon fri.

Otherwise... Drier and breezy with highs in the upr 70s to low
80s, after morning lows in the mid 50s W to low 60s at the
coast.

Weak ridge aloft nudges into the region from the wsw Fri night
into sat. Differing potential timing in arrival of weak S w
tracking into the fa by Sat afternoon. Combination of daytime
heating and that S W in wnw flow aloft may result in at least
sct convective development. Otherwise... Partly cloudy fri
night-sat morning... Then becoming mostly cloudy Sat afternoon.

Lows from the upr 50s NW to the low 60s se. Highs Sat from the
mid upr 70s-around 80f on the eastern shore to the mid 80s
inland.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
Long term period starts off Sat night into Sun with a warm front in
the vicinity and plenty of energy passing through the wnw flow
aloft. This will lead to a chance of shras tstms everywhere, with
low temps in the 60s Sat night and high temps in the low mid 80s
sun. Continued chance of rain into Mon with a weak cold front
passing through the area. Highs again in the low mid 80s. Drier
weather into Tue and Wed behind the front, but still cannot rule out
the chance of a shra or TSTM with continued cyclonic flow aloft.

High temps in the upr 70s to mid 80s both days.

Aviation 15z Thursday through Monday
Showers ahead of a cold front will continue to lift NE and exit
eastern locales including ksby by 12-13z. Conditions will
improve toVFR once the front passes. Additional showers and
thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon as an
upper trough moves overhead. Reduced flight conditions are
possible.

DrierVFR wx returns by Fri as weak high pressure builds over
the region. Unsettled conditions return for the weekend when
another frontal boundary affects the mid atlantic states.

Marine
Latest msas has the frontal boundary stalled just south of the
albemarle sound westward to a cold front crossing the mts. The
boundary is still progged to lift north as a warm front this morning
before the cold front crosses the waters this afternoon and evening.

Once again, a challenging forecast as the models continue to show
different solutions with respect to the frontal movements. Thus,
will basically keep the current forecast going with some minor
changes made to the grids and headlines.

Consensus suggests several bouts of SCA level winds over the next 24-
36 hours. Thus, elected to keep just one headline through Friday to
cover the winds but tweaked directions a bit based off the
frontal movements. SW winds 15-20 kts through this evening
become west at the same speeds late tonight and Friday as the
cold front moves offshore. Went ahead and added SCA to the
currituck sound. Data also supports 15-20 kts today across the
lower james river so added a SCA headline there. Current sea obs
in line with wna forecast in keeping 4-5 ft seas through Friday
across the coastal waters (highest out near 20 nm).

Weak high pres builds in for late Fri leading to improving marine
conditions. Sub-sca conditions expected Fri night into the weekend.

Tides coastal flooding
The continued onshore flow combined with high astro tides will
result in elevated water levels through Friday. The sse winds
continue to pile up the water across the middle ches bay so
based off the latest data, went ahead and extended the coastal
flood advisory for the bay side of the lower md eastern shore
for the next high tide cycle. Also issued coastal flood statements
for the va northern neck and atlantic coastal waters from oxb-cape
charles for levels approaching minor flood levels. See cfwakq
for more details.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 4 pm edt this afternoon for
mdz021>023.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt Friday for anz630>634.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for anz638.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm edt Friday for anz650-652-654.

Small craft advisory until 7 am edt Friday for anz656-658.

Synopsis... Alb jdm
near term... Alb jdm
short term... Alb jdm
long term... Mas
aviation... Jdm
marine... Mpr
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 10 mi103 min WSW 2.9 75°F 1001 hPa62°F
44041 - Jamestown, VA 15 mi43 min SW 9.7 G 14 74°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 25 mi55 min SW 11 G 14 74°F 69°F999 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 31 mi55 min WSW 11 G 13 73°F 998.9 hPa
44072 36 mi43 min W 5.8 G 9.7 72°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 36 mi43 min W 12 G 14 73°F 999.7 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 39 mi55 min WSW 8.9 G 9.9 74°F 999.5 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 43 mi55 min WSW 7 G 8 72°F 999.4 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 44 mi55 min 68°F999.5 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 46 mi55 min SSW 6 G 11 75°F 999.5 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 47 mi55 min W 8 G 9.9 73°F 66°F999 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 48 mi55 min S 8 G 8.9 1000.2 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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G16

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA11 mi18 minSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F58°F55%999.3 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA15 mi38 minWSW 7 G 1510.00 miFair79°F60°F54%999.7 hPa
Richmond, Richmond International Airport, VA23 mi19 minS 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F60°F58%998.7 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA23 mi15 minWSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F62°F59%998.6 hPa

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E7E7E8E9E10E10E11E11E9E9E11E7
G14
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1 day agoNE5E7
G15
E8NE6NE6NE6NE4NE5NE5CalmN5NE3N4N3CalmNE3CalmN3CalmNE5E7E7E6E4
2 days agoCalmN5NE5N3CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4E3NE5NE7NE7E7E6

Tide / Current Tables for Lanexa, Chickahominy River, Virginia
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Lanexa
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:28 AM EDT     3.43 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:26 AM EDT     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:58 PM EDT     2.83 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:27 PM EDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
22.93.43.432.31.50.70-0.3-0.30.31.122.62.82.62.11.40.6-0-0.4-0.30.2

Tide / Current Tables for Sturgeon Point, James River, Virginia
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Sturgeon Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:27 AM EDT     2.84 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:29 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:55 PM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:30 PM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.42.82.82.51.91.30.60-0.3-0.20.20.91.62.22.42.21.81.20.60-0.3-0.30.20.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.