Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bensley, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 8:36PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:20 PM EDT (19:20 UTC) Moonrise 9:54AMMoonset 11:11PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ636 York River- 126 Pm Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
This afternoon..NE winds 5 kt...becoming se late. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves building to 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..S winds 15 kt...becoming sw. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Sun..SW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 126 Pm Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure builds over the area this afternoon and slowly slides off the coast late tonight into Thursday. The high will then remain anchored off the mid atlantic and southeast coast Friday and Saturday. A slow moving cold front will weaken north of the local area over the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bensley, VA
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location: 37.43, -77.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 281744
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
144 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds over the area this afternoon, then slides
off the coast for Wednesday night through Friday.

Near term through tonight
Sfc high pressure will slide over the region this aftn,
providing dry wx and very comfortable conditions under a sunny
or mostly sunny sky. Highs in the lower to mid 80s, except mid
to upper 70s at the beaches.

Short term Thursday through Friday
The high will slide out to sea later tonight thru fri. Dry
wx will prevail. Ssw flow will start to increase on thu
resulting in a warmer and more humid airmass. Clear or mostly
clear tonight with lows 55 to 60f inland... 60 to 65f at the
coast. Partly to mostly sunny on Thu with highs in the m80s to
around 90f... L80s at the beaches.

That ssw flow will bring increasing dewpts low level moisture
into the region for Thu night and fri. Enough of that moisture
combined with heating and very weak lift could trigger isold
shras tstms over far SRN SW counties Fri evening. Lows thu
night in the m60s to around 70f. Highs on Fri in the 80s-
l90s... L80s at the beaches.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
Long term period will feature a fairly typical summertime pattern
with a weakening cold front approaching from the W NW on Sat with a
lee sfc trough out ahead of the front. Still capping pops at 20-40%
in the aftn evening under partly-mostly sunny skies as any more
significant forcing stays NW closer to the front. Lows mainly 70-75
f with highs Sat primarily in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Sunday
will see the front wash out across the local area, will maintain 20-
30% pops (except 30 to 40% over northeast nc). Highs in the upper
80 around 90 f. May even be able to lower pops a little more across
the N with later model runs but wanted to keep some continuity given
the weak front and a lot of uncertainty as to how much it actually
weakens. Mon Tue will see the local area generally in light flow and
minimal forcing. It will be very warm and humid with enough
aftn early evening instability along a lee trough for ~20% pops most
areas. Highs 90-95 f inland and mid-upper 80s lower 90s near the
coast. Lows generally 70-75 f.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
High pressure over the mid atlantic states will slowly slide off the
coast overnight. A cold front over the midwest will approach this
weekend and then stall to the north of the area.

As of 17z... A clear sky covered the TAF sites. A few cumulus will be
over the area this afternoon with scattered coverage Thursday.

Variable winds today will be from the southwest Thursday.

Outlook... .There will be a chance for mainly afternoon and evening
thunderstorms Saturday through Monday.

Marine
The brief northerly surge on the bay from earlier this morning
continues to diminish as of 630 am. Winds become nne around 10
kt all areas by late morning. Waves subside to 1-2 ft on the bay by
aftn; seas around 2 ft. As sfc high pressure builds overhead
this aftn, expect much lighter onshore flow to develop at 5-10
kt. High pressure slides well off the coast Thursday Friday with
return flow resulting in increasing s-sw winds to 15-20 kt.

Waves 2-3 ft on the bay and seas possibly building to 4-5 ft
north of parramore island (genly more like 2-4 ft for southern
coastal waters). SCA headlines may be needed late Thu thu night.

A slow moving cold a front approaches from the NW Sat but
weakens by the time it reaches the local area on Sunday. Thus,
outside of any tstms conditions will be sub-sca with winds only
10-15 kt or less.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Alb tmg
short term... Alb tmg
long term... Lkb
aviation... Lsa
marine... Jdm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44041 - Jamestown, VA 38 mi40 min Calm G 1.9 77°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 38 mi50 min NNE 1.9 79°F 1023 hPa49°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 52 mi50 min E 9.9 G 14 74°F 79°F1022.2 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Richmond, Richmond International Airport, VA8 mi26 minSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F48°F35%1022.5 hPa
Petersburg, Dinwiddie County Airport, VA17 mi25 minN 010.00 miFair79°F47°F34%1022.7 hPa
Ashland, Hanover County Municipal Airport, VA19 mi26 minN 010.00 miFair79°F46°F31%1022.5 hPa

Wind History from FCI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5N35W6W10
G14
W65W5W86W4CalmSW4CalmCalmN4N3CalmNW4CalmCalmNW3N3Calm
1 day agoN6--CalmSW6W8SW6SW8W7S6SW5SW3CalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4Calm3
2 days ago--N55--W8W7--NW7W5W5W5----W3NW7--NW4CalmCalmCalm--Calm----

Tide / Current Tables for Falling Creek entrance, James River, Virginia
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Falling Creek entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:53 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:05 AM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:29 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:45 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.40.80.40.20.61.72.83.63.93.73.12.41.71.10.50.10.10.8233.53.73.32.7

Tide / Current Tables for Curles, 1 mile north of, James River, Virginia
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Curles
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:34 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:00 AM EDT     3.47 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:10 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:40 PM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.60.20.20.71.72.73.33.53.22.721.40.80.3-00.2122.73.23.32.92.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.