Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Irvington, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:19PM Monday May 29, 2017 3:47 AM EDT (07:47 UTC) Moonrise 8:51AMMoonset 11:12PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ635 Rappahannock River From Urbanna To Windmill Point- 142 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Rest of tonight..NW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late.
Mon..W winds 5 kt...becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. Patchy fog in the morning. Vsby 1 to 3 nm early in the morning.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw late. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..NW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 142 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front approaches from the northwest on memorial day and stalls near the coast into Tuesday. A stronger cold front pushes across the waters Wednesday night. High pressure builds over the region then moves off the coast Thursday into Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Irvington, VA
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location: 37.65, -76.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 290731
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
331 am edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
A frontal boundary will linger near the virginia north carolina
border tonight. A cold front approaches from the northwest on
memorial day and stalls north of the region into Tuesday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
Current analysis indicating surface low pressure over the great
lakes, extending SE into the local area with some weak surface
low pressure reflection along the coast of southeast va and
northeast nc. Shortwave energy aloft has pushed well offshore
over past few hrs and airmass is only marginally unstable
(greater instability resides across southern nc and sc). While
pops have been raised a little, to likely through around 02z
across the NW with another area of high chance (40-50%) into
south central and southside va, the threat for any strong tstms
appears very unlikely now. May see a few isolated tstms this
evening but decided to update the hwo to remove the mention of
strong severe tstms. Near term models and hrrr reflectivity suggest
the showers diminish in coverage later tonight with just
variable cloudiness and genly dry conditions overnight. Low
levels are already rather saturated and winds will be light
enough to support patchy fg and or low stratus overnight as
well. Lows ranging through the 60s.

Short term 6 am this morning through Wednesday
A cold front will be crossing the mountains Mon morning... Then
continue E Mon afternoon. Models continue to show drying over
most of the area... W the instability moisture axis shifting se
into far SE va-ne nc... Where additional shras tstms are
possible in the afternoon evening. Partly sunny on memorial day
with highs in the l-m80s N to the m-u80s S (70s along the
atlantic beaches of the eastern shore).

12z 28 guidance continues to show that the cold front becomes
aligned parallel to wsw flow aloft... Stalling immediately N of
the region to perhaps pushing into the md ERN shore. The chc for
aftn evening shras tstms will diminish tue... Though will
continue W 20-40% pops in far SRN and SE va NE nc. Highs
tue from the u70s-l80s at the coast to the m80s inland... After
morning lows ranging through the 60s.

Little change in conditions Tue night-wed. Upper level trough
to sharpen into the ERN conus... Though a strong enough trigger
for widespread convective development (esp wed) ill-defined.

Maintaining pops (15-25%) in far SE va-ne nc... Mainly wed
afternoon. Lows Tue night in the 60s. Highs Wed in the u70s-
l80s.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
The long term period beginning Wednesday night will start off mainly
dry with high pressure over the mid atlantic states Thursday. The
high will merge with the bermuda high pressure ridge. This will
promote a slight warming trend and an increase of moisture. A
frontal boundary will settle over northern portions of the mid
atlantic states and help to trigger scattered mainly afternoon and
evening thunderstorms over the region.

High temperatures will range from 80 to 85 but slightly cooler at
the beaches. Lows of 60 to 65 Thursday and Friday mornings warm to
the mid to upper 60s Saturday and Sunday mornings.

Aviation 08z Monday through Friday
The current analysis shows low pressure off the DELMARVA coast,
with a weak ridge of surface high pressure over the piedmont.

Stratus and fog has developed over much of the area with
ric sby ecg experiencing lifr conditions, with periodic ifr
stratus at phf orf. Ifr lifr stratus and fog should prevail
through 12z, and potentially through 15z at sby. Drier
conditions arrive from the wsw as low pressure departs to the
ne today. There is a slight chc of mainly sea bay-breeze
showers tstms this aftn. Low pressure tracks off the nc outer
banks later tonight into Tuesday bringing a chc of showers and
embedded tstms to SE va NE nc. Mainly dry conditions are then
expected to prevail Wednesday through Friday. Patchy fog or
stratus is possible each morning within a few hours of sunrise.

Marine
Late this aftn, weak low pressure was near the SE va NE nc
border. That low will move ene and out to sea tonight thru mon.

A weak cold front will push acrs the area during mon, then
washes out over the carolinas during tue. Another weak cold
front slides acrs the region Tue night into Wed morning, with
yet another cold front moving thru the waters Wed night. High
pressure will build over the waters then out to sea Thu into
fri. Winds waves seas will remain below SCA criteria thru the
period. Variable direction winds will be 15 kt or less, with
waves 1 to 2 ft and seas 2 to 4 ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajz alb
near term... Lkb
short term... Ajz alb
long term... Lsa
aviation... Ajz
marine... Tmg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 12 mi38 min NNW 5.8 G 5.8 67°F 1008.2 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 21 mi78 min Calm 67°F 1010 hPa66°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 24 mi48 min NNW 6 G 7 1008.9 hPa (-0.8)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 24 mi48 min NNE 5.1 G 6 65°F 70°F1008.6 hPa (-0.7)
44042 - Potomac, MD 27 mi38 min N 5.8 G 7.8 65°F 1007.5 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 28 mi48 min W 4.1 G 4.1 67°F 1008 hPa (-0.4)
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 29 mi48 min SW 1.9 G 4.1 67°F 70°F1008.3 hPa (-0.4)
44072 33 mi38 min W 3.9 G 5.8 67°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 34 mi48 min NNE 5.1 G 5.1
44041 - Jamestown, VA 35 mi38 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 68°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 41 mi48 min WSW 1.9 G 2.9 66°F 70°F1007.9 hPa (-0.8)
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 42 mi48 min WSW 2.9 G 4.1 68°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 45 mi48 min NW 6 G 7 64°F 71°F1009.1 hPa (-0.6)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 46 mi48 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 64°F 68°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 47 mi48 min S 2.9 G 2.9 68°F 1008.4 hPa (-0.5)
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 48 mi48 min SSW 5.1 G 5.1 69°F 1008.7 hPa (-0.5)
44064 49 mi38 min 3.9 G 5.8 67°F 1008.7 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 49 mi48 min 70°F1008.6 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA19 mi53 minN 05.00 miOvercast67°F66°F98%1009.5 hPa

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3NE3CalmCalmE4E5SE3E6NE6CalmCalmNE8NE3E3NE3NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE7SE5SE8S5SE4SE6SE3SE4E3E6E3SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW7W5SW5SW8W8W11W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Orchard Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Orchard Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:57 AM EDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:44 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:29 PM EDT     1.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:50 PM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.91.41.71.81.71.410.50.1-0.1-0.200.40.91.31.51.51.310.60.2-0-0.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Urbanna, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Urbanna
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:13 AM EDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:00 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:45 PM EDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:07 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.81.31.71.81.81.51.10.70.3-0-0.1-00.30.81.21.51.51.41.10.70.30-0.10

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.