Saturday, November18, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Fordsville, KY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 4:36PM Saturday November 18, 2017 8:05 AM CST (14:05 UTC) Moonrise 7:25AMMoonset 6:07PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fordsville, KY
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location: 37.58, -86.71     debug

Area Discussion for - Louisville, KY
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Fxus63 klmk 181133
area forecast discussion
national weather service louisville ky
633 am est Sat nov 18 2017

Forecast update
Issued at 631 am est Sat nov 18 2017
rain continues to struggle to develop this morning across the
region, though there is a broken line of light showers moving across
east central ky. Made some adjustments to pops through the morning
hours, generally to lower them somewhat across the board. In
addition, temperatures were adjusted up a couple degrees as we are
running warmer than forecast this morning.

Short term (this afternoon through Sunday evening)
issued at 238 am est Sat nov 18 2017

Gusty winds today through this evening...

rain and gusty winds continue to be the focus for today into
tonight. A strong cold front will approach the area this morning and
move through this afternoon into the early evening hours.

Currently the radar shows scattered showers, mainly across north
central ky. The latest high resolution guidance suggest that some
light showers will develop across south central ky more towards
daybreak. In general today, pops were trimmed back a bit during the
morning hours. As the front moves in this afternoon, coverage of
precipitation will increase with showers and scattered thunderstorms
along and behind the front. Most of the thunderstorms should be
elevated in nature slightly behind the front. However, some
instability may develop right ahead of the front this afternoon
which could lead to the potential for a few severe storms with
damaging winds, mainly west of i-65. Further east, instability will
be decreasing as the storms approach, so the threat will be less.

Still, with the strong wind field an isolated damaging wind gust
cannot be ruled out.

Outside of any storms, it will be quite windy today. We are already
seeing some gusts to just over 30 mph early this morning. Gusts are
expected to continue to increase into the mid morning hours.

Sustained winds of 20-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph can be expected
this morning. For this afternoon into the evening, sustained wind
speeds of 20-30 mph are expected. In addition, with the pressure
gradient tightening and mixing occurring a bit deeper, wind gusts
are expected to increase a bit this afternoon just ahead of and
behind the front. Gusts to 45 mph certainly look possible and a few
gusts higher than that are not out of the question. The peak time
frame for the higher gusts looks to be 2-8 pm. Winds will shift
quickly from southerly to northwesterly as the front moves through.

Soundings continue to indicate some stronger gusts to around 40 mph
will continue through the evening hours, so will keep the expiration
time for the wind advisory at 06z.

Temperatures will be on the warmer side today, topping out in the
mid 60s. However, they will quickly drop into the 40s behind the
front with lows tonight in the low to mid 30s. Tomorrow will be much
cooler with highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Long term (after midnight Sunday night through Friday)
issued at 248 am est Sat nov 18 2017
this next week looks to be fairly quiet with surface high pressure
over the region a majority of the time. An upper level trough will
swing through on Tuesday night Wednesday and the ECMWF does try to
paint some precipitation across north central ky Tuesday night.

However, it is the only model advertising this at this time, so will
keep the forecast dry for now. This will, however, bring another
shot of cold air to the region knocking high temperatures back into
the 40s for Wednesday and thanksgiving. Thanksgiving morning looks
to be the coldest of the long term period with lows dipping into the
mid 20s. Early black Friday shoppers should bundle up as Friday
morning will not be much warmer with lows in the upper 20s to lower

Aviation (12z TAF issuance)
issued at 622 am est Sat nov 18 2017
challenging flying conditions... And forecasting... Throughout this
taf period.

A strong cold front will approach from the west today and cross the
terminals between mid afternoon and early evening. Ahead of the
front low level moisture will increase and create MVFR ceilings,
with some high end ifr ceilings possible, and scattered showers. The
best chance for thunder will be just ahead of the front this
afternoon. Behind the front this evening showers will taper off but
low ceilings will persist.

Surface winds will gust over 30kt out of the south for much of the
day, especially this afternoon ahead of the front when gusts over
40kt will be possible. Even higher gusts will be possible with any
thunderstorms. The FROPA this afternoon will be sharp and will
switch winds to the west. Speeds will remain very high for several
hours behind the front before gradually starting to slacken

Lmk watches warnings advisories
In... Wind advisory until 1 am est midnight cst Sunday for

Ky... Wind advisory until 1 am est midnight cst Sunday for

Update... Eer
short term... Eer
long term... Eer
aviation... 13

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Owensboro, Owensboro-Daviess County Airport, KY27 mi69 minS 1510.00 miOvercast63°F55°F78%1002.8 hPa

Wind History from OWB (wind in knots)
Last 24hrSE10SE8S6S9S8SE10SE10SE9SE10SE10SE9S9S10S13S17
1 day agoN5N6N4N6N7N4N4NE6E5NE3CalmCalmNE3NE3CalmE5E3SE7SE8SE5SE8SE10SE10SE9
2 days agoS9S11CalmS7--SW12SW9SW8W7W7W7W4W5W3W4SW4W7W7W4CalmNW5N8N8N8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Louisville, KY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Louisville, KY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.