Friday, August18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Painter, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 7:53PM Friday August 18, 2017 11:41 PM EDT (03:41 UTC) Moonrise 1:51AMMoonset 4:29PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 815 Pm Edt Fri Aug 18 2017
.severe Thunderstorm watch 455 in effect until 11 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft... Subsiding to 1 to 2 ft after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms early this evening, then showers and tstms likely late this evening. A chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw late. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers early in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..NE winds 5 kt...becoming E after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft...subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 815 Pm Edt Fri Aug 18 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front will cross the waters tonight and then stall near the mid atlantic coast through Saturday night. High pressure rebuilds over the area Sunday into early next week. NExt cold front expected to impact the region Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Painter, VA
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location: 37.58, -75.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 190321
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1121 pm edt Fri aug 18 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will arrive late tonight or early Saturday morning
and exit the region by Saturday afternoon. High pressure builds
in for Saturday night through early next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
Convection continues to shift off the coast... At least the nrn
portion. The SRN portion lags behind... And will be tracking
through mainly SE va well into the overnight hours.

Drying lowering of dew points will be very slow as main cold
front is sluggish to push across the area from the wnw. Keeping
highest pops across the ERN parts of the fa oavernight. Lows
from the l70s NW to m-u70s elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through Monday
The models are still struggling on how much push is there to
get the front through the region on Saturday. With a strong
shortwave trough digging through the ohio valley, it makes sense
that the front will temporarily stall waiting for the shortwave
trough to move past. This should allow the front to finally get
south of the area and off the coast by Saturday evening. So
have kept a low chance for showers and afternoon storms over ne
nc and the tidewater area on Saturday.

High pressure builds into the area on Saturday night into Sunday
and lingers through Monday. Temperatures will be a couple
degrees cooler, but the humidity will be much less making for
more comfortable conditions.

For temperatures, highs on Saturday will still be in the upper
80s to the lower 90s and that will continue on Sunday and
Monday. But overnight lows Saturday night and Sunday night will
be cooler with readings in the upper 60s NW to low to mid 70s
se.

Long term Monday night through Friday
Sfc high pressure builds north of the area with stacked high
pressure residing off the southeast coast through Mon night. A
thermal trough develops in the lee of the appalachians for
tue Tue night, and then a cold front is expected to track
through the area on wed... Exiting the coast Thu morning.

Conditions will become increasingly more humid ahead of the
front. Thunderstorm activity expected to become widely scattered
tue as convection develops INVOF lee trough. The frontal passage
wed Wed night will provide a better focus for more organized
thunderstorms to occur. Lingering showers storms possible far
se va NE nc on thu. Otherwise, cool canadian high pressure
builds across the midwest with dry conditions anticipated for
the mid atlantic region Thu night-fri night.

Highs tue-wed generally upper 80s to lower 90s; low-mid 80s
beaches. Highs Thu Fri low-mid 80s; mid-upper 70s beaches.

Lows mon-tue nights generally 70-75f. Lows Wed night
mid-upper 60s NW to 70-75f se. Lows Thu Fri nights around
60f NW to around 70f se.

Aviation 02z Saturday through Wednesday
Nearly solid line of tstms now moving through central va-se md
and will continue E through 02-04z 19 W possible gusty winds
and lower vrb cigs-vsbys (mainly at ric sby). Did hold onto
vcsh vcts INVOF the rest of the sites through about 04-06z 19 as
convection is slow to wane overnight. MainlyVFR conditions sat
though possible isold tstms in the afternoon SE va-ne nc invof
lingering weakening frontal boundary.VFR Sat night-mon as high
pressure builds back into the region. Some early morning fog
possible both Sunday and Monday mornings.

Marine
A cold front approaches the region through this evening with
isolated to scattered thunderstorms developing along a weak
boundary along the mid atlantic coast. Winds generally south
10-15kt the rest of today with locally higher gusts of 20-30kt
possible in thunderstorms. The front crosses the waters late
tonight with more widespread and organized thunderstorms
anticipated. Strong wind gusts above 30kt, heavy rainfall, and
frequent lightning will be the primary impacts. Seas 2-3ft build
to 3-4ft this evening and during the frontal passage later
tonight... Subsiding closer to daybreak Sat morning. Waves will
average 1-3ft through tonight. Synoptic SCA conditions still not
anticipated tonight except with the thunderstorms associated
with the front. If any headlines are necessary, they can be
handled with short- fused mws or smw products.

Winds light and variable AOB 10kt by mid-morning Sat through sun
as the front stalls near the mid atlantic coast. Winds become
more onshore Sun night into Mon as the front sags well south of
the area. Seas subsiding from 2-3ft Sat aftn to 2ft by late sat
night through most of Tuesday. South winds Tue tue night as a
thermal trough develops inland with seas building to 2-3ft
tue 3-4ft Tue night. Winds SW around 15kt bay ocean
tue night Wed as the next cold front is expected to cross the
region. Seas waves average 2-3ft. Winds n-ne AOB 15kt behind
front Thu fri. Seas 2-3ft waves 1-2ft.

Tides coastal flooding
Minor coastal flooding is expected for areas adjacent to ches
bay INVOF bishops head late this evening. Water levels should
reach 3.5ft around high tide, which occurs at 1136 pm this
evening. Cambridge is expected to reach 3.1ft, thus remaining
below minor flooding thresholds.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 2 am edt Saturday for mdz021>023.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ess
near term... Alb
short term... Ess
long term... Bmd
aviation... Alb
marine... Bmd
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 5 mi41 min W 1 G 2.9 74°F 85°F1013.3 hPa (+2.9)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 13 mi41 min N 6 G 7 1013.5 hPa (+2.9)
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 25 mi31 min NNE 1.9 G 3.9 76°F 1 ft1011.7 hPa
44089 27 mi41 min 78°F3 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 31 mi41 min N 15 G 21 81°F
44072 37 mi31 min SE 1.9 G 3.9 78°F 1 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 37 mi41 min Calm G 1 77°F 1012.4 hPa (+2.6)
44042 - Potomac, MD 43 mi31 min S 16 G 27 76°F 1 ft1010.8 hPa
44064 43 mi31 min 81°F 1 ft1011.9 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 44 mi41 min W 2.9 G 5.1 77°F 82°F1011.5 hPa (+2.2)
CBBV2 - 8638863 - Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA 46 mi41 min SSW 9.9 G 12 82°F 79°F1011.6 hPa (+2.0)
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 46 mi41 min SSE 11 G 11 77°F 83°F1012 hPa (+2.6)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi41 min SSW 8.9 G 11 75°F 82°F1011.8 hPa (+2.8)
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 46 mi41 min 80°F2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 47 mi41 min S 6 G 8 81°F

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA5 mi66 minWNW 92.50 miThunderstorm Heavy Rain75°F73°F95%1013.5 hPa

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmS3SW3SW4CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmNW4CalmCalmSE7SE10S10SE9SE7S8SE6S6S6S8S7
2 days ago--------------------N5N4N3NE5W3SE4SE7S5S4S5S4SE4CalmS3

Tide / Current Tables for Wachapreague, Wachapreague Channel, Virginia
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Wachapreague
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:56 AM EDT     4.12 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:01 PM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:43 PM EDT     5.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.81.72.53.33.94.13.832.11.20.3-0.10.31.32.43.44.355.14.73.92.91.7

Tide / Current Tables for Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Pungoteague Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:28 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:06 AM EDT     1.74 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:25 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:39 PM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.70.40.20.20.40.81.31.61.71.71.410.60.30.10.10.40.81.41.82.12.22

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.